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OhNo-Really

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Member since: Wed Jun 7, 2017, 08:20 AM
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TIMELINE: Iran's Nuke Threat 1979 - 2013

Few know the history. Here it is in a nutshell.

Posted in part with permission



"Imminent Iran nuclear threat" A timeline of warnings since 1979

"Breathless predictions that the Islamic Republic will soon be at the brink of nuclear capability, or – worse – acquire an actual nuclear bomb, are not new.

For more than quarter of a century Western officials have claimed repeatedly that Iran is close to joining the nuclear club.
Such a result is always declared "unacceptable" and a possible reason for military action, with "all options on the table" to prevent upsetting the Mideast strategic balance dominated by the US and Israel.

And yet, those predictions have time and again come and gone. This chronicle of past predictions lends historical perspective to today’s rhetoric about Iran."
Timelines can be so helpful when we are looking at long-term, complicated issues. This timeline is very helpful.
This article makes it very clear that the war drums have been beating ever since Iran kicked out BP and formed its new theocratic government.

I'll boil it down for you:

US and others set up the nuclear programs in Iran.

Late 1970s: Rumors Shah of Iran developing nuclear weapon program

1979: US stops supplying Iran w/highly enriched uranium

1984: Senator Alan Cranston claims Iran is 7 years away from making a nuclear weapon

1992: Natanyahu says Iran is 3 to 5 years from making a nuclear weapon

1992: Shimon Peres tells French TV that Iran set to have nuclear warheads by 1999

1992: Joseph Alpher says Iran has to be identified as Enemy #1

1995: Iran 5 years away from having nuclear weapon

1997: Iran unlikely to acquire nuclear weapons for 8-10 years

1998: Rumsfeld reports Iran has intercontinental ballistic missile

2002: CIA danger of nuclear-tipped missile from Iran higher than during cold war.

2002: Iran insists its efforts are peaceful, but is found in breach of its IAEA safeguards agreement, and accused by the IAEA of a "pattern of concealment."

2004: Colin Powell tells reporters that Iran had been working on technology to fit a nuclear warhead onto a missile.

2005: US presents 1,000 pages of designs and other documentation allegedly retrieved from a computer laptop in Iran....are dismissed by Iran as forgeries by hostile intelligence services.

2006: Seymour Hersh quotes US sources saying that a strike on Iran is all but inevitable,

2007: President Bush warns that a nuclear-armed Iran could lead to "World War III."

2007: Reported an unclassified National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran is released, which controversially judges with "high confidence" that Iran had given up its nuclear weapons effort in fall 2003.

June 2008: Then-US Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton predicts that Israel will attack Iran before January 2009

May 200: US Senate Foreign Relations Committee reports states: "There is no sign that Iran's leaders have ordered up a bomb."

2010: Jeffrey Goldberg reports "a nuclear Iran poses the gravest threat since Hitler to the physical survival of the Jewish people." Mr. Goldberg predicts that Israel will launch a strike by July 2011.

2010: Stuxnet played havoc with Iran's nuclear program

January 2011: Iran would not be able to produce a nuclear weapon until 2015

January 2011: Federation of American Scientists "Tehran already has the technical capability to produce a "crude" nuclear device."

February 2011: James Clapper "“Iran is keeping the option open to develop nuclear weapons"

November 2011: The IAEA claims for the first time that Iran is has worked on weapons-related activities for years,

July 2013: Netanyahu on Face the Nation: Iran closer to nuclear weapons that can strike US

August 2013: Netanyahu: Iran Accelerating its Nuclear Quest

August 2013: U.S.: The Ball is in Iran's Court

August 2013: 76 U.S. senators urge President Obama to impose tougher sanctions on Iran, even with "moderate" Rouhani in office."
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2013/8/25/1233733/--Imminent-Iran-nuclear-threat-A-timeline-of-warnings-since-1979

The drums for a pre-emptive strike are rolling again.

History remembered.


14 Symptoms Shared by Fascist Regimes. Are We There Yet?

Very sobering, informative article. With permission, this portion of the Dailykos article is presented:


"We have to ask ourselves: How do we regain true representation locally, state-wide, and federally. Well, we are asking ourselves, hence Occupy movements all over the country.

BUT I WANT YOU TO KNOW JUST HOW SERIOUS OF A MESS WE ARE IN. The police activity we are seeing is the tip of a proto-fascist iceberg! You know this is true, so let's get this out in the open and push back vigorously.

Let this ignite the spirit needed to unite us.

Analysis of seven fascist or protofascist regimes reveals fourteen common threads that link them in recognizable patterns of national behavior and abuse of power. These basic characteristics are more prevalent and intense in some regimes than in others, but they all share at least some level of similarity.

1. Powerful and continuing expressions of nationalism. From the prominent displays of flags and bunting to the ubiquitous lapel pins, the fervor to show patriotic nationalism, both on the part of the regime itself and of citizens caught up in its frenzy, was always obvious. Catchy slogans, pride in the military, and demands for unity were common themes in expressing this nationalism. It was usually coupled with a suspicion of things foreign that often bordered on xenophobia.

2. Disdain for the importance of human rights. The regimes themselves viewed human rights as of little value and a hindrance to realizing the objectives of the ruling elite. Through clever use of propaganda, the population was brought to accept these human rights abuses by marginalizing, even demonizing, those being targeted. When abuse was egregious, the tactic was to use secrecy, denial, and disinformation.

3. Identification of enemies/scapegoats as a unifying cause. The most significant common thread among these regimes was the use of scapegoating as a means to divert the people’s attention from other problems, to shift blame for failures, and to channel frustration in controlled directions. The methods of choice—relentless propaganda and disinformation—were usually effective. Often the regimes would incite “spontaneous” acts against the target scapegoats, usually communists, socialists, liberals, Jews, ethnic and racial minorities, traditional national enemies, members of other religions, secularists, homosexuals, and “terrorists.” Active opponents of these regimes were inevitably labeled as terrorists and dealt with accordingly.

4. The supremacy of the military/avid militarism. Ruling elites always identified closely with the military and the industrial infrastructure that supported it. A disproportionate share of national resources was allocated to the military, even when domestic needs were acute. The military was seen as an expression of nationalism, and was used whenever possible to assert national goals, intimidate other nations, and increase the power and prestige of the ruling elite.

5. Rampant sexism. Beyond the simple fact that the political elite and the national culture were male-dominated, these regimes inevitably viewed women as second-class citizens. They were adamantly anti-abortion and also homophobic. These attitudes were usually codified in Draconian laws that enjoyed strong support by the orthodox religion of the country, thus lending the regime cover for its abuses.

6. A controlled mass media. Under some of the regimes, the mass media were under strict direct control and could be relied upon never to stray from the party line. Other regimes exercised more subtle power to ensure media orthodoxy. Methods included the control of licensing and access to resources, economic pressure, appeals to patriotism, and implied threats. The leaders of the mass media were often politically compatible with the power elite. The result was usually success in keeping the general public unaware of the regimes’ excesses.

7. Obsession with national security. Inevitably, a national security apparatus was under direct control of the ruling elite. It was usually an instrument of oppression, operating in secret and beyond any constraints. Its actions were justified under the rubric of protecting “national security,” and questioning its activities was portrayed as unpatriotic or even treasonous.

8. Religion and ruling elite tied together. Unlike communist regimes, the fascist and protofascist regimes were never proclaimed as godless by their opponents. In fact, most of the regimes attached themselves to the predominant religion of the country and chose to portray themselves as militant defenders of that religion. The fact that the ruling elite’s behavior was incompatible with the precepts of the religion was generally swept under the rug. Propaganda kept up the illusion that the ruling elites were defenders of the faith and opponents of the “godless.” A perception was manufactured that opposing the power elite was tantamount to an attack on religion.

9. Power of corporations protected. Although the personal life of ordinary citizens was under strict control, the ability of large corporations to operate in relative freedom was not compromised. The ruling elite saw the corporate structure as a way to not only ensure military production (in developed states), but also as an additional means of social control. Members of the economic elite were often pampered by the political elite to ensure a continued mutuality of interests, especially in the repression of “have-not” citizens.

10. Power of labor suppressed or eliminated. Since organized labor was seen as the one power center that could challenge the political hegemony of the ruling elite and its corporate allies, it was inevitably crushed or made powerless. The poor formed an underclass, viewed with suspicion or outright contempt. Under some regimes, being poor was considered akin to a vice.

11. Disdain and suppression of intellectuals and the arts. Intellectuals and the inherent freedom of ideas and expression associated with them were anathema to these regimes. Intellectual and academic freedom were considered subversive to national security and the patriotic ideal. Universities were tightly controlled; politically unreliable faculty harassed or eliminated. Unorthodox ideas or expressions of dissent were strongly attacked, silenced, or crushed. To these regimes, art and literature should serve the national interest or they had no right to exist.

12. Obsession with crime and punishment. Most of these regimes maintained Draconian systems of criminal justice with huge prison populations. The police were often glorified and had almost unchecked power, leading to rampant abuse. “Normal” and political crime were often merged into trumped-up criminal charges and sometimes used against political opponents of the regime. Fear, and hatred, of criminals or “traitors” was often promoted among the population as an excuse for more police power.

13. Rampant cronyism and corruption. Those in business circles and close to the power elite often used their position to enrich themselves. This corruption worked both ways; the power elite would receive financial gifts and property from the economic elite, who in turn would gain the benefit of government favoritism. Members of the power elite were in a position to obtain vast wealth from other sources as well: for example, by stealing national resources. With the national security apparatus under control and the media muzzled, this corruption was largely unconstrained and not well understood by the general population.

14. Fraudulent elections. Elections in the form of plebiscites or public opinion polls were usually bogus. When actual elections with candidates were held, they would usually be perverted by the power elite to get the desired result. Common methods included maintaining control of the election machinery, intimidating and disenfranchising opposition voters, destroying or disallowing legal votes, and, as a last resort, turning to a judiciary beholden to the power elite.

Analysis of seven fascist or protofascist regimes reveals fourteen common threads that link them in recognizable patterns of national behavior and abuse of power. These basic characteristics are more prevalent and intense in some regimes than in others, but they all share at least some level of similarity. Source: Laurence Britt https://ratical.org/ratville/CAH/fasci14chars.html

Does any of this ring alarm bells?

We don't have much time left (no pun)."

https://www.dailykosbeta.com/stories/2011/10/28/1031026/-14-Common-Threads-of-Seven-Fascist-Regimes-Is-USA-Becoming-Fascist

The above was compiled in 2011.

Congress Needs Behavior Scientists & Buddy Puppies not Chaplains

There are too many religions to cover, am I right.

However, there are generic human issues we can all agree on. Integrity jumps forward.

How wonderful or potentially helpful if professionals stepped forward and said things like "that is cruel" or "honestly is healthy" or whatever it takes to get team Congress to do the right thing.

As with any human gathering, their are some seriously bent people serving in Congress.

A puppy session could really help some struggling with their nagging inner angels.




Masochistic Comedians Are Inundating WHCD with Applications for 2019 Dinner

The National Assn of Mostly Comedic Masochists (NAMCM) has reported euphoria over the opportunities afforded Colbert & Wolf.

Quoting one its members "Nothing hurts as deliciously as being internationally excoriated for doing what they are hired for."



Cats & Dogs Chatting - A Chuckle Break

This cracked me up.


https://m.

https://m.

I'm half-cracked most of the time. Tiny push over the line. Chatting cats left me rofl.

Enjoy!

Osteen Declines Ryan's Pastor Proffer

"Although honored by Speaker Ryan's confidence in my ability to convince the poor that poverty is God's way of saying 'shame on you'; I feel my sacred calling is running my immensely profitable MegaChurch."

So the search for a DC swamp draining Pastor continues.



Planet Greed is Doomed! Short Cartoon

I made this years ago using a one-time "make a free cartoon" service.

We are headed for some frightening social disruptions unless we unite globally to put people and the planet, not legalized greed, as top prorities. So many are already suffering immensely.

Our children are suffering now!

Laws are supposed to create safety. Constitutions are written to provide safety.

Unfettered greed freed from social responsibilities is the antithesis of the required foundation for a healthy society.

Enjoy


Legal Pot Sales Kills Alcohol Profits

The Booze Lobby Greed-Gluttons are protecting there bottom $$ line. This is why marijuana is illegal. Employers don't booze test. They drug test all employees which, in my humble lay opinion is unconstitutional. Testing all people because of a potential behavior is unconstitutional. Also, the private prisons profit are easily filled with illegal pot user.

So many lives could be saved, so much pain reduced, and there are so many more humane treatments of so many disorders helped by forms of marijuana that it is immoral to keep this abundant, medicinal, stress relieving plant illegal.


Study: Alcohol Sales Fall Following Cannabis Legalization

Authors evaluated the relationship between medical marijuana laws and retail alcohol sales for more than 2,000 US counties for the years 2006 to 2015. Alcohol sales trends in medical cannabis states were compared to sales trends in states where cannabis remained illegal. Researchers determined that counties located in medical cannabis states, on average, experienced a reduction in monthly alcohol sales of 15 percent.


Researchers concluded: “We find that marijuana and alcohol are strong substitutes. … States legalizing medical marijuana use experience significant decreases in the aggregate sale of alcohol, beer and wine. Moreover, the effects are not short-lived, with significant reductions observed up to 24 months after the passage of the law.”


Pot is safer than Adderral, alcohol, opiods, Xanax, to name a few drugs pot can replace.

But politicians need those booze donations.

Greed sucks.

No surprise

Recreational weed is killing alcohol sales in legal states

America is getting a lot less alcoholic thanks to legal weed

When the results are split by alcohol type, it appears that wine takes the biggest hit with an average of 16.2 percent decrease in sales. By contrast, beer drinkers bought 13.8 percent less than they did before marijuana was legalized. When counties with medical marijuana were compared to bordering prohibition counties, they experienced 20 percent lower rates of alcohol purchases.

Although this study has yet to be published, it’s far from the first to show that alcohol and cannabis are not complimentary.

Contrary to the common belief that youth consumption would increase, the 2017 National Survey on Drug Use found that cannabis use among youth has hit a 15-year low while also reducing the number of alcohol purchases. In 2016, a look at post-legalization beer sales in Oregon, Washington, and Colorado found that sales had significantly “underperformed” after those states chose to legalize recreational marijuana.

https://herb.co/marijuana/news/legal-marijuana-alcohol-sales


I have personally seen so many lives destroyed by booze, so many die in their 50s from booze related disease, innocent people I know killed by drunken drivers, and drunken suicides, and I don't live that large a life! I haven't lost one person because of even heavy marijuana use.

On the contrary, my small sphere includes people whose anxiety has been quelled, ADD calmed, pain reduced, and seizures conquered with THC.

Perhaps a mellower population could reduce some of our social tensions as well.

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