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Member since: Sat May 15, 2010, 03:48 PM
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It is beyond strange that people think 1972 is a better predictor of 2020 than 2016

The mantra of centrists is that if Bernie (and some include Warren in this as well) is nominated that it will be 1972 all over again.

This idea rests on some faulty assumptions.

First, it rests on the assumption that the electorate hasn't changed since 1972.

It also ignores the fact that among those Baby Boomers who were old enough to vote in 1972, McGovern did NOT lose. His loss can be attributed primarily to the WWII generation, most of whom are no longer with us. My parents were of that generation. They couldn't seem to get it through their heads that Vietnam was not WWII; the idea that the government would lie about the reasons for going to war was inconceivable to them, as it was for many WWII veterans and the people of their age. McGovern lost primarily because that generation saw his anti-war stance as unpatriotic. Most voters today should know better. In fact, McGovern's stance was on the right side of history.

A far better predictor of what will happen in 2020 is, I submit, 2016, when the party's insistence on going with an establishment favorite against a faux populist, at a time when anti-establishment fervor was running at a high resulted in an all-too-predictable outcome.
Posted by markpkessinger | Thu Jan 30, 2020, 01:29 AM (62 replies)

In honor of Justice Ginsburg's latest recovery!

Posted by markpkessinger | Sun Jan 12, 2020, 07:56 PM (0 replies)

Was inspired to create these after reading of Justice Ginsburg's recovery!

Posted by markpkessinger | Sun Jan 12, 2020, 07:47 PM (1 replies)
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