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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
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2018 Colorado Governors Race and 2020 Colorado US Senate Race-Democratic Primary.

With the announcement of CO-2CD US Representative Jared Polis entering the 2018 CO Governors Race, There are now 3 top tier Democratic candidates for the 2018 CO Governors Race-Polis,CO-7CD US Representative Ed Perlmutter,and Former State Treasurer Cary Kennedy. Either of those candidates are likely going to be the Democratic nominee. Whoever is the Democratic nominee is favored to defeat the Likely Republican nominee in the November 2018 General Election. The 2nd or 3rd place finisher in the Democratic Primary for Governor is going to be the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination for the 2020 Colorado US Senate Race to unseat Republican incumbent Cory Gardner.
Between Polis,Perlmutter,and Kennedy,
Which one is going to be the Democratic nominee for Governor in 2018?
Which one is going to be the Democratic nominee for US Senate in 2020?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Jun 12, 2017, 08:57 PM (0 replies)

I just learned from Drudge Report that McCain thinks American Leadership was better under Obama.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Jun 12, 2017, 12:09 AM (3 replies)

2018 US Senate Election-Landslide Republican Victory to Landslide Democratic Victory.

Landslide Margin Republican Victory
1)WY-Barrasso-R 45R
2)NE-Fischer-R 46R
3)MS-Wicker-R 47R
Low Double Digit Margin Republican Victory
4)UT-Hatch-R 48R
5)TN-Corker-R 49R
High Single Digit Margin Republican Victory
6)TX-Cruz-R 50R
7)IN-Rokita-R 51R
8)ND-Cramer-R 52R
Narrow Margin Republican Victory
9)AZ-Flake-R 53R
10)MO-Wagner-R 54R
Narrow Margin Democratic Victory
11)NV-Marshall-D 24D
12)OH-Brown-D 25D
13)MT-Tester-D 26D
High Single Digit Margin Democratic Victory
14)WI-Baldwin-D 27D
15)PA-Casey-D 28D
16)FL-Nelson-D 29D
17)WV-Manchin-D 30D
Low Double Digit Margin Democratic Victory
18)NJ-Johnson-D 31D
19)NM-Heinrich-D 32D
20)ME-King-I/D 33D
21)VA-Kaine-D 34D
22)MI-Stabenow-D 35D
Landslide Margin Democratic Victory
23)MA-Warren-D 36D
24)CA-Feinstein-D 37D
25)RI-Whitehouse-D 38D
26)DE-Carper-D 39D
27)CT-Murphy-D 40D
28)MN-Klobuchar-D 41D
29)VT-Sanders-I/D 42D
30)NY-Gillibrand-D 43D
31)MD-Cardin-D 44D
32)WA-Cantwell-D 45D
33)HI-Hirono-D 46D



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jun 11, 2017, 11:52 PM (5 replies)

2017/2018 US Senate Election Rating

2017 Special Election
AL-Anybody But Moore-R vs Democratic nominee-D
Solid Republican
AL-Moore-R vs Democratic nominee-D
Likely Republican
2018
AZ-Flake-R vs Sinema or Kelly-D
Tossup Republican
AZ-Flake-R vs Someone else-D
Lean Republican
AZ-Ward-R vs Sinema or Kelly-D
Lean Democratic
AZ-Ward-R vs Someone else-D
Tossup Democratic
CA-Solid Democratic
CT-Solid Democratic
DE-Solid Democratic
FL-Nelson-D vs Scott-R
Lean Democratic
FL-Nelson-D vs Someone else-R
Likely Democratic
HI-Solid Democratic
IN-Donnelly-D vs Rokita or Messer-R
Tossup Republican
IN-Donnelly-D vs TeaParty-R
Tossup Democratic
ME-Solid Independent/Democratic
MD-Solid Democratic
MA-Solid Democratic
MI-Stabenow-D vs Snyder-R
Likely Democratic
MI-Stabenow-D vs Someone else-R
Solid Democratic
MN-Solid Democratic
MS-Solid Republican
MO-McCaskill-D vs Wagner or Hartzler-R
Tossup Republican
MO-McCaskill-D vs TeaParty-R
Tossup Democratic
MT-Tester-D vs Republican Nominee-R
Lean Democratic
NE-Solid Republican
NV-Heller-R vs Democratic Nominee-D
Tossup Democratic
NJ-Solid Democratic
NM-Heinrich-D vs Martinez-R
Likely Democratic
NM-Heinrich-D vs Someone else-R
Solid Democratic
NY-Solid Democratic
ND-Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R
Tossup
ND-Heitkamp-D vs TeaParty-R
Lean Democratic
OH-Brown-D vs Mandel-R
Lean Democratic
PA-Likely Democratic
RI-Solid Democratic
TN-Solid Republican
TX-Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D
Lean Republican
UT-Solid Republican
VT-Solid Independent Democratic
VA-Likely Democratic
WA-Solid Democratic
WV-Manchin-D vs Republican Nominee-R
Lean Democratic
WI-Baldwin-D vs Republican Nominee-R
Lean Democratic
WY-Solid Republican
Democrats lose IN and MO, pick up NV -1D
2020
Democratic held seats
Solid Democratic-DE,IL,MA,MI,NJ,NM,OR and RI
Likely Democratic MN
Lean Democratic NH and VA
Republican held seats
Solid Republican-AL,AR,ID,KS,KY,LA,ME(with/Collins),MS,NE,OK,SC,SD,TN,WV,and WY
Likely Republican-AK(without/Begich-D)MT(without/Bullock-D),and TX(without/Castro-D)
Lean Republican-AK (with/Begich-D),GA,IA,MT (with/Bullock-D) and TX (with Castro)
Tossup-CO,ME (without/Collins),and NC
Democrats pickup CO and NC +2D
Democrats chances of regaining control of the US Senate is based on who the Democratic nominee in GA and IA is and what type of campaign they run.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jun 9, 2017, 10:20 PM (0 replies)

Georgia Congressional Districts Democrats need to target in addition to GA-6

GA-1 (Carter-R)
GA-7 (Woodall-R)
GA-12 (Allen-R)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jun 9, 2017, 09:41 AM (1 replies)

2018 US Senate Race-Dean Heller-NV is the most vulnerable incumbent US Senator up for re-election

in 2018 and here is why.
Heller is the only Republican US Senator up for re-election in 2018 that represents a Democratic leaning state-voted for Clinton in 2016. Heller is a partisan Republican-he votes more often with the Congressional Republican Leadership than the residents of NV. There is one issue that could hurt Heller-Trumpcare. If Heller votes yes on Trumpcare-both the House and Senate version, he loses re-election regardless of who the Democrats nominate?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jun 9, 2017, 09:25 AM (4 replies)

2018 and 2020 US Senate Elections- Seats Democrats need to win to get back in the majority.

2018
The only vulnerable Republican held US Senate seat Democrats could pick up is NV. AZ could also be a Democratic pickup if Flake-R loses in the primary or a top tier Democrat- Sinema or Kelly runs.
Democratic incumbents in states Trump won by a double digit margin- IN-Donnelly,MO-McCaskill,MT-Tester,ND-Heitkamp,and WV-Manchin are vulnerable to defeat. Donnelly-IN and McCaskill-MO end up losing.
Democrats will end up with a net lose of 1 seat.
2020
Democrats need a net gain of 3 seats plus they need to unseat Trump or Pence.
The most vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats -NH and VA are going to stay in the Democratic column. Democrats will pick up CO and NC plus AK-if Begich or Berkowitz runs and MT-if Bullock or Schweitzer runs or GA-if Stacey Evans or Stacy Abrams runs and IA-if Tom Vilsack or Chet Culver runs.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jun 8, 2017, 10:12 PM (0 replies)

Does Richard Burr's treatment of Kamala Harris at the Intelligence committee hearing similar to

Jesse Helms treatment of Carol Moseley Braun during the 1990's?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Jun 7, 2017, 11:27 PM (3 replies)

2018 and 2020 US Senate Election. Seats Democrats need to win to get back in the majority.

2018
Democrats have to hold onto vulnerable Democratic seats in IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,and WV and pick up AZ,NV,TX or AL.
2020
If Democrats hold onto IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,and WV and pick up AZ and NV in 2018, They need to pick up CO.
If Democrats lose IN and MO, hold onto MT,ND,OH,and WV and pick up AZ and NV in 2018, They need to pick up CO,NC,and GA.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Jun 7, 2017, 09:54 PM (8 replies)

US Senator elects in 2017/2018

2017 Special
AL-Strange-R loses in primary to Moore-R.
Moore-R defeats Jones-D in the general.
Roy Moore-R
2018
AZ-Flake-R loses in primary to Ward-R.
Ward-R loses in the general to Sinema-D
Kyrsten Sinema-D
CA-Feinstein-D recieves less than 40 percent of popular vote in the blanket primary. Swalwell-D finishes in 2nd place.
Swalwell-D defeats Feinstein-D in the November runnoff like he did to Pete Stark in the 2012 US House Race.
Eric Swalwell-D
DE-Carper-D retires. Markell-D wins the primary and general.
Jack Markell-D
IN-Donnelly-D loses in the general to Rokita-R
Todd Rokita-R
MD-Cardin-D retires. Sarbanes-D wins the primary and general.
John Sarbanes-D
MO-McCaskill-D loses in the general to Wagner-R
Ann Wagner-R
NV-Heller-R loses in the general to Marshall-D
Kate Marshall-D
NJ-Menendez-D resigns next year. Governor Murphy-D appoints Pallone-D
Frank Pallone-D
UT-Hatch-R loses in the primary to McMullin-R.
Evan McMullin-R
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Jun 7, 2017, 08:55 PM (5 replies)
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