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onetexan
onetexan's Journal
onetexan's Journal
October 25, 2024
Great discussion by these 2 on the insurgence of bad polls, yet independent polls remain steady and has Kamala up by 3-5 pts.
From 17.45 of the clip: Marist poling of early voters:
AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44
NC: Harris 55 Trump 44
GA: Harris 54 Trump 45
Simon Rosenberg & Tom Bonier on MeidasTouch: Trump Gets SURPRISING BAD NEWS from Latest Polls
&t=513sGreat discussion by these 2 on the insurgence of bad polls, yet independent polls remain steady and has Kamala up by 3-5 pts.
From 17.45 of the clip: Marist poling of early voters:
AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44
NC: Harris 55 Trump 44
GA: Harris 54 Trump 45
October 23, 2024
Meanwhile, independent polling indicates that Harris, the Vice President, is running through the finish line and, if the Democrats can get out their vote, is likely to be elected president.
Polling has consistently shown that Harris is building a team of Democrats, Independents and disaffected Republicans (from Bernie Sanders to Liz Cheney); the more voters learn about her, the more they like her; and she has dissolved Trump’s presumed advantage: the economy.
Harris has been ahead in nearly every independent poll released in the past two months, and there are signs that as election day draws near, she will claim most of the undecided and/or soft votes and win.
__________________________________________________
More on the article. For all the nervous folks out there (and i confess i was as well, BP through the roof at times LOL), this article puts things into perspective. We got this for Kamala & Gov Walz! Just a couple more weeks and this will be over with Dems locking it up! 
NJ: 3 tell-tale signs that Harris will beat Trump: Real polls, fake polls, enthusiasm
https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/10/3-tell-tale-signs-that-kamala-harris-will-beat-donald-trump.htmlMeanwhile, independent polling indicates that Harris, the Vice President, is running through the finish line and, if the Democrats can get out their vote, is likely to be elected president.
Polling has consistently shown that Harris is building a team of Democrats, Independents and disaffected Republicans (from Bernie Sanders to Liz Cheney); the more voters learn about her, the more they like her; and she has dissolved Trump’s presumed advantage: the economy.
Harris has been ahead in nearly every independent poll released in the past two months, and there are signs that as election day draws near, she will claim most of the undecided and/or soft votes and win.
__________________________________________________
More on the article. For all the nervous folks out there (and i confess i was as well, BP through the roof at times LOL), this article puts things into perspective. We got this for Kamala & Gov Walz! Just a couple more weeks and this will be over with Dems locking it up!
October 22, 2024
Another one...sigh. These russian windows need to be built better.
Newsweek: Russian Oligarch Found Dead in Moscow after Falling Out of Window
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-mysterious-death-oil-yukos-oligarch-rogachev-window-cancer-suicide-1972000Another one...sigh. These russian windows need to be built better.
October 21, 2024
Texans: i voted today, first day of early voting here in TX
I promptly got the hubby & my voters registration cards and gave my daughter hers. She said mom they will check the system with my driver license so i don't need it. I then put her card in my purse just in case anybody gave her a hard time.
Sure 'nough, we moved back to the north TX area 2.5 years ago and she had not changed her address. BUT i had made sure she mailed in her voter registration to the new county we're now in the first month we moved here.
Anyhoo, standing behind her I heard the clerk asking her in asking if she still lives in Austin. She said no. I then gave her her voter registration card which quickly resolved the problem. Had i not brought it she would not have been able to vote.
Moral of the story is to bring your card with you. I always bring mine just to make sure the repugs don't give me any chicanery & sure am glad i brought the kiddo's card with me. Once home i sent her the link to change her DL address as well.
BTW we voted around 11am CST and there was a steady stream of people coming in but no lines at this location. We had no issues, thank goodness. There have been reports of issues on other sites.
Editing post to add:
Any issues you witness should be reported to the Secretary of State's office at 800-252-8683. If you choose to contact your local election officials, you can look them up here.
Personally I would not rely on the local Sherriff or County Clerk, especially if you live in small towns. Many here are trumpers.
October 20, 2024
It's sad our MSM can't seem to cover these types of stories, which are relegated to these no name source types. BUT they were able to get it on youtube so i'm thankful they're at least accessible.
Youtube clip India Abroad: In Arizona, some Republicans support Kamala Harris
It's sad our MSM can't seem to cover these types of stories, which are relegated to these no name source types. BUT they were able to get it on youtube so i'm thankful they're at least accessible.
October 20, 2024
Amid a tightening race for president, Vice President Kamala Harris has opened up a significant lead over former President Donald Trump in a key swing state. In a poll released Friday, Bullfinch Group revealed data from a poll of 600 voters each in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
Overall, the data showed a close race, but voters in Michigan revealed a clear preference for Harris by a margin of 53% to 45% in a head-to-head matchup between Harris and Trump, and a margin of 51% to 43% when third party candidates are included. In both cases, Harris held an 8% lead.
The poll, which was taken over the course of Oct. 11-18, had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4%. The race is much closer in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the poll revealed.
In Wisconsin, voters preferred Harris by 3% (50%-47%) in a head-to-head matchup, and chose harris by 2% (48%-46%) when third party candidates were included.
Pennsylvania marked the closest state in the survey. Voters there were tied at 49% apiece in a head-to-head matching, and gave Harris a slight 49%-48% edge when third party candidates were included.
The poll also surveyed respondents on how they would vote in their states' respective U.S. Senate races. In all cases, the Democrat was ahead by a wider margin than in the presidential race.
In Michigan, Democrat Elissa Slotkin was ahead of Republican Mike Rogers by 9%, a margin of 51% to 42%. In Pennsylvania, incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr. was ahead of Republican challenger Dave McCormick by a 7% margin of 50% to 43%.
Wisconsin was the closest Senate race polled. Democratic incumbent Tammy Baldwin was ahead of Republican challenger Eric Hovde by a margin of 49% to 45%, or 4% total.
Full data from the survey is available here.
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Short article so i've posted all of the text.
YAYYYY!! C'mon swing state voters, take it to the finish & put Kamala way up!!!
Masslive: New presidential swing state poll has Harris up 8%
https://www.masslive.com/politics/2024/10/harris-vs-trump-new-presidential-swing-state-poll-has-harris-up-8.htmlAmid a tightening race for president, Vice President Kamala Harris has opened up a significant lead over former President Donald Trump in a key swing state. In a poll released Friday, Bullfinch Group revealed data from a poll of 600 voters each in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
Overall, the data showed a close race, but voters in Michigan revealed a clear preference for Harris by a margin of 53% to 45% in a head-to-head matchup between Harris and Trump, and a margin of 51% to 43% when third party candidates are included. In both cases, Harris held an 8% lead.
The poll, which was taken over the course of Oct. 11-18, had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4%. The race is much closer in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the poll revealed.
In Wisconsin, voters preferred Harris by 3% (50%-47%) in a head-to-head matchup, and chose harris by 2% (48%-46%) when third party candidates were included.
Pennsylvania marked the closest state in the survey. Voters there were tied at 49% apiece in a head-to-head matching, and gave Harris a slight 49%-48% edge when third party candidates were included.
The poll also surveyed respondents on how they would vote in their states' respective U.S. Senate races. In all cases, the Democrat was ahead by a wider margin than in the presidential race.
In Michigan, Democrat Elissa Slotkin was ahead of Republican Mike Rogers by 9%, a margin of 51% to 42%. In Pennsylvania, incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr. was ahead of Republican challenger Dave McCormick by a 7% margin of 50% to 43%.
Wisconsin was the closest Senate race polled. Democratic incumbent Tammy Baldwin was ahead of Republican challenger Eric Hovde by a margin of 49% to 45%, or 4% total.
Full data from the survey is available here.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Short article so i've posted all of the text.
YAYYYY!! C'mon swing state voters, take it to the finish & put Kamala way up!!!
October 10, 2024
The title is slightly misleading given this is more of a positive message, and a call to help where we can to get Harris Walz ticket to the finish line. I like watching his analysis and his leaning on hope (hence the name of his channel Hopium Chronicles), and because it puts things into perspective and makes me not freak out with the daily events unfolding.
See 14:45 for his coverage of the polling and the pros Kamala's got going for her campaign. Worth watching.
Simon Rosenberg's Hopium Chronicles - We Are Winning The Election But Have Not Won Yet
&t=1758sThe title is slightly misleading given this is more of a positive message, and a call to help where we can to get Harris Walz ticket to the finish line. I like watching his analysis and his leaning on hope (hence the name of his channel Hopium Chronicles), and because it puts things into perspective and makes me not freak out with the daily events unfolding.
See 14:45 for his coverage of the polling and the pros Kamala's got going for her campaign. Worth watching.
October 6, 2024
Race and age of Florida respondents seemed to correlate with which candidate they supported
Donald Trump’s lead in his home state of Florida has dwindled, putting it in play for Kamala Harris, a poll suggests. The former president leads the vice president by just two percentage points in the Sunshine State, where he has his Mar-a-Lago residence, according to a Thursday survey by Napolitan News Service conducted by RMG Research, which has historically favored Republicans.
There appeared to be a stark age divide in the poll’s findings. Harris dominated young Floridians, with 55 per cent of those polled supporting the Democratic nominee, compared to just 43 per cent supporting Trump. The former president leads significantly with the older crowd; more than half of those 65 and older — 53 per cent — expressed backing Trump compared to 44 per cent backing Harris.
Men and women were also split over the candidates, the survey shows. Harris garnered the support of 49 per cent of women respondents compared to 47 per cent who supported Trump, but the former president raked in 53 per cent of male participants while Harris earned 45 per cent.
_______________
More on the article.
The Independent: Florida is nearing toss-up status as top Republican poll shows Trump's lead nearly vanished
https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/florida-trump-toss-up-state-harris-b2624445.htmlRace and age of Florida respondents seemed to correlate with which candidate they supported
Donald Trump’s lead in his home state of Florida has dwindled, putting it in play for Kamala Harris, a poll suggests. The former president leads the vice president by just two percentage points in the Sunshine State, where he has his Mar-a-Lago residence, according to a Thursday survey by Napolitan News Service conducted by RMG Research, which has historically favored Republicans.
There appeared to be a stark age divide in the poll’s findings. Harris dominated young Floridians, with 55 per cent of those polled supporting the Democratic nominee, compared to just 43 per cent supporting Trump. The former president leads significantly with the older crowd; more than half of those 65 and older — 53 per cent — expressed backing Trump compared to 44 per cent backing Harris.
Men and women were also split over the candidates, the survey shows. Harris garnered the support of 49 per cent of women respondents compared to 47 per cent who supported Trump, but the former president raked in 53 per cent of male participants while Harris earned 45 per cent.
_______________
More on the article.
October 6, 2024
Love the AG!! 🌊🇺🇸
MI AG announces charges of double voters & complicit elction workers
?si=zcqE1Qre3EM6mlz8Love the AG!! 🌊🇺🇸
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