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nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 15, 2022

What seat is likely to be the Democrats 52nd US Senate seat?

NC(Beasley-D) or WI(Barnes-D)?

March 15, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats win to remain in the majority.

41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)

March 15, 2022

Colorado Democratic US House Members Neguse and Crow are likely candidates for statewide office.

Which one runs for Governor? Polis-D is term limited in 2026.
Which one runs for US Senator in 2026 if Hickenlooper decides not to seek re-election and Polis decides not to run for the US Senate?
Which one runs for the US Senator in 2028 if Bennet decides not to seek re-election?

Neguse or Crow become Governor in 2026.
Polis,Neguse, or Crow become US Senator in 2026 if Hickenlooper decides not to seek re-election.
Polis,Neguse, or Crow become US Senator in 2028 if Bennet decides not to seek re-election.

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators running for re-election in 2022 likely retire in 2028.

CO(Bennet-D) Crow-D or Neguse-D
CT(Blumenthal-D) Hayes-D or Himes-D
NY(Schumer-D) S.P. Maloney-D or Delgado-D
OR(Wyden-D) Hoyle-D
WA(Murray-D) DelBene-D, Jayapal-D,Schrier-D, or Strickland-D)

March 15, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are definitely going to win.

40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are likely going to win.

March 14, 2022

Which MA US Senator is going to leave office 1st? What year are the going to leave?

Warren is running for re-election in 2024. She is likely to get a cabinet Secretary position in Biden’s 2nd Presidential Term. MA is going to have Democratic Governor next year due to the fact that Charlie Baker is not seeking re-election.
Markey will be 80 years old when he is up for re-election in 2026.

Both Warren and Markey are in their late 70’s.

Their successors are going to be Lori Trahan-D Jake Achonoliss, Seth Moulton or Ayanna Presley.

March 14, 2022

Which CO US Senator is going to leave office 1st? What year are they going to leave?

Hickenlooper-D will be 74 in 2026 the next he is up for re-election and 80 in 2032.
Bennet-D has been in office since 2009. He is likely to retire in 2028 or 2034.
Whoever leaves office 1st will be succeeded by US Representatives Joe Neguse and/or Jason Crow.
Both Neguse and Crow have been in the US House since 2019.

March 14, 2022

What is the likelihood of NC having 2 black female US Senators five years from now?

Cheri Beasley-D wins in 2022.
Erica Smith-D wins in 2026.

March 14, 2022

2022 WI Democratic US Senate candidate Alex Lasry's father Mark Lasry is the co-owner of the Bucks.

Mark Lasry bought the Bucks basketball team from former WI US Senator Herb Kohl-D. Lasry can self fund.

March 14, 2022

Which US Senators running for re-election in 2022 is likely to lose re-election?

On the Democratic side-
Warnock-GA has to face voters again in the 1/2023 runoff which is going to be a Tossup.
Other vulnerable Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2022(Kelly-AZ,Cortez Masto-NV,Hassan-NH,Bennet-CO,and Murray-WA) are going to win re-election.
On the Republican side-
How strong of a candidate is Mandela Barnes? If Mandela Barnes does not appeal to swing voter, Will an alternative like Alex Lasry become the Democratic nominee and Can Lasry defeat Johnson?
The open Republican held US Senate seats up in 2022 that will go Democratic.
PA- Fetterman-D or Lamb-D defeats McCormick-R or Oz-R
NC-Beasley-D defeats McCrory-R,Budd-R or Walker-R.
OH-Ryan-D defeats Gibbons-R,Mandel-R,Timken-R or Vance-R?

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