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democrattotheend

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Member since: Wed Jan 30, 2008, 03:33 PM
Number of posts: 10,157

About Me

I'm a lawyer representing workers and consumers and a longtime Democratic activist. Nothing I say on here, including any comments about legal topics, should be construed as legal advice or creating an attorney-client relationship.

Journal Archives

POLL: Economist/YouGov National

New nat'l poll of registered voters:

2-WAY Clinton 48 Trump 44
4-WAY Clinton 44 Trump 41 Johnson 5 Stein 2

MOE +/-3.8% —Economist/YouGov

Are they still using registered voters instead of a likely voter screen? If so these #'s are not great.

Note: My original post mistakenly identified CBS, rather than The Economist, as the news organization that commissioned the poll.
Posted by democrattotheend | Sun Sep 25, 2016, 09:34 PM (16 replies)

Breaking: 6th Circuit Rules Ohio’s voter purges violate the NVRA

Here's the opinion:
http://www.demos.org/sites/default/files/publications/APRI%20v%20Husted%206th%20Circuit%20Opinion%2016-3746.pdf
Posted by democrattotheend | Fri Sep 23, 2016, 12:37 PM (4 replies)

Appeals court: Ohio elections chief wrongly purged voters

Source: Associated Press

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — A federal appeals court says Ohio’s elections chief has been wrongfully removing eligible voters from the swing state’s registration list.

The American Civil Liberties Union of Ohio and the public advocacy group Demos had challenged the state’s process for maintaining its voter rolls, claiming it illegally drops registered voters based on their failure to vote.

A three-judge panel of the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Cincinnati ruled Friday that Ohio’s process violates the National Voter Registration Act.

Read more: http://ktar.com/story/1286762/appeals-court-ohio-elections-chief-wrongly-purged-voters/



Woo hoo! Another victory for voting rights!
Posted by democrattotheend | Fri Sep 23, 2016, 12:36 PM (5 replies)

AP/Gfk National Poll: Clinton +6

With and without Johnson & Stein.

Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 9, Stein 2
Clinton 50, Trump 44

http://ap-gfkpoll.com/main/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/September-2016-AP-GfK-Poll-Topline-Clinton.pdf

If I recall from 2012 this is not a great poll, but I could be remembering wrong. But it's definitely not bad news.
Posted by democrattotheend | Thu Sep 22, 2016, 06:52 PM (11 replies)

POLL: Clinton +7 in Colorado (+9 in 2-way)

Rocky Mountain/PBS Poll. Don't know anything about it.

4 way: Clinton 41, Trump 34, Johnson 12, Stein 3 Clinton +7
2-way: Clinton 44, Trump 35 Clinton +9

Just got some details: Pollster is Franklin & Pierce. Pretty sure they are a good pollster.
Poll was conducted September 14-18, so a little old at this point. Quinnipiac's had more recent data (September 13-21).

Interviews done over the phone or online, doesn't say if cell phones were polled.

http://pbs.bento.storage.s3.amazonaws.com/hostedbento-prod/filer_public/RMPBS%20Blog%20Images/News%20imgs/CMU-RMPBS-Poll_FINAL.PDF
Posted by democrattotheend | Thu Sep 22, 2016, 05:13 PM (3 replies)

POLLS: New Quinnipiac Polls of VA, CO, GA, IA

Iowa and Georgia not good. The other 2 ok. Colorado a little close for comfort

Note: These interviews were taken September 13-21, so they may not reflect what seems to be a bit of a rebound as much as polls that have a shorter period. This has long been my criticism of Quinnipiac polls.

New Quinnipiac polls of LVs >

CO: HC 44, DT 42, GJ 10

GA: DT 47, HC 40, GJ 9

IA: DT 44, HC 37, GJ 10

VA: HC 45, DT 39, GJ 8
Posted by democrattotheend | Thu Sep 22, 2016, 03:08 PM (44 replies)

CNN: Trump companies have a history of hiring foreign workers

Glad to see this finally getting some coverage.

https://t.co/uKo5Ld426l
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 07:43 PM (3 replies)

Bad Fox Polls: Trump leading in OH, NV, NC

I am tempted to discount these because it's Fox, but their polls are not always terrible. The polls themselves don't seem to have a strong GOP bias, just the way they report them. But they used landlines and cell phones, did bilingual in Nevada, and did it over a 3 day period (September 18-20), so I won't dismiss them out of hand.

Here are the numbers:

Nevada: Trump 43, Clinton 40, Johnson 8 (Stein not on ballot in NV)
North Carolina: Trump 45, Clinton 40, Johnson 6 (Stein not on ballot)
Ohio: Trump 42, Clinton 37, Johnson 6, Stein 2

Sorry to put a damper on a day of good polls

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/09/21/fox-news-poll-trump-tops-clinton-in-battlegrounds-nevada-n-carolina-ohio.html
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 06:49 PM (57 replies)

The NBC poll is here...

new NBC/WSJ national poll, likely voters in 4-way race: Clinton 43%, Trump 37%, Johnson 10%, Stein 3%

Okay, I can breath now.
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 05:03 PM (7 replies)

Charity watchdog calls Trump foundation 'unfocused,' Clinton's 'transparent'

Donald Trump's and Hillary Clinton's non-profit foundations reflect the presidential challengers' publicly perceived styles — "improvisational" versus "systematized" — a new analysis by a charity watchdog concludes.
...
"All told, the data at hand would suggest that the Clinton family has — at least over the last several years — donated more money (and at a far higher proportion of their wealth) than the Trump family," the Guidestar analysis concluded.

Clinton critics have argued that fundraising for her family's foundation compromised her role when she served as secretary of State from 2009 to 2013. There appears to be "little evidence to support this claim," the analysis said, noting that the foundation signed a 2008 memorandum of understanding that Clinton would not have a role with the foundation during her Obama administration tenure.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/09/21/charity-watchdog-calls-trump-foundation-unfocused-clintons-transparent/90775120/
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 03:36 PM (1 replies)
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