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Algernon Moncrieff

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Member since: Sun Apr 20, 2014, 12:49 AM
Number of posts: 5,099

Journal Archives

Question #1: When is it actually too late to jump into these primaries?

Question #2: Patrick and Bloomberg are considering throwing their hats in the ring. What do either of them bring that other candidates have not brought already?

Question #3: This is for the undecided among us (you can answer and have a stated preference, though - I'm not the DU police): Who might you want to see running that is not running now?

Question #4: What drives your thought process most on a candidate right now: a) My main priority is a candidate that holds policy positions that I share; b) My main priority is a candidate that will defeat Donald Trump

Apropos of nothing: I had occasion to drive from the Midwest to Florida and back last week. I'd observe the following: a) I saw towns (Cairo, IL sticks out in my mind) that are in economic wreckage against a backdrop of alleged expansion; b) I saw a lot of Trump 2020 bumper stickers in Florida, so there is clearly work to be done; c) I saw flooding along the Missouri and Mississippi rivers. Whether you want to think of it in terms of climate change or infrastructure, there is work to be done; d) No matter where you travel, legacy radio (AM/FM) has become dominated not only by right wing talk, but also by Christian programming - both straight preaching and Christian themed music. I'm not sure what to make of all of it, but we seem oddly disconnected to one another in this nation.

...but I digress.
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Tue Nov 12, 2019, 02:05 AM (15 replies)

I'd like to say "Thank you!" To the mebers of our SpecialForces on the al-Baghdadi raid.

He was an evil bastard, and whatever any of you did to hasten his demise is genuinely appreciated.

It's your commander in chief I dislike. None of you strike me as having bone spur issues.

I'm also glad you all had no casualties.
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Sun Oct 27, 2019, 09:50 PM (8 replies)

My Prediction: House votes to impeach. Senate fails to convict. Trump claims exoneration.

The Republicans in Congress are more concerned with keeping power than the Constitution. JMHO.

Also, expect many more less-than-veiled threats of violence/civil unrest/civil war if the President elected by a minority of the voters is removed/seriously threatened with removal. If by some miracle he is removed, also expect secession ("Texit" ) talk to loudly resume.

Unrelated: There should be a separate "Hearings & Impeachment" forum.
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Thu Oct 24, 2019, 01:22 PM (11 replies)

If you are in the Beto/Castro/Booker/Klobuchar part of the pack, do you stay thru SC or fold sooner?

Amy Klobuchar has had good debate moments, and is looking for a good showing in Iowa (a neighboring state)

Booker hasn't seemed to connect.

Castro and O'Rourke are both struggling, and I can't help but think one or both might be better served running for Senate in Texas.

Is it worth staying, or is the cake baked with Biden/Warren/Sanders/Harris/ & Mayor Pete?
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Tue Oct 22, 2019, 02:10 AM (18 replies)

As we wind this debate down....

1) Who do you think did themselves the most good tonight and why?

2) Who could have done better/did badly?

3) How did you feel about the operation of the debate/format/Anderson Cooper et. al.?
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Tue Oct 15, 2019, 10:32 PM (6 replies)

Question about the Yang (and, apparently, Gabbard) UBI proposal.

Would the $1,000 per month payment be in addition to programs such as SNAP and Section 8, or in lieu of such programs?
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Tue Oct 15, 2019, 10:10 PM (17 replies)

Question for DU Legal Minds: What law did Trump break?

Put another way: It's obviously unseemly to pressure a foreign leader into doing political dirty work. But what actual law/statute was broken?

Whoever, owing allegiance to the United States, levies war against them or adheres to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort within the United States or elsewhere, is guilty of treason and shall suffer death, or shall be imprisoned not less than five years and fined under this title but not less than $10,000; and shall be incapable of holding any office under the United States.

(June 25, 1948, ch. 645, 62 Stat. 807; Pub. L. 103–322, title XXXIII, § 330016(2)(J), Sept. 13, 1994, 108 Stat. 2148.)

As much as I see this as undermining our Constitution, a) Ukraine is not an enemy (nor, technically, is Russia at this time) and I think it'd be difficult to assert he's levied war, in the traditional sense. So I don't see treason. Corruption? Hell Yes! But not treason.

Is extorting a foreign leader while President a crime? Answer: I have no idea.

Is this, in a sense, an Emoluments Clause violation -- an attempt at personal enrichment/benefit on the part of the President?

Will the House ultimately have a stronger case for pressing Obstruction of Justice, as described in the Muller Report?
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Wed Sep 25, 2019, 11:59 PM (39 replies)

Fool America again in the Middle East - then shame on us!

Amazing coincidence that "Iran" attacks a huge Saudi Arabian oil facility at a time when US gas prices were, in some places, were heading south of $2.20 a gallon....and it's an amazing coincidence that a frothing-at-the-mouth anti-Iranian hawk is standing for a tough reelection fight in Israel when "Iran" attaks a huge Saudi Arabian oil facility.... and given that Trump supporters skew older and whiter, it's an amazing coincidence that the nation that took our embassy workers as hostages attacks our good friends in Saudi Arabia (from which the 9-11 attackers and masterminds came) when Trump is in a tough reelection battle.

Remember the Gulf of Tonkin. Remember the Iraqi WMDs.

1) Tell your Senators and Congressman that no US loss of lives will be tolerated in defense of "Mister Bone Saw."

2) Spread the word that any money that we would spend on more Middle Eastern war would be better invested in tax breaks for electric cars, hybrid cars, wind projects, and solar projects.

No fight between a religious dictatorship and an absolute monarchy should ever be the American taxpayer's problem.
Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Wed Sep 18, 2019, 11:06 AM (3 replies)

Kita Alexander

My favorite Australian pop star that no one has heard of...

Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Wed Sep 11, 2019, 12:46 AM (0 replies)

NY Mag: Surging in Polls, Elizabeth Warren Now Has a Path to the Nomination

(This is also posted in the Warren group, of which I am not currently a member. Note also this is based on information before this weekend's appearances in Iowa)

Recent polls have clearly indicated that Warren is going places. The RealClearPolitics national polling averages show her as basically tied with Bernie Sanders for second place with Joe Biden’s lead narrowing. The two most recent national polls (from Quinnipiac and Economist–You Gov) place her seven and five points, respectively, ahead of Sanders. Just as important, she’s gaining strength in the early states. A new Monmouth poll from Iowa places her ten points ahead of Bernie, and just nine points behind Biden, in a state where everyone concedes she has the best organization. In New Hampshire polls, where Biden’s early lead was less formidable, she’s nipping at Sanders’s heels. Warren is in a similar position in Nevada (which holds its caucuses 11 days after the New Hampshire primary), where Politico reported yesterday that she has already built a “monster” of an organization.

Warren is also clearly making gains in her implicit rivalry with her friend and ally Bernie Sanders for the affections of self-consciously progressive voters, even as she maintains some potential as a party-unifying figure that Bernie may lack thanks to leftover bad memories of his 2016 campaign. In that recent national Quinnipiac survey, she trounced Sanders among “very liberal” voters and actually led him among those under the age of 35.

Whether or not you think Sanders is losing strength (there’s evidence pointing in both directions on that proposition), it is clear that Warren is benefiting from the erosion in Kamala Harris’s support, which probably reflects both the dissipation of the buzz she commanded after the first round of debates and her widely panned performance in the second. Harris’s national polling average has dropped from 15 to 8 percent in the last month. And perhaps just as important, she’s showing little or no progress in taking away Joe Biden’s overpowering position among African-American voters, central to the Obama Redux strategy she is relying on. Quinnipiac gives her just one percent of the black vote nationally. A somewhat older Monmouth survey of South Carolina showed Harris with 12 percent of African-American support in what for her is a key state, where a majority of Democratic primary voters are black — but Joe Biden had 51 percent.

Put all that together with the inability of any candidates outside the Big Four of Biden, Warren, Sanders, and Harris to gain any momentum at all, and for the first time you can clearly see a plausible path to the nomination for Warren.

Posted by Algernon Moncrieff | Sun Aug 11, 2019, 07:17 PM (9 replies)
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