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Yosemito

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Member since: Wed Nov 7, 2018, 11:32 PM
Number of posts: 648

Journal Archives

Legal expert: Mueller may have a pardon-proof surprise for Roger Stone and Donald Trump

Via this Fordham Law professor.

Mueller may be choosing not to press certain federal charges, because of this:
https://twitter.com/jedshug/status/1092111003834146816?s=21

Jill Stein attacks report that Russian media is supportive of Tulsi Gabbard

At least she doesn't hate all Democrats. By the way, your Stein lied about the source of the MSNBC article, with relied on many analysts for its article. And the pro-Gabbard articles in Russian media speak for themselves.
https://twitter.com/drjillstein/status/1092177035886280709

Related :

Jonathan Chait calls out hypocrite Glenn Greenwald: "Tucker Carlson's affirming sidekick"

https://twitter.com/jonathanchait/status/1097202090592665611

Boom.

Black staffers asked Bernie to give a discrimination speech in a big city. He declined

It is possible Bernie did not want to alienate the predominantly white voters white independents who didnít view discrimination as a big issue.

ďOver seven pages, the team outlined a strategy for winning black voters that included using social media influencers and having Mr. Sanders give a major speech on discrimination in a city like St. Louis or Cincinnati.

Mr. Sandersís inner circle did not respond."

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/17/us/politics/bernie-sanders-black-voters-outreach.html

Trump calls for "retribution" (violence?) against SNL for making fun of him

Trump, who has in the past successfully incited his followers (MAGA bomber) to plan violent attacks against the media, raised eyebrows with his tweet today:

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1097116612279316480

Debunking the "Candidate A is outperforming Candidate B because of name recognition" theory

Regarding a recent poll showing Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by a margin larger than everyone else, several members have voiced their opinion that this is only because other Democratic candidates have low name recognition.

There are holes in that theory. Let's examine the Emerson poll in question. The following questions cannot be explained by the name- recognition theory:

Why is every low-recognition Democrat beating the universally-recognized Donald Trump?
Why did Sanders poll better in Presidential matchups in 2015-2016 than he is now that he has higher name recognition?
Why do some candidates perform worse than a "generic" (zero recognition) candidate in other polls?
Why are Beto and Sherrod Brown outperforming Sanders?
Why did Sanders outperform the universally-recognized Hillary Clinton against Trump in 2016?
Why did Obama perform just as well and sometimes even better than Hillary Clinton in presidential matchups when Obama had a relatively low name recognition in 2098?

Proponents of the name-recognition theory might argue that a candidate with no name recognition would suffer because there would be a lot of undecided responses. But Emersonforced everyone to make a choice. Undecided was not a choice. For instance, Sherrod Brown leads Donald Trump 52 to 48%. That equals 100%.

Iím going to propose an alternative new ďmedia coverage theory.Ē
My theory is that some candidates would benefit from high recognition while others would not.
For instance. How do we know that Kamala Harris will improve against Donald Trump once Republicans and Russians start attacking her relentlessly on social media and mainstream right wing media?

What if the Russians decide to issue high praise of a Democratic candidate X?
In this case, Candidate X would benefit from high name recognition provided for free by Russian trolls. It worked for the Russians with Bernie Sanders in 2016.

Note that Iím only referring to presidential election match ups and not primary matchups.

Please evaluate my media coverage theory and the name-recognition theory. Thank you.

New Emerson poll: And the most electable Democrat as of today is...

Joe Biden.

Without Schultz, he leads Trump by 10%.
With Schultz, he leads Trump by 9%.
Feb 14-16

http://emersonpolling.com/2019/02/16/majority-of-americans-disagree-with-trumps-national-emergency-despite-a-plurality-agreeing-with-border-wall-extension/

California Gov. Gavin Newsom endorses Kamala Harris for president

Source: CNN

California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom is endorsing Kamala Harris, who represents the Golden State in the US Senate, for president in 2020.

Newsom, a former San Francisco mayor, said in an interview with MSNBC's Chris Hayes on Friday that he has known Harris for decades and she did "an extraordinary job with a very progressive record" as district attorney of San Francisco.

Read more: https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2019/02/15/politics/gavin-newsom-endorses-kamala-harris/index.html?__twitter_impression=true



Huge.

Texas poll: Trump leads Biden by only 3%; Kamala by 9%

Beto very close to Cornyn trailing by just 2% in a Senate matchup.

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1096513104677097472

Trump is guilty of obstruction, conspiracy and campaign finance violation (not treason)

Donald Trump is a criminal and he should be impeached and jailed.
He is also a traitor in the sense that everyone understand the term, except courts.

I see the legal treason claim here often, and that's why I want to clarify what kinds of crime Trump committed.

It's simple. The United States has not declared war on Russia.

Let me add that I think this is a stupid law, because countries can harm us without the presence of a war declaration.

But it is the law and Mueller will not accuse Trump of treason in my view.

Here are three non-conservative legal experts explaining:

https://twitter.com/renato_mariotti/status/1019014113576542209
https://twitter.com/delavegalaw/status/1012328216101621760
https://twitter.com/jedshug/status/951596407424782336
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