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Major Hogwash

Major Hogwash's Journal
Major Hogwash's Journal
June 2, 2013

The Republicans Are in Big Trouble: Mid-term elections prediction for 2014

There has been a lot of talk in the last few weeks about whether the Democratic party will take back control of the House of Representatives in 2014, or if somehow Boehnor and his gang of "Do Nothing" Republicans will still control that house of Congress in 2015.

After spending the last 6 months watching how the GOP party would react to Mitt getting his ass walloped in last year's Presidential election, it has become obvious by now that the Republican party doesn't have a clue how to hold on to power in the House next year.

With only 26 seats separating the Democrats and the Republicans in the House, the Republicans' tenuous hold on control of the House depends on their ability to pass some kind of legislation that will ensure they are re-elected to office next year. But, simply passing more "Repeal Obamacare" bills that will not even be taken up in the Senate, assures that the Republicans will be useless during this current session of Congress.

Unless Boehnor can figure out how to get bills passed into law without compromising with the Senate, his fate is sealed.
He will be the Speaker responsible for the biggest "Do Nothing" House of Representatives in over 80 years.

Of course, Boehnor thinks that he can simply point at the Majority Leader of the Senate and blame Harry Reid for his ineptness to get any laws enacted.
And while that may pass as a viable excuse in the lame district in Ohio that Boehnor comes from, it isn't going to work in the other 232 districts the other Republicans in the House come from.

If only 14 seats flip next year, Nancy Pelosi will be the one who will wind up holding the gavel in the House of Representatives.
And although 14 seems a rather small number, rest assured, that is all she needs to wrest control from Boehnor.
Personally, I think the number will be more than 45, but even if only 25 seats flip, then the result will still wind up with Pelosi being the one in control of the House.

The Senate is a different animal entirely.
Currently as it stands now, there is a majority of 53 Democrats in the Senate and 2 Independents, who usually caucus with the Democrats.
They are being held up by only 45 Republicans in the Senate, who have filibustered more often than any party ever has at any time in the entire 224-year history of this country.

Make no mistake about it, those 45 Republican yahoos have cost this country billions of dollars in lost tax revenues already this year, by thwarting the creation of any new jobs here in the United States.

There are 35 Senate seats up for grabs next year.
The mid-term elections of 2014 will decide who sits in Senate seats that are currently held by 21 Democrats and 14 Republicans.

The way I see it, the Democrats have a unique opportunity to not only keep control of the Senate, but to also reach the "filibuster-proof" number of 60 in next year's election.

The 4 most vulnerable Republican Senators are:
Susan Collins in Maine, who claims she is a moderate.
Tim Scott in South Carolina,who was just appointed to his seat this year.
Mitch McConnell in Kentucky.
The seat left open by Mike Johanns in Nebraska, who chose not to run for re-election after only 1 term in the Senate.

Add those 4 seats, where the Democratic party has definitely been making progress in the last decade, and just 1 more Republican Senate seat from any other state, to the Democratic side of the balance sheet in the Senate . . . and Harry Reid will have the 60 votes he needs to break any ridiculous filibuster that the Republicans may want to try and have in 2015.

This will result in a Senate in 2015 that is made up of:
58 Democrats
2 Independents
40 Republicans

And since the 2 Independents usually side with the Democrats, that will give the Democrats an edge of 60-40 in the Senate.
The GOP filibuster game is done.
The video screen for the Republican's ridiculous Senate game will flash, "Game over."

The mid-term elections are just 17 months away.
That's less than a year and a half.
And since early voting begins in October in most states, that narrows down the time remaining to the mid-term elections to only 16 months.

For a summary of the makeup of Congress, you can go to this link and download the PDF --

And if you would like to play "who wins the Senate seat in 2014", you can go to this link, and make your own predictions who will win the states that have elections coming up in 2014 for the Senate next year --

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About Major Hogwash

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