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bobnicewander

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Member since: Thu May 5, 2005, 12:42 PM
Number of posts: 617

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Do The Math

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Lichtman

"Allan Jay Lichtman (born April 4, 1947) is an American political historian who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C. He is well known for predicting the election results for the president of the United States Presidential Election since 1984, including forecasting the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election remarkably early."

The 13 Keys to the White House

https://pollyvote.com/en/components/index-models/keys-to-the-white-house/

"When five or fewer keys are false, the incumbent party wins; when any six or more are false, the challenging party wins."

"Prospectively, the Keys to the White House has correctly forecast the popular vote winner of all seven presidential elections from 1984 to 2012, usually months or even years prior to Election Day."

1 Party Mandate - After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections.

2 Contest - There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.

3 Incumbency - The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president.

4 Third party - There is no significant third party or independent campaign.

5 Short-term economy - The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

6 Long-term economy - Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

7 Policy change - The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.

8 Social unrest - There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

9 Scandal - The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

10 Foreign/military failure - The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

11 Foreign/military success - The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

12 Incumbent charisma - The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

13 Challenger charisma - The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
Posted by bobnicewander | Sun May 19, 2019, 10:46 PM (3 replies)

As my energy permits

and if I have something that I think is meaningful. My view about aspects - the nature of the planet making an aspect determines whether it is positive or negative in nature, not the aspect.

Not tRump or Pence in 2020. A post I made in February.

tRump’s transits election night 2020. Transit Pluto opposite natal Saturn, transit Saturn opposite natal Venus.



Me election night. Transiting Jupiter and Pluto trine natal MC. Transiting Vemus square natal Moon, Transiting Moon square natal MC.

Pence ELECTION NIGHT 2020. With the possibility that Trump could be impeached or like Nixon resign before that happens looking at Nov 3, 2020 it does not appear that Pence will even be running (thinking there would be more than 1 possible aspect to either his natal or progressed chart. Nothing close except for transit Neptune at 18°20′ Pisces square natal Sun (noon chart) 16°09′ Gemini.

*******************


With some Jupiter protection I do not think tRump will quit until it passes.

Jupiter direct with tRump Sun and Moon natal and precessed.


May 11 2019 Jupiter Opposite Sun 22°Sg56′ Tr-Na
May 18 2019 Jupiter Conjunct Moon 21°Sg12′ pTr-Na
May 27 2019 Jupiter Conjunct Moon 21°Sg12′ Tr-Na

Aug 11 2019 Jupiter stations direct 14°Sg30′ Tr

Jupiter last pass over Sun and Moon natal and precessed
.

Oct 20 2019 Jupiter Conjunct Moon 21°Sg12′ Tr-Na
Oct 25 2019 Jupiter Conjunct Moon 21°Sg12′ pTr-Na
Oct 29 2019 Jupiter Opposite Sun 22°Sg56′ Tr-Na
Nov 3 2019 Jupiter Opposite Sun 22°Sg56′ pTr-Na
Posted by bobnicewander | Sun May 19, 2019, 11:15 AM (1 replies)
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