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New Haven

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: New England
Current location: Connecticut
Member since: Sun Oct 28, 2012, 10:27 AM
Number of posts: 933

About Me

A child of the 60\\\'s, a lifelong Democrat and a sense that our elected officials , especially the President, set the tone of civility in our great country. I worked on JFK\\\'s campaign and on Barack Obama\\\'s (twice). High School Class of 1963 I was moved by MLK\\\'s march on Washington, and to see that go full circle and have Mr. Obama for President is quite gratifying. When I see remnants of the John Birch society still quite active in the Tea Party it strengthens my beliefs and support of the Democratic Party.

Journal Archives

Clinton's lead over Sanders increases by 5% after Biden drops out

http://www.270towin.com/news/#.VisClLerTrc

Vice President Joe Biden's announcement that he has decided not to run in 2016 leaves us, at least for the moment, with two leading contenders for the Democratic nomination.

Biden has been polling in the 15-20% range in recent weeks. Where will that support go? We decided to take a look back at recent polls, most of which (conveniently) ask people to make a choice both ways --- if Biden is in, and if he is not.

The Why--Hillary in 2016---this had 80,000 views and a lot of criticism in July of 2013

I did a little flashback to a thread I posted in July of 2013 and after HRC's performance yesterday 10/22/15 at the Benghazi hearing --I seem to think the same way today ---what do you think?

The team that she will assemble in 2016 is just about unbeatable. First of all, heading it up is her husband Bill who really showed how likable and powerful he was at the 2012 Democratic Convention. There was no headliner at the Republican convention that came close to him. The Clinton's are seasoned politicians and know exactly how to run a campaign. There was a lot of talk about surrogates in the last election, how each of them hit an integral segment of the voting populace and the assembly for 2016 is awesome. Barack and Michele Obama owe the Clinton's a lot. They, and their entire team, will be on hand to support them. They have made great inroads to the Latino vote and most immigrants, not to mention their GOTV efforts in the black community. They alone are an extremely powerful entity that will be backing the Clinton's.

The women vote coming from the entire country will be overwhelmingly for Hillary. In this election Republican women will vote for Hillary more than they have ever voted for a Democratic candidate. First of all, it is an empowering act to make sure that a woman is finally elected President in this country. Second of all the Republican “war on women” is very real to Republican women and the extreme right scares them. Any reader here knows what I am talking about. And Hillary is white, Republican women found it hard to vote for a black man, but Hillary doesn’t have that in her profile.

Her posture as a world figure trumps all of the other candidates that the Republicans can muster. She has made a lot of friends around the world that are long and strong.

Finally, she is smarter than all of them put together. I am such a supporter of her that I don’t want to talk about her ruthless side----she will win this one!

When we look at the horrible mess and message that is coming from the Republican side we need a landslide vote for her, and Congress. With the current Republican House and filibustering Senate we need to get our country back on a good track.

ROMNEY SCOTUS appointments--vs HRC---this might change your mind about not supporting Hillary

THAT WAS THEN ---------------- May 1, 2012 PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN POLITICS--Romney's foreign policy spokesperson had to step down because of criticism from his own party "my ability to speak clearly and forcefully on the issues has been greatly diminished by the hyper-partisan discussion of personal issues that sometimes comes from a presidential campaign"". There are some that say Romney would have fared a lot better if he had kept this expert on his staff. Grenell really knew his stuff but the social conservatives forced him off the campaign.

I can certainly imagine that Romney would have made some different calls on foreign policy if he kept Grenell aboard. And i can just imagine who Romney would pick for SCOTUS
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/openly-gay-romney-aide-re…/


THIS IS NOW--------I guess for HRC it is about getting the job done---his orientation is none of her business or anyone else's----------I guess she will have no trouble finding the right SCOTUS appointees

http://www.addictinginfo.org/…/hillary-clintons-new-campai…

'Bout the base --not the treble--Nate says Obama and HRC have the same base

https://ci3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/kF-7dvl3LVocMBU7JFrMmw6Qizz8AXkw-L6KlBEB2UlAXZMXC-x8PSRajGvzyyg4rRe08olnbCQYNj80GUlamtcFEbqTx4DasIXYIw=s0-d-e1-ft#:medium

Will HRC get the Bubba vote from the Red states that Obama lost?




In 1996 Bill got 379 EV--Obama 332--and Bubba won the states -that would not vote for Obama- Arkansas - Louisiana, West Virginia, Kentucky , and Tennessee, Missouri -

I am guessing that HRC will win all of the Obama states -PLUS the above--


here are some real world things that I see

Warren Buffet endorsement

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2014-12-04/warren-buffett-bets-big-on-hillary-clinton

Ready for Hillary has been up and running for over a year

https://www.readyforhillary.com/home

This is a group --primarily women ----assembled to get women elected to office----they have been VERY successful----

http://www.emilyslist.org/

Here is report on about 6 different and independent organizations assembled to support HRC

http://www.cnn.com/2014/02/26/politics/clinton-groups-coordination/

here are 20 different corporations and entities that have contributed to HRC

http://www.opensecrets.org/politicians/contrib.php?cycle=Career&cid=n00000019

Warren ---you and I might not see much going on-----but HRC has an army of people working every possible corner on this-----she is determined to win

I think you are spot on on this

I think his methodology has uncovered some of the big flaws in the well know polls --Gallup---and he is recognizing real simple things like oversampling---my OP was just that the guy needs to stay employed---and it was a big risk to abandon NYT for a landscape that is not necessarily interested in politics---so he might have to take a different approach in the earlier months----keep everybody watching him----he already owns the left ----so a bit of pandering to the right might be good for business---I mean the guy is brilliant --AND he needs to survive
Posted by Always Randy | Wed Aug 6, 2014, 04:35 PM (0 replies)

Is Nate Silver Fudging the poll? Maybe the Democrats are ahead?

Nate's recent prediction is that the GOP has a 60% chance of winning over control of the Senate. If he called the 2014 midterms for the Democrats right now he more than likely would tick off a lot of the Republicans and they would stop listening/viewing him. That translates into a lot of advertising dollars to his blog at ESPN. Let's face it, ESPN thought they had a gold mine when they scored a big coup against the "Gray Lady" New York Times when they stole him away. They also have invested heavily in his brand and are supporting a staff that is a "dream team" for Silver. Never in his wildest imagination did he ever think he would have the command post he occupies now. Since his move from the NYT to ESPN things might not be going as well as expected. Where is the evidence that mixing sports with politics has been a winning formula? It was a lot easier when his audience was generated from his NYT base because his viewers could just jump over to his blog. Now his loyal fan base has to make a special effort to go to his blog and, being politicos by nature, might not want to read all the sports and finance parts of the blog.. I know he cut his teeth predicting sports outcomes, but he became the media darling with his political forecasts. If he is not careful he just might be heading to an advertising/financial support issue. But if you were Nate Silver, and you are extremely adept at predictions, maybe you fluff the numbers a bit if it builds audience .So what do you do? Get the GOP to keep reading the site by making them look like a squeaker winner in the November election.

VWI----Boehner --is he voting while under the influence?

For those in the public eye, people like Boehner usually go into detox and treatment . One branch of government is extremely dysfunctional with this man at the helm. From what I know of alcoholism it is a progressive disease, and a mere "drying out" does not do anything to help the sick person. There has to me a 'spiritual awakening" and a psychic change. A person does not become alcoholic overnight, and a cure does not happen quickly. The answer to the problems in the House are that we have a very weak and sick person in charge. If he were driving a car he would have his license revoked. Instead he is driving our country into the ground. The House needs a good, strong leader. Even though Eric Cantor revolts me, he at least was sober. It is time for mr. Boehner to go to rehab. His preexisting condition is covered. If he is drunk at the wheel let's remove him for cause. If he is sober we have an even bigger problem.

OPEN CARRY at Hobby Lobby

no ---but maybe a few costume swords and pirate attire----
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