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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 17, 2022

Are the 2024 and 2026 US Senate Election cycle going to be more or less favorable to the Democrats.

2024
Democrats are strongly favored to win-
CA(Linda Sanchez-D)
CT(Chris Murphy-D)
DE(Lisa Blunt Rochester-D)
HI(Tulsi Gabbard-D)
MD(John Sarbanes-D)
MA(Elizabeth Warren-D)
MN(Amy Klobuchar-D)
NJ(Robert Menendez-D)
NM(Martin Heinrich-D)
NY(Kirsten Gillibrand-D)
PA(Bob Casey Jr-D)
RI(Sheldon Whitehouse-D)
VT(TJ Donovan-D)
VA(Tim Kaine-D)
WA(Maria Cantwell-D)
WI(Tammy Baldwin-D$
Democrats are favored to win
ME(Chellie or Hannah Pingree-D)
MI(Haley Stevens-D)Stevens is likely to lose the 2022 Democratic primary race for MI-11CD to Andy Levin.
NV(Jacky Rosen-D)
Democrats are slightly favored to win
AZ(Kyrsten Sinema-D)
OH(Sherrod Brown-D)
Democrats might lose MT(Tester-D) and WV(Manchin-D).

2026
Democrats are strongly favored to win
DE(Chris Coons-D)
IL(Lauren Underwood-D)
MA(Ayanna Pressley-D)
NJ(Cory Booker-D)
OR(Jeff Merkley-D)
RI(David Cicilline-D)
VA(Mark Warner-D)
Democrats are favored to win
CO
John Hickenlooper-D if he decides to run again.
If Hickenlooper-D decides not to run, Jared Polis-D. If Polis-D decides not to run, It will be either Jena Griswold-D,Jason Crow-D, or Joe Neguse-D.
MI(Gary Peters-D)
MN(Tina Smith-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
If Shaheen-D decides not to seek re-election, Who wins in a general election matchup between Chris Sununu-R vs Chris Pappas-D.
Democrats are slightly favored to win
GA(Ossoff-D)

March 17, 2022

US Senate races in 2022 that the Democrats are likely to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tossup Races
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff.
52)WI(Barnes-D)

March 17, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are definitely gonna end up winning.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA 1/2023 runoff (Warnock-D)

If Democrats have a great night on Election Day,
WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)

March 17, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D
53)NC(Beasley-D)

March 17, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are definitely going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)

March 17, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are realistically going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
The Tossup US Senate Races are
GA runoff (Warnock-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)

March 16, 2022

Which 2022 Democratic US Senate candidate is a stronger general election candidate?

PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D) Lamb is doing well in endorsements.
WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D) Lasry comes from a family that has a lot of $$$$$. His father Marc is the co-owner of the Milwaukee Bucks which was previously own by recent former Democratic WI US Senator Herb Kohl-D.
In NC- Democrats are united behind Beasley.
In OH- Democrats are united behind Ryan.
In FL- Democrats are united behind Demings.

Beasley is a former judge.
Demings is a former police officer.

March 16, 2022

Is Mandela Barnes a stronger or weaker candidate than Russ Feingold?

Feingold lost both US Senate Elections 2010 and 2016 to Ron Johnson by a 4 percent margin. Will Mandela Barnes win, lose by a margin less than Feingold’s margin of defeat, or lose by a margin greater than Feingold’s margin of defeat.

March 16, 2022

We need to draft a Controversial Rightwing primary challenger against Jerry Moran-KS.

If Moran loses in the primary to this controversial rightwing nutcase, Democrats will have an opportunity win the 2022 KS US Senate Election.
The Democratic Nominee is going to be Former Kansas City Mayor Mark Holland.
KS badly needs a Democratic US Senator.

March 16, 2022

Democrat are likely to gain seats in the US Senate in 2022.

Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 except GA(Warnock-D) which will decided in the 1/2023 runoff.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NC(Beasley-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff

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