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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,588

Journal Archives

How progressive or neutral is the NYT Sienna poll?

AZ Kelly-D +6 (51-45)
GA Warnock-D +3 (49-46)
NV Cortez Masto-D tie (47-47)
PA Fetterman-D +6 (50-44)


The PA poll has been taken between 10/24 to 10/26). A day before to a day after the debate.


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Oct 31, 2022, 07:04 AM (6 replies)

US Senate seats up in 2022 that Democrats and Republicans will win by a single digit margin.

Democrats will win by a likely margin.
CO(Bennet-D)
WA(Murray-D)
Republicans will win by a likely margin.
FL(Rubio-R)
IA(Grassley-R).
Democrats will win by a lean margin
AZ(Kelly-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
Republican will win by a lean margin.
NC(Budd-R)
OH(Vance-R)
WI(Johnson-R)
The Tossup US Senate Races are
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)
PA(Fetterman-D vs Oz-R).

Democrats will win PA.
Republicans will win NV.
GA will go either way and it will be decided on 12/6/2022.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Oct 31, 2022, 03:15 AM (2 replies)

We need to send SR Sidarth to every Glenn Youngkin campaign rally.

Will Glenn Youngkin be able to control himself?

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 07:23 PM (0 replies)

Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2022 is 54.

I think Democrats will come up short in FL(Demings-D) and IA(Franken-D)
Democrats will win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

Safe Republican seats
AL(Britt-R) Boyd-D
AK(Murkowski-R or Tshibacka-R) Chesboro-D
AR(Boozman-R) James-D
ID(Crapo-R) Roth-D
IN(Young-R) McDermott-D
KS(Moran-R) Holland-D
KY(Paul-R) Booker-D
LA(Kennedy-R) Chambers-R but will need to keep Kennedy-R below 50 percent in 11/2022.
MO(Schmitt-R) Busch Valentine-D
ND(Hoeven-R) Christiansen-D
OK(Lankford-R) Horn-D
OK(Mullin-R) Horn-D
SC(Scott-R) Matthews-D
SD(Thune-R) Bengs-D
UT(what polititical party will McMullin caucus with.?)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 06:37 PM (9 replies)

The Tossup US Senate Races in 2022 that the Democrats will need to win to remain in the majority.

Scenario 1)
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
GA(Warnock-D) 50
Scenario 2)
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 49
GA(Warnock-D) 50
Scenario 3)
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 50



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 05:17 PM (1 replies)

The 2022 GA US Senate Election runoff plus PA and/or NV are the US Senate Races Democrats must win.

Democrats are favored to win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Democrats will narrowly win.
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
Democrats have a 50-50 percent chance of winning
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 04:06 PM (4 replies)

Which of these incoming Republican US Senators are one termers or less than one termers.

Katie Britt-AL?
Herschel Walker-GA?
Eric Schmitt-MO?
Adam Laxalt-NV?
Ted Budd-NC?
JD Vance-OH?
Mark Wayne McMullin-OK?
Mehmet Oz-PA?

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 02:46 PM (1 replies)

Democrats guide to remain in the majority in the US Senate is to win WA,CO,NH,AZ,PA and GA or NV.

Solid Democratic seats.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
Likely Democratic seats
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean Democratic seats
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Tilt Democratic seats.
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50/51)NV(Cortez Masto-D) and/or GA(Warnock-D)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 02:14 PM (2 replies)

Fetterman and Oz Debate!

&list=RD2H5uWRjFsGc&start_radio=1
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 01:29 PM (1 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin greater than 25 percent.

HI(Schatz-D) 37
MD(Van Hollen-D) 38
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 20 to 25 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D) 39
CA(Padilla-D) 40
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 15 to 20 percent margin.
NY(Schumer-D) 41
OR(Wyden-D) 42
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 10 to 15 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D) 43
CT(Blumenthal-D) 44
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 5 to 10 percent margin.
WA(Murray-D) 45
CO(Bennet-D) 46
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 1 to 5 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D) 47
AZ(Kelly-D) 48
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin less than 1 percent.
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 50
GA(Warnock-D) 50/51 12/2022 runoff.




Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Oct 30, 2022, 01:26 PM (1 replies)
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