Kind(WI) -1D
Vela(TX) -2D
Bernice Johnson(TX)
Doyle(PA)
Lamb(PA) -3D
Cartwright(PA) -4D
Kaptur(OH) -5D
Ryan(OH) -6D
Manning(NC) -7D
Price(NC)
Butterfield(NC)
Souzzi(NY)
Sires(NJ)
Malinowski(NJ) -8D
Levin or Stevens(MI) -9D
Slotkin(MI) -10D
Brown(MD)
Yarmuth(KY)
Axne(IA) -11D
Bustos(IL)
Newman or Casten(IL) -12D
McBath or Boudreaux (GA) -13D
Crist(FL)
Demings(FL)
Murphy(FL)
Lowenthal and Roybal Allard(CA) -14D
Bass(CA)
Speier(CA)
Kirkpatrick(AZ) -15D
O’Halleran(AZ) -16D

US House seats the Democrats will gain
CA-22 -15D
CA-27 -14D
CA-45 -13D
IL-3 -12D
IL-13 -11D
NM-2 -10D
OR-6 -9D
TX-15 -8D
TX-35 -7D

Democrats will have a net loss of 7 seats.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)NH(Hassan-D)
47)CO(Bennet-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

All of the states Biden carried in 2020.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

CO(Bennet-D) or NH(Hassan-D)?

Had Andy Levin’s uncle carried the new MI-10cd in his US Senate Races?

2008 MI US Senate Race

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)NH(Hassan-D)
47)CO(Bennet-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)

AZ- O’Halleran
CA- Valadao,Garcia, and Steel
GA- McBath or Boudreax
IL- Newman or Casten, and Bost or Miller
MI- Levin or Stevens
NC- Manning
WV- McKinley or Mooney

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D) if Johnson-R retires.

Both of the VT US Senators Bernie Sanders and Peter Welch are old.
Sanders will be 83 in 2024. Welch will be 81 in 2028.
Gray is a likely candidate for the US Senate when Sanders or Welch decide to retire.

Fetterman’s margin of victory over Oz is going to be similar to Casey’s margin of victory over Santorum or Barletta.