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jberryhill

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: Delaware
Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2006, 08:14 PM
Number of posts: 47,956

Journal Archives

Trump promises that his first 100 days in office...

...will be completed in record time.

New Data Shows Trump With Clear Path To 270...

...accusations of sexual assault.

Seriously he probably will get more of those than electoral votes. Post your bets on the over.

Just when I was thinking "okay, he's going to get through this ok"..


He's not good at reading prepared remarks, but was doing "okay" before the train wreck.

Consider The Compelling Cases For Johnson And Stein

Here are my Johnson steins:



And here are my cases:



PROSIT!


Did the Presidential Debate Commission Check Whether Trump Still Qualifies On Poll Numbers?


As I recall, the candidates have to have a certain percentage of support in the polls in order to participate.

I'd think by now, they might swap him out for Vermin Supreme.

Feds confirm arrest in Colorado explosives case


https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/the-latest-apnewsbreak-man-arrested-in-colorado-bomb-case/2016/10/17/985d024e-947e-11e6-9cae-2a3574e296a6_story.html

The U.S. attorney’s office in Colorado has officially confirmed that a California man was arrested in connection with a homemade explosive left outside a police station in a Colorado mountain town.

The office tweeted Monday that the man is believed to have placed the device. They didn’t immediately identify him.

But two law enforcement officials with knowledge of the investigation told The Associated Press that 64-year-old David Michael Ansberry was taken into custody over the weekend in Chicago. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly about the case.

(...)

The case rattled this mountain-ringed town of 1,500 people southwest of Boulder best known for its love of legal marijuana and its annual celebration of a frozen corpse that draws tens of thousands of revelers.

"The Devil has told you that!" cried the little man



"The devil has told you that! The devil has told you that," cried the little man, and in his anger he plunged his right foot so deep into the earth that his whole leg went in, and then in rage he pulled at his left leg so hard with both hands that he tore himself in two.

Here you have a lecherous little man, who spins straw into gold, and makes increasing demands against a woman under duress.

His challenge, to release her from these straits, is to figure out who he really is - to "guess my name".

She cannot guess his name, but he makes the mistake of revealing his true nature in a bragging rant which is overheard.

"...and round about the fire quite a ridiculous little man was jumping, he hopped upon one leg, and shouted -

today I bake, tomorrow brew,
the next I'll have the young queen's child.
Ha, glad am I that no one knew
that Rumpelstiltskin I am styled.
"

He is brought down by the arrogance of his own self-revelation.

It infuriates him.

He self destructs.

When people started calling him Trumplethinskin, I did not realize how true it would be.

Is it ethical for me to have made this bet?

An acquaintance of mine is quite steeped in right wing conspiracy theories.

We don't normally discuss politics. He is something of a gambler, and poker is one of his hobbies.

After having discussed the business at hand, I asked him "I don't want to get into an argument about who either of us supports in this election, but since you are a gambling man then who, in your estimation is likely to win?"

"There's not going to be an election..." and he went off to the races about how there will be a state of emergency and Obama will declare martial law and all that stuff.

I couldn't help laughing, but I did say "Okay, okay, fine, yes, I understand you believe that, but assuming that an election does take place...."

"I'd say there's about 30% of that happening...."

"...yes, I get that, but if the election does happen, then who do you think will win it?"

"Oh, I'd put a $1000 on Trump."

Now, I should back up and explain that another Trumper I know has already conceded Hillary will win, but he was still willing to bet me $50 that the popular margin will be less than 5%. I took that bet.

But I said, "Okay, you'll put up $1000 on a Trump win outright?"

"Yes. Because if he wins, that's great, I get the money. But if he loses, then Hillary's going to take all my money away, so it won't matter to me."

I checked with my wife, and she said, "Go ahead, bet him the $1000."

Now, both of these guys are pretty much insulated from opposing information and facts, and tend to get all of their information from "interesting" websites.

I took the $1000 bet.

My wife said that I should consider whether I'm taking advantage of someone who really just doesn't know any better. It would be like him sitting me down for a poker game. He'd clean me out, no problem. Then again, I wouldn't sit down to play poker with him either, so there's that.

I'm somewhat ambivalent about it. On the one hand, taking bets from suckers is sort of the Trump business model - whether they are lenders, investors, employees, contractors, partners, etc.. On the other hand, these are rational adults capable of making their own decisions.

So what says the collective Magic 8-Ball here?

What are the ethical considerations of seeking out low information Trumpers and proposing bets with them?

(on edit: I forgot to mention, just because I'm a nice guy, I offered to pay double if the election is cancelled)

We already know what Trump will say

This is what he said when Obama beat Romney in 2012:



Not only is it factually incorrect re: the popular vote, but he has already started with the "rigged election" stuff.

There is no mystery to what he'll say.

He'll probably keep insisting that he won.

Do the windows open in Trump's tower of solitude?


Are the railings on the patio areas high and hard to climb?

Do they have nets over the sidewalk?

Asking for a friend.
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