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Member since: Sun Sep 11, 2016, 09:37 PM
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Bingo. FDR's New Deal coalition was held in place by Jim Crow,

and once LBJ signed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 it set in motion realignment of the parties, where the conservative Dems began moving over to the GOP in successive waves, from Nixon to Reagan and to Trump.

At the same time liberal Repubs, women and non-whites started moving to the Dems, transforming the party to a metro-centric and diverse party.

The idea that conservative whites (rural and otherwise) started leaving due to stuff like NAFTA is a lie - it started with Civil Rights.

Agree. If anything RBG's death will move the left

in ways that Biden himself could not. Trump already moves the right.

The MSM is operating under the conventional wisdom that 'the Right votes on supreme court, Left does not'. This may be true in a generic sense but not when a liberal icon like RBG and her legacy is essentially 'on the ballot'. There is deep sadness and anger in the air, which will motivate the left and anti-Trump voters in general (women, moderates, etc).

Big pharma corps (which are pro-GOP) control the trials

and could rush or manipulate the trials to the get data they need that would help Trump get his October surprise.

Any vaccine approval released before the election is de facto political in nature and not to be trusted.

If these companies and gov't agencies care so much about the public buying into the vaccine (and vaccination) they would wait until after the election to do any approval.

I don't trust Fauci - he's another Mueller type

who 'the Resistance' views as some type of savior but is just another establishment white guy who wants to keep his spot at the country club - fuck him.

A true patriot would come out and condemn Trump and Hahn's attempts to politicize the FDA and the CDC, and should denounce the release of any vaccine before Election Day as it would be viewed as a political stunt and thus distrusted by half of the electorate.

+1. I've heard many people say this.

Someone as awful as Trump should be 20 points down, should've been impeached, etc, etc.

We have to thank Trump for one thing: he revealed the truth about our country (that many of us long suspected) and the nature of many of its citizens (many have no problem with a fascist as long as he's 'their facist') and institutions (police are a RW militia).

The good news is Biden does have solid and durable lead and nobody on our side is taking anything for granted like maybe some did last time. Biden's message is sharpening - he's hitting Trump hard where it hurts and I doubt there's anything Trump can do as the bodybags pile up and the October surprises rain down on him.

As Biden said in his acceptance speech - "I will be an ally of the light" - we just have to hope the light prevails.

We need to pitch a 'liberal' white identity politics.

As a gen-x PoC who grew up with many culturally liberal whites (ie, they are pro-choice and not religious) who now vote GOP - we can get these people back into the Dem column with the correct messaging.

Some white voters have the perception that Dems are for 'all of these other people' but have nothing specific for them. Like it or not people are snowflakes and like to feel catered to. We need to have an agenda specifically for (and use the term) 'white working class', and offer liberal solutions for alot of the problems (drugs, mental health, jobs, trade/outsourcing, education, healthcare, climate) that face many white communities.

Immigration is an issue that Trump killed us on with many groups, including some blacks, latinos, women, etc. We need to make it clear we support DACA but also believe in strong borders... basically take a centrist postion on immigration. Most voters don't want too much immigration, legal or illegal, as it puts too much pressure on the labor market, services, etc.

Guns often kill us with rural whites (and even some rural/southern latinos). We have to stress that we support gun control while respecting the rights of responsible gun owners. It's about getting guns out of the hands of dangerous people, which is good for everyone.

Carville knows what he's talking about.

I'm not a big fan of the Bernie wing, but the article in WaPo that came out the other day was very good, in terms of critiquing the weaknesses of the Biden campaign.

A great Dem once said 'it's the economy, stupid' and we can't allow Trump to beat us on this issue, which polls show to be Trump's one strong point.

We keep hearing that Trump lied about the virus, but we don't hear why. It's up to Biden/Harris to connect the dots. Trump lied to prop up the stock market while shoveling money (via the Fed and zero interest rates) to big corps - while forcing regular people into the pandemic to die for the 1 percent. Dems are the ones who passed the Cares Act and then the Heroes Act that is still being blocked by the GOP - while regular folks wait on food lines and have lost their healthcare.

the LA sheriff's dept is bad news

Whistleblower: California Deputy Killed Teen to Join Department’s “Gang”
“It is very disturbing – to say the least – that gangs are commonly known to exist within the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department. These reports go to the heart of our concerns that the Sheriff’s Department promotes and harbors a culture of violence against the public. Make no mistake, we have every intention of conducting a thorough investigation into the potential involvement of any Sheriff’s Department gang in the shooting of Andres Guardado.”

More than a dozen deputies have matching tattoos and belong to a violent clique called the Executioners at the station, according to Deputy Art Gonzalez, who filed a whistleblower complaint regarding the Executioners in June.

“I now call them a gang because that’s what gangs do – they beat up other people,” Gonzalez said.

His sworn testimony obtained by Spectrum News is for a separate excessive force case filed against Los Angeles County. The deputies in the lawsuit are accused of “chasing ink” – slang for trying to impress the Executioners to join their group.

“There are parties after shootings. They call them ‘998 parties.’ Some people say it’s to celebrate the deputy is alive. Others say it’s to celebrate that they’re going to be ‘inking’ somebody.”

LAist Reporter Josie Huang Arrested While Covering Protest
Even as she was being thrown to the ground, Huang — who was wearing a lanyard with her press credential hanging from her neck — was recording the encounter. In video that continued to film after her phone was knocked from her hand, Huang can be heard repeatedly identifying herself as a reporter and shouting “KPCC” several times. You also can hear Huang yelling "you're hurting me" and crying out in pain.

The incident occurred outside St. Francis Medical Center in Lynwood, where the two deputies were being treated for gunshot wounds. Huang had just finished covering a 10 p.m. news conference by Sheriff Alex Villanueva and other department officials.

Sheriff’s officials allege that Huang, an award-winning journalist, obstructed justice. The department initially refused to provide details of what happened, but later, Deputy Juanita Navarro of the Sheriff's Information Bureau confirmed that deputies took Huang into custody on suspicion of obstruction of justice by "interfering with a lawful arrest." Huang said she was trying to document the arrest of a protester, an account in line with her video from the scene.

Navarro also said Huang "didn't have proper credentials," but she was clearly wearing press credentials around her neck. A tweet from the Sheriff’s Department at 2:19 a.m. Sunday includes a false claim that Huang did not identify herself as a journalist. Huang told deputies at least five separate times that she was a reporter and KPCC staffer in less than a minute, according to the recording.

The polls were wrong in key states in the Midwest.

The poll models underestimated turnout of 'white non-college' voters (the white working class and rural whites) and overestimated turnout of urban PoC, which is why they were off by several points. Hillary didn't campaign in those states because both public and private polls said she was way ahead, and Comey's actions 11 days before the election sealed the deal (by shifting the undecideds heavily to Trump).

Alot of people on Twitter and Youtube noted that our convention was too touchy feely, and some of the musical performances were mocked by young people (especially the 'For What it's Worth' performance). Like it or not, some people are moved by 'fire and brimstone' and want to see some level of toughness and straight talk about policies.

I've never liked Sanders and thought he was vindictive in 2016. But I think this time he is operating in good faith and is just telling us what he is seeing amongst the demographics he handily won. Nevada concerns me as there have been several reports that Biden is underperforming with Latinos and youth as he did in the primaries. Bernie crushed in Nevada and we need his help, also with other swing states that could be decided by Latinos (especially young Latinos).

TLDR; we need to ignore the national polls and pay attention to state level and demographic trends, which are showing some weaknesses with certain groups, as we don't want to be 'surprised' and lose states we think we're going to win.

Alot of that message is spread by RW operatives and Russian bots

pretending to be black/brown Trump supporters, ie 'digital blackface' is what it's called, and it's designed to divide the Dem base and suppress votes.

To be sure there are PoC (conservative, as well as some far-left) who are anti-Dem and buy that message. But it is a message that is mainly spread as propaganda to divide.
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