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CajunBlazer

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Gender: Male
Hometown: Alabama
Home country: USA
Member since: Sat Jun 13, 2015, 04:35 PM
Number of posts: 5,648

Journal Archives

I believe our state of Alabama gave Hillary the biggest percentage win

Looks like Bernie got about 19% of the vote.

The race to watch tomorrow is Oklahoma

We will be voting tomorrow in Alabama and plan to deliver the state to Hillary by a very large margin. And don't worry about the rest of the South, all of the Southern states are in the bag for Hillary. However, whether its basketball, football or politics, the saying goes when you have your opponent down it's time to finish him off. I want Hillary Clinton to emerge victorious tomorrow in every state but Vermont, and I even like to see her over perform in Sanders's home state.

Bernie has concentrated his efforts in the states his campaign thinks he might have a chance: Massachusetts, Minnesota and Oklahoma. I am not worried in the least about Massachusetts and Minnesota, but Oklahoma may be a problem.

Nate Silvers is giving a lot of weight to a new Monmouth University poll of Oklahoma which shows Sanders with a 5% lead. As a result Silvers has narrowed his prediction from a 77% chance of a Clinton victory two days ago to 51% chance of a Clinton victory today.

With Hillary's chances of victory at 51% and Sanders at 49% we're looking at a virtual toss up. So I am going to pay particular attention to the results in Oklahoma. We probably won't have any choice because I suspect that the other races will be called early, if not immediately, but expect it to be much later before Oklahoma can be called.

So if you know anyone in Oklahoma, give them a call and ask them to be sure and vote, unless of course you think they will vote for Bernie.

More info on the Sanders' networth and income

How Bernie Sanders, the Socialist, Quietly Entered the Top 4% of Earners

The Koch Brothers to Attack Electric Cars

According to Forbes magazine, the brothers Charles and David Koch Forbes have with an estimated net worth of $41.1 billion apiece. While their business enterprise, Koch Industries, is the second largest privately owned corporation in the United States with annual revenues of $115 billion, they are perhaps best known for lavish contributions to conservative politicians and causes. This election cycle the billionaire brothers and their Koch-backed network of political contributors are expected spend $750 million to fund conservative PACís and super PACís supporting Republican candidates.

I read a lot about the Koch brothers and I have always regarded them among the greatest enemies of our democratic system. I have assumed that their political meddling was an expensive hobby, a passionate pastime like golf. However, recently I read a Huffington Post article,"The Kochs Are Plotting A Multimillion-Dollar Assault On Electric Vehicles" came away with a different impression.

(snip)

So why are Koch brothers and Koch Industries involved in effort to kill off electrical vehicles? Fred C. Koch, the father of Charles and David, built the foundation of the Koch business empire in the oil industry. Fossil fuels still make up a major chunk of Koch industries and the Koch brothers are not about to let the drive to produce clean energy eat away at their corporate profits. Their attack on electric vehicles is not their first venture in their campaign protect their business from competition from clean energy alternatives.

Rest of article here: The Koch Brothers to Attack Electric Cars

For those who say Hillary Clinton can't win the general election

(I got tired of those on the GD-P board citing polls to "prove" that Hillary can't with the general election without them, so I posted this on GD-P.)

Many on this board have made statements that Hillary can't win in November citing polls that they have seen. Okay, I think that we can agree that Donald Trump is presumptive Republican nominee. So let's see why establishment Republicans are going into panic mode at the thought of Trump leading the Republican ticket.

I just looked up the latest polls - Clinton vs. Trump - in the swing states of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Virginia. RealClearPolitics.com was my source.

As you know, because reliably blue states have more electoral votes than reliably red states, the Democratic candidate need only win one or two of the swing states to win the election. The Republican candidate can only afford to lose 1 or 2 at the most.

I took only polls which were completed in January or February of this year and here are the results - Clinton is leading Trump in 4 of these states (3 by large margins) and Trump slightly ahead in 2). Now what was that about Hillary Clinton not being able to win the general election?

Colorado - no recent polls

Florida - Trump +2.5%

Ohio - Trump +2%

Iowa - Clinton +5%

Nevada - no recent polls

New Hampshire - Clinton +7.5%

Virginia - Clinton +17%

Wisconsin - No recent polls

Pennsylvania - No recent polls

North Carolina - 3 polls - Clinton +1

Keep in mind that there is a long way to go before November and things can change. But if you believe in head to head polls this early on, you have to admit that Hillary certainly can win the general election.

For those who say Hillary Clinton can't win the general election

Many on this board have made statements that Hillary can't win in November citing polls that they have seen. Okay, I think that we can agree that Donald Trump is presumptive Republican nominee. So let's see why establishment Republicans are going into panic mode at the thought of Trump leading the Republican ticket.

I just looked up the latest polls - Clinton vs. Trump - in the swing states of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Virginia. RealClearPolitics.com was my source.

As you know, because reliably blue states have more electoral votes than reliably red states, the Democratic candidate need only win one or two of the swing states to win the election. The Republican candidate can only afford to lose 1 or 2 at the most.

I took only polls which were completed in January or February of this year and here are the results - Clinton is leading Trump in 4 of these states (3 by large margins) and Trump slightly ahead in 2). Now what was that about Hillary Clinton not being able to win the general election?

Colorado - no recent polls

Florida - Trump +2.5%

Ohio - Trump +2%

Iowa - Clinton +5%

Nevada - no recent polls

New Hampshire - Clinton +7.5%

Virginia - Clinton +17%

Wisconsin - No recent polls

Pennsylvania - No recent polls

North Carolina - 3 polls - Clinton +1

Keep in mind that there is a long way to go before November and things can change. But if you believe in head to head polls this early on, you have to admit that Hillary certainly can win the general election.

It took 10 sec. Hillary the winner in SC according to CNN

538 National Democratic Primary Polls (Hillary Group)

A number of posters have been indicating that Bernie has almost caught up to Hillary in the national poll. People in this group have been wondering how can that be if Hillary is ahead in most if not all of the state polls?

The answer is that unless you cherry pick some strange polls with different results from every other credible poll out there, Bernie Sanders in not not tied with or even close to Hillary Clinton in the National Polls.

Here is the latest results on the aggregation of 569 national polls over time from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com website weighted by Silver:

Clinton 49.6% Sanders 39.0% - Clinton +10.6%

To see the graph, click on the link below. Note: That while until recently Hillary's lead has been gradually narrowing, in the last few days the the graph lines are starting to diverge from one another which I believe means that Hillary's lead will be maintained nationally or it might grow in the coming days.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/national-primary-polls/democratic/

Polls and Predictions Ė Democratic Primaries through March 1st

The following are the results of the latest polls (source: realclearpolitics.com) and the projections of Nate Silver (source fivethirtyeight.com) for the Democratic primaries scheduled for 2/27/16 (South Carolina) and the twelve primaries scheduled for 3/1/16.


Link: Polls and Predictions Ė Democratic Primaries through March 1st

New Polls Over the Last Three Days

This will give us a feeling for the latest poll trends:

Friday, February 26

Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary (WBUR/MassINC) Sanders 44, Clinton 49
Clinton +5

Florida Democratic Presidential Primary (Quinnipiac) Clinton 59, Sanders 33
Clinton +26

Florida Democratic Presidential Primary (PPP) Clinton 57, Sanders 32
Clinton +25

Thursday, February 25

Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary (Monmouth) Clinton 60, Sanders 33
Clinton +27

Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary (TEGNA/SurveyUSA) Clinton 66, Sanders 27
Clinton +39

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary (TEGNA/SurveyUSA) Clinton 61, Sanders 32
Clinton +29

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary (Monmouth) Clinton 64, Sanders 30
Clinton +34

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary (Austin American-Statesman) Clinton 66, Sanders 26
Clinton +40

Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Clinton 65, Sanders 31
Clinton +34

Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary (Marquette) Clinton 43, Sanders 44
Sanders +1

Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary (Franklin & Marshall) Clinton 51, Sanders 29
Clinton +22

Wednesday, February 24

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary (Emerson) Clinton 56, Sanders 40
Clinton +16

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary (KTVT-CBS 11) Clinton 61, Sanders 29
Clinton +32

New Jersey Democratic Presidential Primary (Rutgers-Eagleton) Clinton 55, Sanders 32
Clinton +23

Maryland Democratic Presidential Primary (Goucher College) Clinton 58, Sanders 28
Clinton +30

Source: RealClearPolitics.com
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