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CajunBlazer

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: Alabama
Home country: USA
Member since: Sat Jun 13, 2015, 05:35 PM
Number of posts: 5,648

Journal Archives

Don't look now, but Hillary may be closer in NH than we think

I have no solid evidence what so ever, but I have seen several "typical" NH voters interviewed on CNN who were independents who would normally vote in the Democrat primary (Bernie's favorite type of people) who voted in the Republican primary instead, primarily because it was more "interesting".

It's going to be interesting!

New post New Hampshire polls out today - RealClearPolitics.com

Arkansas Democratic Presidential Primary (Talk Business/Hendrix College) Clinton 57, Sanders 25
Clinton +32

Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell) Clinton 57, Sanders 28
Clinton +29

Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary (IMP/Target Insyght) Clinton 62, Sanders 30
Clinton +32

Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary (IMP/Target Insyght) Clinton 62, Sanders 30
Clinton +32

Prediction: Minorities Will Put Down Bernie’s Revolution

We have learned that the country’s changing demographics will have a major affect on future Presidential elections, perhaps starting this year. Minority segments or population of the United States are growing more rapidly then their non-Hispanic white counterpart and since minorities usually vote heavily for Democratic candidates, the GOP is expected to be increasingly at a disadvantage. However, the country’s minority voters are also expected to be a major factor in the 2016 Democratic primaries and caucuses. Hispanic and Afro American Democratic voters in particular are in large part less liberal than their white brethren and most don’t appear to be enlisting for Bernie Sanders’ revolution.

In Iowa minorities make up only 9 percent of the Democratic voting population, so as expected, entrance polls at the recent caucuses had only small groups of minorities to sample. However, if the data from those samples is accurate, Bernie is fortunate that minorities didn’t make up a greater percentage of the Iowa electorate during the caucuses. He had the backing of only 33% of the minorities who caucused while over 60% voted for Hillary Clinton.

That statistic will not matter a great deal in New Hampshire (February 9th) where minorities make up just 5% of the Democratic voters, but it doesn’t bode well for Sanders in the thirteen follow on state primaries and caucuses scheduled between February 20th and March 1st. A week after New Hampshire is the Nevada caucus (2/20). Nevada’s Hispanics make up one-fifth of the state’s voters. The state also has sizeable African-American and Asian-American populations so overall minorities make up 39% of the population of Nevada. Since most of Nevada’s minorities vote Democratic, they will make up an even larger percentage of the voters in the state’s Democratic caucuses.

Next on February 27th comes the South Carolina Democratic primary where minorities are expected to make up fully 55% of the voters. Then, four days later are the so called “Southeastern Conference Primaries”, consisting of 11 states and the territory of American Samoa, which are all scheduled for February first. The states participating will be: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia. Obviously this set of primaries is heavily weighted with Southern states, hence the nickname.

All seven of the Southern states have very large Afro American and/or Hispanic populations. Yes, I am including Oklahoma whose voting population is 27.8% minorities. In addition, the white Democrats in these Southern states are more moderate in their political views than their more liberal counterparts in Iowa and especially in New Hampshire and that does not bode well for Bernie Sanders. .......

Entire article here: Prediction: Minorities Will Put Down Bernie’s Revolution

Prediction: Minorities Will Put Down Bernie’s Revolution

We have learned that the country’s changing demographics will have a major affect on future Presidential elections, perhaps starting this year. Minority segments or population of the United States are growing more rapidly then their non-Hispanic white counterpart and since minorities usually vote heavily for Democratic candidates, the GOP is expected to be increasingly at a disadvantage. However, the country’s minority voters are also expected to be a major factor in the 2016 Democratic primaries and caucuses. Hispanic and Afro American Democratic voters in particular are in large part less liberal than their white brethren and most don’t appear to be enlisting for Bernie Sanders’ revolution.

In Iowa minorities make up only 9 percent of the Democratic voting population, so as expected, entrance polls at the recent caucuses had only small groups of minorities to sample. However, if the data from those samples is accurate, Bernie is fortunate that minorities didn’t make up a greater percentage of the Iowa electorate during the caucuses. He had the backing of only 33% of the minorities who caucused while over 60% voted for Hillary Clinton.

That statistic will not matter a great deal in New Hampshire (February 9th) where minorities make up just 5% of the Democratic voters, but it doesn’t bode well for Sanders in the thirteen follow on state primaries and caucuses scheduled between February 20th and March 1st. A week after New Hampshire is the Nevada caucus (2/20). Nevada’s Hispanics make up one-fifth of the state’s voters. The state also has sizeable African-American and Asian-American populations so overall minorities make up 39% of the population of Nevada. Since most of Nevada’s minorities vote Democratic, they will make up an even larger percentage of the voters in the state’s Democratic caucuses.

Next on February 27th comes the South Carolina Democratic primary where minorities are expected to make up fully 55% of the voters. Then, four days later are the so called “Southeastern Conference Primaries”, consisting of 11 states and the territory of American Samoa, which are all scheduled for February first. The states participating will be: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia. Obviously this set of primaries is heavily weighted with Southern states, hence the nickname.

All seven of the Southern states have very large Afro American and/or Hispanic populations. Yes, I am including Oklahoma whose voting population is 27.8% minorities. In addition, the white Democrats in these Southern states are more moderate in their political views than their more liberal counterparts in Iowa and especially in New Hampshire and that does not bode well for Bernie Sanders. .......

Entire article here: Prediction: Minorities Will Put Down Bernie’s Revolution

It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!!

(Also posted on DU-P board)

When anyone posts anything critical of Bernie Sanders what do Sanders's support's do?

Do they counter rational arguments in the message with valid rational arguments of their own? No! The immediately attack the messenger and shout: It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!!

When anyone posts anything complementary of Hillary Clinton, what do Sanders's support's do?

Do they counter rational arguments in the message with valid rational arguments of their own? No! The immediately attack the messenger and shout: It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!!

I have seen this reaction time and time again. Is it because Sanders' supporters have no rational arguments to counter points made by those who are critical of Sanders or complementary of Clinton, or is it because they are too lazy indulge in actual debate so they take the easy way out?

Oh yea, I can hear the response to this post now - the guy who wrote this piece is a right wing nut job! Then it should be easy for you to counter his points with your superior socialist talking points. What are you going to in the general election when all of he attacks are coming from the right wing? Do you think that yelling It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!! will you convince undecided voters?

It is the for Sanders supporters to realize that this is not a place here to act like high school cheerleaders, it is a place to discuss serious discussions.

It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!!

When anyone posts anything critical of Bernie Sanders what do Sanders's support's do?

Do they counter rational arguments in the message with valid rational arguments of their own? No! The immediately attack the messenger and shout: It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!!

When anyone posts anything complementary of Hillary Clinton, what do Sanders's support's do?

Do they counter rational arguments in the message with valid rational arguments of their own? No! The immediately attack the messenger and shout: It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!!

I have seen this reaction time and time again. Is it because Sanders' supporters have no rational arguments to counter points made by those who are critical of Sanders or complementary of Clinton, or is it because they are too lazy indulge in actual debate so they take the easy way out?

Oh yea, I can hear the response to this post now - the guy who wrote this piece is a right wing nut job! Then it should be easy for you to counter his points with your superior socialist talking points. What are you going to in the general election when all of he attacks are coming from the right wing? Do you think that yelling It's a conspiracy, It's a conspiracy!!! will you convince undecided voters?

It is the for Sanders supporters to realize that this is not a place here to act like high school cheerleaders, it is a place to discuss serious discussions.

Who said this: "“I am not now, nor have I ever been, a liberal Democrat”?

From Politico:
Can Bernie Sanders Win the Love of a Party He Scorns?
The long, troubled history of Bernie Sanders and the 'ideologically bankrupt' party whose White House nod he now seeks. By Michael Kruse and Manu Raju

You don’t change the system from within the Democratic Party.”

“My own feeling is that the Democratic Party is ideologically bankrupt.”

“We have to ask ourselves, ‘Why should we work within the Democratic Party if we don’t agree with anything the Democratic Party says?’”

(snip)

In that summer’s issue of Vermont Affairs magazine, he called the Democratic Party “ideologically bankrupt,” then added: “They have no ideology. Their ideology is opportunism.”

(snip)

At the Socialist Scholars Conference in New York City in April 1990, he asked, “Why should we work within the Democratic Party … ?” He said at the gathering he was running for Congress that year again as an independent because it would be “hypocritical” of him to run as a Democrat considering the kinds of things he had said about the party.








Bernie Sanders is damaging the Democratic Party

Bernie says you can't be a progressive and a moderate at the same time. This reminds me of the Republican Tea Partiers who want to close down the GOP to all but the radical right. Efforts to create the Republican "Big Tent" have failed miserably and the GOP has been weakened significantly by that failure.

This has been the Achilles heel of Republican party in the last few Presidential elections. Ultra conservative Republican candidates have forced their more moderate and electable candidates to adopt stances which are more conservative than they are comfortable with in order to win their party's nomination. Once they have that nomination those stances have been their downfall in the General Election.

That is exactly what Bernie is doing in an effort to win a pitiful few delegates in in extremely liberal New Hampshire. While now Sanders is obviously in it to win it, one the prime goal of his campaign early on has been to pull Hillary further to the left. He is succeeding.

I strenuously object to the notion that one cannot be a progressive and moderate at the same time. I like many Clinton supporters believe strongly in many of the same progressive values which Bernie professes. We disavow many of the values that Republicans seem to cherish. We are all on the same side folks. What makes some of us moderate progressives is how far we are willing to go to accommodate political reality.

This is what the the Democratic party should be about - a party which deeply rooted in progressive values, but realistic enough in its positions to take and keep the White House. Political ideals without political power is the height of frustration. We cannot be like the Republicans who eat their own, who make their candidates virtually unelectiable.

We can not afford to make the same mistakes as the Republicans. We cannot be constantly fighting among ourselves because that weakens us to external forces. We can and must build a big tent in the Democratic Party where progressives from the far left to the very moderate can all peacefully coexist together. We must succeed where the Republicans have failed. That is the only way we will have the strength to put our ideas into practice.



Bernie Sanders is inadvertently damaging the Democratic Party

Bernie says you can't be a progressive and a moderate at the same time. This reminds me of the Republican Tea Partiers who want to close down the GOP to all but the radical right. Efforts to create the Republican "Big Tent" have failed miserably and the GOP has been weakened significantly by that failure.

This has been the Achilles heel of Republican party in the last few Presidential elections. Ultra conservative Republican candidates have forced their more moderate and electable candidates to adopt stances which are more conservative than they are comfortable with in order to win their party's nomination. Once they have that nomination those stances have been their downfall in the General Election.

That is exactly what Bernie is doing in an effort to win a pitiful few delegates in in extremely liberal New Hampshire. While now Sanders is obviously in it to win it, one the prime goal of his campaign early on has been to pull Hillary further to the left. He is succeeding.

I strenuously object to the notion that one cannot be a progressive and moderate at the same time. I like many Clinton supporters believe strongly in many of the same progressive values which Bernie professes. We disavow many of the values that Republicans seem to cherish. We are all on the same side folks. What makes some of us moderate progressives is how far we are willing to go to accommodate political reality.

This is what the the Democratic party should be about - a party which deeply rooted in progressive values, but realistic enough in its positions to take and keep the White House. Political ideals without political power is the height of frustration. We cannot be like the Republicans who eat their own, who make their candidates virtually unelectiable.

We can not afford to make the same mistakes as the Republicans. We cannot be constantly fighting among ourselves because that weakens us to external forces. We can and must build a big tent in the Democratic Party where progressives from the far left to the very moderate can all peacefully coexist together. We must succeed where the Republicans have failed. That is the only way we will have the strength to put our ideas into practice.

The jury system is totally out of wack

This afternoon I was a jury where someone called another poster a .... |(well, you can read the name used for yourself below), yet the jury decision was to leave the post alone. Since when is calling someone a ........ not a personal attack.

This is getting ridiculous. On the other hand, people have been hid for a lot less than that, like calling the a statement in a post "irrational". That's a comment about someone's statement, not a personal attack on poster who stated the opinion.

Obviously who someone supports for the nomination has a lot more influence on jury decisions on this board than the behavior they exhibited. People who indulge in these exhibitions of prejudice (there is nothing else you can call it), do not deserve the proud title of "progressive".

Other people are lurking in the groups of their candidate's opponent specifically to alert on posts made in those supposedly protected environments. How childish and petty.

And aren't bright enough to express ourselves without littering our posts with words we wouldn't use in front of children?

I could understand these kinds of reprehensible behaviors on a site called the Republican Underground or from a bunch of internet brats who lose all sense of manners and decorum every time they get a mouse or a smart phone in their hands, but not here on a site reserved for people who are supposed to value free speech and civil behavior. Right now we ample reason to be ashamed of ourselves.

Oh you and I aren't guilty because we never act like that. Well, when people on "our side" indulge in bad behavior and those of us that segment tolerate it and do not call them out, then we essentially condone that behavior so we share some guilt. And I must admit I am personally guilty of this.

While we we may disagree on just about everything in this in this race for the nomination, can't we at least quit acting like a bunch of uncivilized Republicans.

Here the text of the jury decision email:

On Wed Feb 3, 2016, 04:16 PM an alert was sent on the following post:

Because you're a dick head....

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=7583375

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

personal attack

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Wed Feb 3, 2016, 04:23 PM, and the Jury voted 2-5 to LEAVE IT.

Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Over-the-top, rude.
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It is a personal attack...on an apparent troll. Leave.
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #6 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Duh, calling someone a ....
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given

Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.
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