Amishman
Amishman's JournalHow much longer can we keep things shut down?
I'm starting to see stay at home orders extended into May, and new infections do not seem to be declining.
Some businesses are putting together contingency plans for this running well into summer or fall. I don't think we can extend the lockdowns that far without economic collapse that no amount of stimulus will resolve.
I am starting to think the only way to get out of this is about six more weeks of stay at home. During that time we need more improvised hospitals, mass production of vents and protective equipment, crash training of additional medical staff, large scale coordinated trials of every proposed vaccine or treatment, public training on proper use of masks and gloves.
Then we open back up, with masks mandated in public.
The problem is the 'moon program' needed in the remaining shutdown needs a strong hand to do it, and we have a citrus fruit for a president.
Am I missing something? The way I see it the state lockdowns are outside Trump's control
They were instituted at the state and local level, and at a glance I can't find anything that would allow him to overrule them.
He can have all the tantrums he wants, but the states hardest hit have D governors, who will gleefully tell him to fuck off. major metro areas across the country have Democratic mayors, almost without exception
He is powerless on this matter.
9-0 SCOTUS ruling against asset forfeiture, this is a big deal
Just came out an hour ago
https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/430742-supreme-court-clamps-down-on-excessive-fines-by-states
This is a really big deal as it is the first time the 8th amendment has been applied to limit penalties and forfeiture at the state / local level. It opens the door wide to additional challenges against unreasonable fines and the common practice of seizing unrelated assets from suspects.
The case in question involved an individual with a drug related offense with a maximum fine of 10k. He had purchased a car with 40k of money from a life insurance policy paid out when his father died. His car was seized under the pretense that it had been used to transport drugs.
Bump stock ban is finalized, banned from sale and 90 days to surrender
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2018/11/28/politics/final-bump-stock-ban/index.htmlMy worry is that this too good, especially from Trump.
By executive order and with no compensation offered, I am wondering if this is intentional to try and set up a quick Supreme Court ruling overturn a lot of existing laws now that they have their right wing majority firmly in place on the SCOTUS.
Anyone have updates on where Tester's race stands?
Is the 16% outstanding absentee votes or just precincts which couldn't report last night for some reason?
If it's the latter, I think Tester survives easily. If it's the former I'll be nervous as absentee usually older voters who trend more conservative
Can't seem to find any info on when we might know this one
please ignore 538, their model is spazzing. Try the NYT
The NYT site is easy to use and their predictor factors in where votes are outstanding, not just what is in so far
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-elections.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-forecast.html
they don't seem to have enough results for the latter to be running yet
Montana Senate just got tighter, libertarian candidate withdraws and endorses Republican
https://www.yahoo.com/news/libertarian-backs-republican-tight-montana-senate-race-180339933--election.htmlNate Silver's adjusted lead on the last to polls were 4 and 6 percent with a tightening trend. This will probably give Rosendale an extra 1-2%
Collins to announce her voting intention at 3pm today from Senate floor
https://www.newscentermaine.com/mobile/article/news/local/sen-susan-collins-will-announce-her-vote-on-kavanaugh-today/97-601146413Not sure what to make of this, I really didn't expect her to hint at anything before the vote. Perhaps her principles won out and she is making a speech to push the other fence sitters to vote No?
Where is our counter proposal tax bill?
The best way to underscore the flaws in the Pubs tax bill would be to offer our own. It also counters their claims of obstructionism. I think everyone can agree the current convoluted nightmare of tax regs and loopholes is an abomination. We need to show America what real tax reform should look like.
Why haven't we put forth our own proposal?
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Member since: Wed Nov 12, 2014, 12:35 PMNumber of posts: 5,880