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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,176

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My approved 2022 US Congressional Redistricting plan.

AR- Democratic draft plan 2. Creates a Tossup Democratic lean district in Eastern AR.
CO- The new 8th is a swing district in the Northern Democratic suburbs.
MI- The independent commissions fifth proposal plan.
They created a New Democratic leaning district in the Grand Rapids Area(Meijer-R), Upton-R and Huizenga-R are placed in the same district. Kildee-D and Levin-D are placed in Republican leaning swing districts and will win due to family affiliation. Kildee-D uncle and Levin-D uncle and father.
NY- the Independent commisions letters plan. Turn Katko-R district into a safe Democratic district. Put Delgado-D and Tenney-R in the same district but the Independent commission can make it less Republican. They could place Dutchess County in Delgado’s district and Sullivan County in S.P. Maloney-D district. Both Delgado and Maloney will be in Swing Districts.
OH- Chabot-R and Balderson-R are placed in a Democratic leaning district, Gonzalez-R and Stivers-R districts are swing districts.
OR-6 stretches from Portland to Salem.





Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 10:42 PM (0 replies)

2022 US House Election - member vs member Race. Who wins?

MI-3(Huizenga-R vs Meijer-R)
NY-23(Delgado-D vs Tenney-R)
WV-1(McKinley-R vs Mooney-R)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 09:45 PM (0 replies)

Could Democrats get more than 55 US Senate seats after 2022?

Democrats are going to win
37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)FL(Demings-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)NC(Beasley-D or Jackson-D)

Democrats need to target
IA(Finkenaur-D)



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 08:09 PM (1 replies)

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 55.

46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D or Jackson-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 03:37 PM (1 replies)

Rubio has no business being in the US Senate the 1st place.

In 2010, the Democratic vote was split between Crist and Meek. If Meek had not ran, Crist might have won and would have caucused with the Democrats like Angus King(I-ME).
In 2016, the Democrats nominated a former Republican(Patrick Murphy-D)who became a Democrat due to the extremism of the Republican Party. How would have the FL Democrats do if they have nominated Debbie Wasserman Schultz-D or Alan Grayson-D?
In 2022 FL Democrats will have their best candidate- Val Demings- A black progressive female Democrat from central FL that has law enforcement experience.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 02:15 PM (3 replies)

The battleground US Senate races in 2022 are-

AZ
FL
GA
NV
NH
NC
OH
PA
WI
CO is in the Likely Democratic column.46
FL,NC,and OH are in the Lean R column.
AZ,GA,NV,and PA are in the Lean D column 50
NH is likely Democratic without Sununu-R,
Tilt R with Sununu-R.
WI is a pure Tossup.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 01:32 PM (0 replies)

What are the chances of Democrats winning the US Senate races in

NC(Beasley-D or Jackson-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
FL(Demings-D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 11:33 AM (3 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)

NH depends on what Sununu-R does.
If Sununu-R runs, he wins.
If Sununu-R does not run,Hassan-D wins.
WI(Johnson-R vs Barnes-D) is in the tilt D column.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 11:24 AM (0 replies)

US House seats Democrats will end up with after 2022.

AL(1)
AZ(4)5
CA(42)47
CO(5)52
CT(5)57
DE(1)58
FL(10)68
GA(5)73
HI(2)75
IL(11)86
IN(2)88
IA(2)90
KS(1)91
KY(1)92
LA(1)93
ME(1)94
MD(6)100
MA(9)109
MI(7)116
MN(4)120
MS(1)121
MO(2)123
NV(2)125
NH(1)126
NJ(10)136
NM(2)138
NY(20)158
NC(5)163
OH(7)170
OR(5)175
PA(6)181
RI(2)183
SC(1)184
TN(2)186
TX(14)200
VT(1)201
VA(5)206
WA(7)213
WI(2)215

Democrats need to hold onto
AZ-1
IL-14
IL-17
NV-3
PA-7
VA-2
VA-7






Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 06:12 AM (1 replies)

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2022 is 52

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Sep 30, 2021, 04:35 AM (0 replies)
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