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bench scientist

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Hometown: Chicago IL
Home country: USA
Current location: Chicago IL
Member since: Tue Apr 12, 2011, 01:42 AM
Number of posts: 1,016

About Me

Work in IP law

Journal Archives

Are Democrats Senate Chances In 2018 Overrated?

Nate Silver from 538 crunches the numbers:

“After Democrat Doug Jones won a stunning victory in Alabama’s special election for the U.S. Senate last month, lots of smart people whose work I read and follow, such as The New York Times’s Nate Cohn, declared that the battle for Senate control in 2018 was a “toss-up.” Prediction markets largely concur; after Jones’s win, the betting odds of Democrats taking over the Senate shot up to about 45 percent.

I think this might be premature. Winning in Alabama certainly makes the Democrats’ path easier: They could now gain control of the Senate by retaining all of their own seats, plus picking up the Republican held-seats in purplish Nevada and Arizona. But they’re probably still the underdogs.
Democrats face a really tough Senate map.”
More at link:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/are-democrats-senate-chances-overrated/

Posted by bench scientist | Wed Jan 10, 2018, 11:27 AM (16 replies)

538:More than half of Jefferson County,Mobile County & Montgomery County still out. Good for Jones.

Posted by bench scientist | Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:06 PM (2 replies)

We think that the preponderance of the remaining vote is in Democratic-leaning areas - 538 reports

About 667,000 votes counted about 533,000 votes remain to be counted. Most Dem. leading counties.

Posted by bench scientist | Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:43 PM (2 replies)

538 is tracking in real time how Jones is performing in each county vs. a bench mark needed to win.

The 538 website of math guru Nate Silver is looking at each county.
Reporting the number of register voters, percent reporting, whether county leans Dem or Rep and the theoretical benchmark Jones need to win in each county.
As votes are reporting they are comparing how Jones is actually doing, link below:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/alabama-senate-election-results/
Posted by bench scientist | Tue Dec 12, 2017, 09:34 PM (0 replies)

Just finished Mindhunters on Netflix. Anyone else watch it?

About starting the behavioral sciences unit at FBI, how they profiled serial killers.
Charlize Theron and David Fincher executive producers.
Very, very good I highly recommend.
Posted by bench scientist | Wed Nov 15, 2017, 06:21 AM (6 replies)

Anybody have any questions they want me to ask Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein ?

He’s coming to speak at my law school this Thursday.
Going to be interesting.
bench.
Posted by bench scientist | Mon Nov 13, 2017, 09:21 PM (16 replies)

Meet drug dealer, criminal and self admitted injector of meth into his anus Chris Cantwell.

This is the guy from the HBO Vice segment on Charlottesville. Tough talking Nazi at the rally then blubbering crybaby when called out on it.
Quite a background this guy has..

https://www.splcenter.org/fighting-hate/extremist-files/individual/christopher-cantwell
Posted by bench scientist | Wed Aug 16, 2017, 08:29 PM (5 replies)

Anyone watching The Americans?

How do you see it ending?
Posted by bench scientist | Fri Apr 21, 2017, 05:20 AM (12 replies)

What's your favorite malaphor?

Everyone knows what a metaphor is, but I prefer malaphors.
A malaphor is a mixture of two common idioms, or cliches leading to the creation of a something new in metaphor form.
Probably the best known is it's not Rocket Surgery. A combination of it's not rocket science and it's not brain surgery.

My personal favorites" We'll burn that bridge when we get to it" and " The road to hell is the spice of life".
What's your favorite malaphor?

bench
Posted by bench scientist | Sat Mar 11, 2017, 10:54 PM (55 replies)

Stein dined with Putin and Flynn.

I don't know what she's doing with this recount but I do question this. The is not company supportive of the Democratic party nor democracy.

https://twitter.com/KeepAmerGr8/status/801526077986377728
Posted by bench scientist | Thu Nov 24, 2016, 04:21 PM (16 replies)
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