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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
June 3, 2017

2018 US Senate and Governors Elections.

States likely to elect a Democrat for the US Senate and Governor.
CA-US Senate-Feinstein-D or a Democrat that finishes in 2nd place in the blanket primary.
CA-Governor-Newsom-D or Villagrossa-D.
CT-US Senate-Murphy-D
CT-Governor-Lembo-D
FL-US Senate-Nelson-D
FL-Governor-Graham-D
HI-US Senate-Hirono-D
HI-Governor-Ige-D
ME-US Senate-King-I/D
ME-Governor-Cote-D
MI-US Senate-Stabenow-D
MI-Governor-Whitmer-D
MN-US Senate-Klobuchar-D
MN-Governor-Walz-D
NV-US Senate-Titus-D or Kihuen-D
NV-Governor-Miller-D or Marshall-D
NM-US Senate-Heinrich-D
NM-Governor-Lujan Grisham-D
NY-US Senate-Gillibrand-D
NY-Governor-Cuomo-D
OH-US Senate-Brown-D
OH-Governor-Sutton-D
PA-US Senate-Casey-D
PA-Governor-Wolf-D
RI-US Senate-Whitehouse-D
RI-Governor-Raimondo-D or Chaffee-D
States likely to elect a Democrat for US Senate.
DE-Carper-D
MO-McCaskill-D
MT-Tester-D
NJ-Whoever succeeds Menendez-D is he is forced to resign or defeats Menendez-D in the primary.
ND-Heitkamp-D
VA-Kaine-D
WA-Cantwell-D
WV-Manchin-D
States likely to elect a Democrat for Governor.
CO-Perlmutter-D or Kennedy-D
GA-Abrams-D or Evans-D
IL-Kennedy-D or Pritzler-D
KS-Brewer-D
NH-Marchand-D
OR-Brown-D
States likely to elect a Democrat for US Senate,Republican for Governor.
AZ-US Senate-Griese-D or Kelly-D
AZ-Governor-Doucey-R
MD-US Senate-Cardin-D
MD-Governor-Hogan-R
MA-US Senate-Warren-D
MA-Governor-Baker-R
VT-US Senate-Sanders-I/D
VT-Governor-Scott-R
WI-US Senate-Baldwin-D
WI-Governor-Walker-D
States likely to elect a Democrat for Governor,Republican for US Senate.
TN-US Senate-Corker-R
TN-Governor-Dean-D
States likely to elect a Republican for US Senate.
IN-Rokita-R or Messer-R
MS-Wicker-R
UT-McMullin-I/R
States likely to elect a Republican for Governor.
AL-Ivey-R
AR-Hutchinson-R
ID-Labrador-R
IA-Reynolds-R
OK-Jones-R or Lamb-R
SC-McMaster-R
SD-Noem-R or Jackley-R
States likely to elect a Republican for US Senate and Governor.
NE-US Senate-Fischer-R
NE-Governor-Ricketts-R
TX-US Senate-Cruz-R
TX-Governor-Abbott-R
WY-US Senate-Barraso-R
WY-Governor-Lummis-R
States likely to elect an Independent for Governor.
AK-Governor-Walker-I.

June 3, 2017

2018 United States Senate Election- Most Vulnerable Democratic held US Senate Seat.

1)IN-Donnelly-D is in danger of losing re-election if Republicans nominate Todd Rokita-R or Luke Messer-R.
2)MO-McCaskill-D is in danger of losing re-election if Republicans nominate Ann Wagner-R or Vicky Hartzler-R.
3)ND-Heitkamp-D is in danger of losing re-election if Republicans nominate Kevin Cramer-R.
4)OH-Brown-D is slightly favored to defeat Mandel-R.
5)MT-Tester-D is favored to defeat Matt Rosendale-R or Corey Stapleton-R.
6)WV-Manchin-D is favored to defeat Jenkins-R.
7)FL-Nelson-D is favored to defeat Rick Scott-R.
8)WI- Baldwin-D is favored to defeat Rebecca Kleefish-R
9)VA-Kaine-D is favored to defeat Barbara Comstock-R
10)NM-Heinrich-D is favored to defeat Susan Martinez-R or Richard Berry-R.
11)NJ-Whoever Governor Phil Murphy-D appoints to replace Menendez-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
12)MI-Stabenow-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
13)PA-Casey-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
14)MN-Klobuchar-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
15)ME-King-I/D is strongly favored to win re-election.
16)WA-Cantwell-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
17)MA-Warren-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
18)CT-Murphy-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
19)MD-Cardin-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
20)HI-Hirono-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
21)RI-Whitehouse-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
22)DE-Carper-D is strongly favored to win re-election.
23)CA-Feinstein-D faces another Democrat in the November General Election runnoff.
24)NY-Gillibrand-D runs unopposed.
25)VT-Sanders-I/D runs unopposed.
Democrats lose IN,MO,and ND and pick up NV-Heller-R loses to Titus-D.
46D 54R.
2020
Democrats hold onto most vulnerable seats in MI-Peters,MN-Franken,NH-Shaheen,and VA-Warner and pick up CO-whoever finishes in 2nd place in the 2018 Democratic primary for Governor-Cary Kennedy-D or Ed Perlmutter-D or Jared Polis-D, NC-Josh Stein-D or Beth Wood-D, GA-Stacey Evans-D or Stacy Abrams-D-whoever finishes in 2nd place in the 2018 Democratic primary for Governor, and AK-Ethan Berkowitz-D or Hollis French-D. plus the Whitehouse.

June 3, 2017

2018/2020 US Senate Election- Could Democrats regain control of the US Senate in 2020 if they were

to lose seats in 2018.
In 2018, Democrats lose IN and ND, pick up NV -1D 53R 45D 2I caucusing with Democrats.
In 2020, Democrats hold onto their most vulnerable seats - NH and VA, pick up CO,NC,GA-if Ossoff or Barrow-D runs, and Trump/Pence-R loses or CO,NC,ME-if Collins retires/becomes Governor, and MT-if Bullock-D runs.

June 2, 2017

2018 US House Election-states which could help Democrats get a net gain of 24 seats.

California
1)CA-8(Cook-R)
2)CA-10 (Denham-R)
3)CA-21 (Valadao-R)
4)CA-22 (Nunes-R)
5)CA-25 (Knight-R)
6)CA-39 (Royce-R)
7)CA-42 (Calvert-R)
8)CA-45 (Walters-R)
9)CA-48 (Rohrabacher-R)
10)CA-49 (Issa-R)
Florida
11)FL-25(Diaz Balart-R)
12)FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
13)FL-27 (Open-Ros-Lehtinen-R)
New Jersey
14)NJ-2 (LoBiondo-R)
15)NJ-3 (McArthur-R)
16)NJ-7 (Lance-R)
17)NJ-11 (Frelinghuysen-R)
New York
18)NY-1 (Zeldin-R)
19)NY-2 (King-R)
20)NY-11 (Donovan-R)
21)NY-19 (Faso-R)
22)NY-24 (Katko-R)
Pennsylvania
23)PA-6 (Costello-R)
24)PA-7 (Meehan-R)
25)PA-8 (Fitzpatrick-R)
Texas
26)TX-23 (Hurd-R)
Virginia
27)VA-10 (Comstock-R)

June 2, 2017

Are business owners and managers telling the truth when they claim a higher minimum wage $15 to $20

per hour will close down their business? Force them to layoff employees?

June 2, 2017

2018 US Senate Election? Which incumbent US Senator is more likely to be defeated?

AZ-Flake-R in the Republican primary against Ward-R or in the November general election against Mark Kelly or Randy Friese-D?
CA-Feinstein-D in the Democratic Primary/Runnoff?
FL-Nelson-D in a November General Election matchup against Rick Scott-R or Pam Bondi-R?
IN-Donnelly-D in a November General Election matchup against Todd Rokita-R or Luke Messer-R?
MS-Wicker-R in a Republican primary against McDaniel?
MO-McCaskill-D in a November General Election matchup against Ann Wagner-R or Vicky Hartzler-R or Peter Kinder-R?
MT-Tester-D in a November General Election matchup against Tim Fox-R or Corey Stapleton-R?
NV-Heller-D in a November General Election matchup against Dina Titus-D or Kate Marshall-D or Ross Miller-D?
ND-Heitkamp-D in a November General Election matchup against Kevin Cramer-R or Rick Berg-Ross?
OH-Brown-D in a November General Election matchup against Josh Mandel-R?
TX-Cruz-R in a November General Election matchup against Beto O'Rourke-D?
UT-Hatch-R in the Republican primary?

June 2, 2017

Would a 20 dollar minimum wage at the federal and state level be a winning campaign proposal?

How about reducing the age limit for Medicare from 65 to 50?
Raising the income limit for Medicaid to 50,000 dollars per Year?

June 1, 2017

Ted Cruz has endorsed Josh Mandel for the 2018 US Senate Race against Sherrod Brown today.

Will Sherrod Brown endorse Beto O'Rourke for the 2018 US Senate Race against Ted Cruz?

June 1, 2017

2018 US Senate Election

Safe D
CA 24
CT 25
DE 26
HI 27
ME 28
MD 29
MA 30
MN 31
NJ 32
NM 33
NY 34
RI 35
VT 36
WA 37
Safe R
MS 45
NE 46
TN 47
UT 48
WY 49
Likely D
MI 38
PA 39
VA 40
Likely R
None
Lean D
FL 41
MT 42
OH 43
WV 44
WI 45
Lean R
AZ 50
TX 51
Tossup
IN
MO
NV
ND
Democrats win Tossup Races in IN,MO,NV,and ND. AZ could move to the Tossup column if Flake loses in the Republican primary. TX could move to the Tossup column if Trump's approval rating in TX is below 40 percent.

June 1, 2017

Sarah Palin served 2 years as Governor of AK when she was selected as McCain's VP in 2008.

Which incoming Governor is seen as the Democratic VP nominee?
Gavin Newsom-CA assuming Kamala Harris does not run.
Gwen Graham or Andrew Gillum-FL
Chris Kennedy-IL
Gretchen Whitmer-MI
Phil Murphy-NJ assuming Cory Booker does not run.
Betty Sutton-OH
Tom Perriello-VA assuming Warner,Kaine,and/or McAullife does not run.

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