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CajunBlazer

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: Alabama
Home country: USA
Member since: Sat Jun 13, 2015, 04:35 PM
Number of posts: 5,648

Journal Archives

Chins up Clinton people!

The loss in Michigan is a shock mostly because it was so unexpected - either the polls were wrong or the tide changed at the last moment. But the bottom line is that the loss did not fundamentally change the race except to motivate people like me to send Hillary even more money. This should be a wake up call to donate what you can, time or money to the campaign.

The race is fundamentally the same. Even if Sanders would do well in the other rust belt states, he will most likely do no more than split their delegates as he did in Michigan. Meanwhile Hillary will win be larger margins and more delegates other states. One thing good about splitting states proportionally, it makes it damn hard to catch up once your opponent has a good lead.

In addition, Michigan taught the Clinton team a valuable lesson - not only for the primaries but also for the GE. I think they will be much better going forward for having learned it.

Even with the very narrow loss in Michigan, Hillary pulled further ahead in the delegate count. Even if Hillary and Sanders were split the remaining delegates, which isn't going to happen, Sanders would still lose because the Super Delegates would have an excuse not to change sides and would make the difference

It is just going to be a longer slog than some of us thought.

I pity the Sanders supporters who will now be motivated to throw even more of their money down on a losing cause.

Cajun

Not all of the 1%'ers are like the Koch brothers and fossil fuel executives

(Just posted on the GD-P board - I'm sure all hell is about to break loose.)

When are people going to wise up to the fact that some of the 1% are on our side, Some of the very rich actually have a conscious. Not all of the executives on Wall street are trying to buy votes with their contributions. Some have stated publicly that they are more than willingly pay higher taxes. Others don't need the government tax breaks and cozy deals; they have too much money to worry about such BS. Some billionaires are teaming up with other billionaires to give away most of their fortunes to charity.

A progressive candidate would be foolish not to set up a Super PAC and not take their money, especially when the Koch Brothers and other evil billionaires are funding the opposition with hundreds of millions of dollars in this election cycle alone. Wouldn't that be better than extracting $27 contributions from folks who really can't afford it.


Not all of the 1%'ers are like the Koch brothers and the fossil fuel executives

When are people going to wise up to the fact that some of the 1% are on our side, Some of the very rich actually have a conscious. Not all of the executives on Wall street are trying to buy votes with their contributions. Some have stated publicly that they are more than willingly pay higher taxes. Others don't need the government tax breaks and cozy deals; they have too much money to worry about such BS. Some billionaires are teaming up with other billionaires to give away most of their fortunes to charity.

A progressive candidate would be foolish not to set up a Super PAC and not take their money, especially when the Koch Brothers and other evil billionaires are funding the opposition with hundreds of millions of dollars in this election cycle alone. Wouldn't that be better than extracting $27 contributions from folks who really can't afford it.

March Polls and Projections - Not looking good for Bernie

The following are the results of the latest polls and projected chances of winning the Democratic Presidential primaries and caucuses scheduled from March 6th through the end of March 2016. (Sources: Polls RealClearPolitics.com, Projections projects.fivethirtyeight.com.)

March Democratic Primaries and Caucuses Polls and Projections

March Democratic Primaries and Caucuses Polls and Projections

The following are the results of the latest polls and projected chances of winning the Democratic Presidential primaries and caucuses scheduled from March 6th through the end of March 2016. (Sources: Polls RealClearPolitics.com, Projections projects.fivethirtyeight.com.)

Not looking good for Bernie

March Democratic Primaries and Caucuses Polls and Projections

CNN called Louisiana for Clinton

I'm hoping my old state beats my new state, Alabama, in the percentage for Hillary

CNN called Louisiana for Clinton

Trump White House may spark recession: Meg Whitman

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE) CEO Meg Whitman said Friday Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump 's policies could send the U.S. economy spiraling into recession and would increase the national debt and deficit.

"His ... plan to put on a 35 percent tariff for goods imported into the United States from Mexico and China would sink this country into a recession," she told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street." "It would penalize global companies who are trying to be competitive globally."

Whitman served as national finance co-chair for New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie 's failed bid for the Republican nomination. She called Christie's endorsement of Trump "an astonishing display of political opportunism."

"Donald Trump is unfit to be president. He is a dishonest demagogue who plays to our worst fears. Trump would take America on a dangerous journey. Christie knows all that and indicated as much many times publicly," Whitman said in a statement following the endorsement.

Trump White House may spark recession: Meg Whitman

I believe our state of Alabama gave Hillary the biggest percentage win

Looks like Bernie got about 19% of the vote.

The race to watch tomorrow is Oklahoma

We will be voting tomorrow in Alabama and plan to deliver the state to Hillary by a very large margin. And don't worry about the rest of the South, all of the Southern states are in the bag for Hillary. However, whether its basketball, football or politics, the saying goes when you have your opponent down it's time to finish him off. I want Hillary Clinton to emerge victorious tomorrow in every state but Vermont, and I even like to see her over perform in Sanders's home state.

Bernie has concentrated his efforts in the states his campaign thinks he might have a chance: Massachusetts, Minnesota and Oklahoma. I am not worried in the least about Massachusetts and Minnesota, but Oklahoma may be a problem.

Nate Silvers is giving a lot of weight to a new Monmouth University poll of Oklahoma which shows Sanders with a 5% lead. As a result Silvers has narrowed his prediction from a 77% chance of a Clinton victory two days ago to 51% chance of a Clinton victory today.

With Hillary's chances of victory at 51% and Sanders at 49% we're looking at a virtual toss up. So I am going to pay particular attention to the results in Oklahoma. We probably won't have any choice because I suspect that the other races will be called early, if not immediately, but expect it to be much later before Oklahoma can be called.

So if you know anyone in Oklahoma, give them a call and ask them to be sure and vote, unless of course you think they will vote for Bernie.
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