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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 29, 2022

When did Trudy Busch Valentine entered the 2022 MO US Senate Race?

How come Scott Sifton is the first MO Democratic public servant to endorse her while the Democratic establishment is backing Lucas Kunce?

March 29, 2022

What will the 2022 MD US Congress Districts be?

1)Lean R
2)Tilt D
3)Lean D
4)Safe D
5)Safe D
6)Likely D
7)Safe D
8)Safe D

Dutch Ruppersberger’s 2nd,John Sarbanes’s 3rd and David Trone’s 6th will be competitive but favorable to Democrats.
Steny Hoyer’s 5th and Jamie Raskin’s 8th will be safe Democratic.

March 28, 2022

Top Ten US Senate Seats likely to flip in 2022.

1)PA(OPEN Toomey-R)
2)NC(OPEN Burr-R)
3)WI(Johnson-R)
4)OH(OPEN Portman-R
5)FL(Rubio-R)
6)GA(Warnock-D)
7)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
8)AZ(Kelly-D)
9)NH(Hassan-D)
10)CO(Bennet-D)

Does MO(w/Grietens-R) fit in the top ten?

March 28, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D/Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

March 28, 2022

The most likely scenario for the 2022 US Senate Elections is Democrats trading GA for PA.

GA is going to be decided on 1/2023(runoff election) runoff election is unpredictable.
Democrats will win/pick up PA(Fetterman-D/Lamb-D are top tier candidates while Oz-R/McCormick-R are not.)
Democrats have a better chance of winning/picking up WI and NC than the Republicans have winning AZ and NV.

March 27, 2022

Battleground US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats will be going to win.

The safe Democratic favored seats.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
The likely Democratic favored seats.
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
The lean Democratic favored seats.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
The tilt Democratic favored seats.
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
The Tossup seats
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

March 27, 2022

US Senate seats that will keep Democrats in the majority are NV,AZ,and PA.

Democrats are definitely going win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) will be most likely decided on the 1/2023 runoff.
52)WI(Barnes-D) is running against Ron Johnson-R who defeated Russ Feingold-D twice. Johnson-R can not be underestimated.

March 26, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will be going to be winning.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)

March 25, 2022

Democratic US House Members from each state that are excellent candidates for statewide office.

AZ-Greg Stanton-D
CA-Katie Porter-D or Adam Schiff-D
CO-Jason Crow-D or Joe Neguse-D
CT-Jahana Hayes-D
FL-Debbie Wasserman Schultz-D
GA-Lucy McBath-D or Carolyn Bourdeaux-D
HI-Kai Kahele-D
IL-Raja Krishnamoorthi-D
ME-Jared Golden-D
MD-Jamie Raskin-D
MA-Jake Auchincloss-D
MI-Elissa Slotkin-D
MN-Angie Craig-D
NV-Susie Lee-D
NH-Chris Pappas-D
NJ-Josh Gottheimer-D
NM-Melanie Stansbury-D
NY-Antonio Delgado-D/Alexandria Ocasio Cortez-D
NC-Jeff Jackson-D
OR-Steven Cody Reynolds-D
PA-Chrissy Houlahan-D or Matt Cartwright-D
RI-David Ciciline-D
TX-Lizzie Fletcher-D or Colin Allred-D
VA-Elaine Luria-D or Abigail Spanberger-D
WA-Kim Schrier-D

March 25, 2022

If Democrats lose the majority in the US Senate in 2022, 2028 will be the year they get it back.

2022- Democrats will lose AZ,GA,and NV and fail to pick up FL,NC,OH,PA,and WI. Democrats will end up with 47 seats in a worst case scenario.
2024- Sinema(AZ) and Manchin(WV) are the most vulnerable. Democrats lose both and end up with 45 seats.
2026- Democrats hold onto GA(Ossoff-D),MI(Peters-D),and MN(Smith-D) and pick up NC. Democrats will have 46 seats.
2028- Democrats will win back
NV(Aaron Ford-D)
PA(Austin Davis-D) incoming PA Lieutenant Governor if Josh Shapiro-D becomes Governor.
WI(Josh Kaul-D)
AZ(Katie Hobbs-D)
GA(Stacy Abrams-D)

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