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Member since: Fri Nov 12, 2004, 08:39 AM
Number of posts: 45,783

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Obama 44.


500 REASONS to Vote Against Mitt Romney & for Barack Obama (DAILY KOS EXCELLENT MUST-FORWARD!)


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Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds (Nate Silver)

Source: New York Times

November 6, 2012, 1:43 AM

Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds


Mitt Romney has always had difficulty drawing a winning Electoral College hand. Even during his best period of polling, in the week or two after the first presidential debate in Denver, he never quite pulled ahead in the polling averages in Ohio and other states that would allow him to secure 270 electoral votes.

But the most recent set of polls suggest another problem for Mr. Romney, whose momentum in the polls stalled out in mid-October. Instead, it is President Obama who is making gains.

Among 12 national polls published on Monday, Mr. Obama led by an average of 1.6 percentage points. Perhaps more important is the trend in the surveys. On average, Mr. Obama gained 1.5 percentage points from the prior edition of the same polls, improving his standing in nine of the surveys while losing ground in just one.

Because these surveys had large sample sizes, the trend is both statistically and practically meaningful. Whether because of Hurricane Sandy, the relatively good economic news of late, or other factors, Mr. Obama appears to have gained ground in the closing days of the race.

Read more: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/nov-5-late-poll-gains-for-obama-leave-romney-with-longer-odds

WaPo-ABC Tracking Poll: Final Weekend Tally is Obama 50, Romney 47

Source: Washington Post

WaPo-ABC tracking poll: final weekend tally is Obama 50, Romney 47, still a ‘margin of error’ contest

By Jon Cohen, Peyton M. Craighill and Scott Clement, Published: MONDAY, NOVEMBER 05, 4:30 PM ET

Heading into Election Day, likely voters divide 50 percent for President Obama and 47 percent for his challenger, Republican Mitt Romney, according to the latest, final weekend release of the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll.

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Still, hitting 50 percent is a first for Obama since the poll in early July, with Sunday interviews marking Obama's single best day of the tracking poll. Just over 10 days ago, the tracking poll see-sawed in Romney's direction by the same, slender 50 to 47 percent.

It is clearer that the president made progress in other areas. He has re-gained an advantage when it comes to understanding the economic problems people are having in the country, and, over the final week, has drawn back to running evenly with Romney in voter trust to handle job No. 1: the economy.

Obama has also closed the gap among white voters, inching back above the 40 percent threshold some analysts see as critical to his reelection. In the final days, white voters divide 56 percent for Romney, 41 percent for Obama. More than three-quarters of non-whites, 76 percent, back Obama, 20 percent side with Romney.

Read more: http://m.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/11/05/wapo-abc-tracking-poll-final-weekend-tally-is-obama-50-romney-47-still-a-margin-of-error-contest

Springsteen: 'A World that Challenges Hopefulness' (Wisconsin Appearance with Obama)

Source: Associated Press

Springsteen: 'A world that challenges hopefulness'

From Associated Press
November 05, 2012 1:13 PM EST

MADISON, Wis. (AP) — Rock legend Bruce Springsteen is joining President Barack Obama at a rally in Wisconsin, playing the anthem "Land of Hope and Dreams." He says that after Obama ran with an optimistic message of change in 2008 he now faces "a world that challenges your hopefulness."

Springsteen was spending Obama's final day of campaigning with the president, traveling with him on Air Force One and opening rallies for him in Madison, Wis.; Columbus, Ohio; and Des Moines, Iowa.

Springsteen's appearance came a day after Stevie Wonder energized a Cincinnati rally for Obama, prompting the president to do a brief shimmy on the stage to "Signed, Sealed and Delivered."

Springsteen jokes that while he's proud to be endorsing the president again, "that first debate really freaked me out."

Read more: http://enews.earthlink.net/article/us?guid=20121105/d53ba49d-b59b-45e8-aaa1-67c9f7241a8a

Paul Krugman: "Federal Govt's Ability to Respond to Disaster Always Collapses When Repubs in Charge"

That’s no accident: the federal government’s ability to respond effectively to disaster always collapses when antigovernment Republicans hold the White House, and always recovers when Democrats take it back.


Sandy Versus Katrina
Published: November 4, 2012 30 Comments

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So, about that response: Much of the greater New York area (including my house) is still without power; gasoline is scarce; and some outlying areas are feeling neglected. Right-wing news media are portraying these continuing difficulties as a disaster comparable to, nay greater than, the aftermath of Katrina. But there’s really no comparison.

I could do a point-by-point — and it’s definitely worth it, if you’re curious, to revisit the 2005 Katrina timeline to get a sense of just how bad the response really was. But for me the difference is summed up in two images. One is the nightmare at the New Orleans convention center, where thousands were stranded for days amid inconceivable squalor, an outrage that all of America watched live on TV, but to which top officials seemed oblivious. The other is the scene in flooded Hoboken, with the National Guard moving in the day after the storm struck to deliver food and water and rescue stranded residents.

The point is that after Katrina the government seemed to have no idea what it was doing; this time it did. And that’s no accident: the federal government’s ability to respond effectively to disaster always collapses when antigovernment Republicans hold the White House, and always recovers when Democrats take it back.

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Under President George H. W. Bush, FEMA became a dumping ground for unqualified political hacks. Faced with a major test in the form of Hurricane Andrew in 1992, the agency failed completely.

Then Bill Clinton came in, put FEMA under professional management, and saw the agency’s reputation restored.

Given this experience, you might have expected George W. Bush to preserve Mr. Clinton’s gains. But no: he appointed his campaign manager, Joe Allbaugh, to head the agency, and Mr. Allbaugh immediately signaled his intention both to devolve disaster relief to the state and local level and to downgrade the whole effort, declaring, “Expectations of when the federal government should be involved and the degree of involvement may have ballooned beyond what is an appropriate level.” After Mr. Allbaugh left for the private sector, he was replaced with Michael “heckuva job” Brown, and the rest is history.


Michael Moore: Letter to a Non-Voter - "You Hold the Power to Stop the Bastards"

Via Email...

Letter to a Non-Voter ...from Michael Moore

Sunday, November 4th, 2012

To my friend who is not voting on Tuesday:

I get it – and I don't blame you. You're fed up and you could care less whether Tweedledee or Tweedledumber wins on Tuesday – because on Wednesday, your life will be the same, unchanged, regardless who is president. Your mortgage will still be underwater. You will still owe $50,000 on your student loan. Your son will still be in Afghanistan. Your daughter will still be working two jobs to make ends meet. And gas will still be at $4.

Four years ago you gave in and voted – and you voted for Obama. You wanted to believe he would go after the Wall Street crooks who crashed the economy – but instead the banks that were "too big to fail" four years ago are now even bigger and more dangerous. You thought there'd be universal health care – but the new law only went so far (with most of it not taking effect until 2014). You were tired of war and homeland security measures that violated our civil liberties – but we're still in Afghanistan, we're sending in drones to Pakistan and basic constitutional rights to privacy and a fair trial have been ignored. And you thought you'd have a middle-class, good-paying job like your dad had – but you didn't know that Goldman Sachs was Obama's #1 private campaign donor in 2008, and well, he was beholden to corporate America in more ways we cared to think about. 

So, I get it why you've had it with all these politicians and elections. In the end, it doesn't really seem to be our country any more. It's run by those who can buy the most politicians to do their bidding. Our schools are made a low priority and women are still having to fight for just the basic human rights we thought they already had.

So, it's hard for me to ask you for this very personal favor. It's OK if you say "no," but I'm hoping you don't.

I cannot believe it is possible that, after a group of rich plutocrats wrecked the economy, threw people out of work and stole our future, we may actually hand the keys to our country over to...a rich Republican plutocrat who made millions by throwing people out of work! This is insane, and despite all the legitimate criticisms of Obama, he is nothing like the tsunami of hate and corporate thievery that will take place if Mitt Romney is president. As bad as it feels now, it will only get worse. I need your help to stop this.

I can't promise you that your life will get better, easier under Barack Obama. I do think he cares and I know for sure that if the other guy is sitting in the Oval Office, I can guarantee you that not only will your life not get better, it will get much, much worse. Don't take my word for it. Just ask your parents what life was like before a 30-year pillage by the Republicans of the middle class. Your parents bought a house and eventually owned it outright. They weren't in debt. College was free. They bought a new car every 3 or 4 years. They took vacations and were home for dinner by 5 or 6 PM. They had a savings account in the bank. They didn't live in fear of not knowing if they'd even have a job next year. 

That's all gone. I don't know if we can get it back, but I do know that Mr. Romney would love the chance to complete the final elimination of the middle class and the American Dream. 

He must be stopped. Take 20 minutes on Tuesday and go vote. If you don't want to do it for your country, then do it for me! It's the only favor I'll ever ask of you.

Thanks for taking the time to read this. I know that you care, and care deeply, about your future and your kids' future. You have every right to be cynical about all this. And you hold the power to stop the bastards who plan on squeezing every last dime out of you that they can. Take a stand. And make a statement to those who are hoping against hope that you'll stay home on Tuesday. Your presence at the polls is what they fear most.

Go scare the s**t out of them! For me.

Michael Moore


Rachel Live at 9 p.m.: "Weekend Schmeekend..."

@maddow: We're doing our show live at 9PM Eastern tonight (Sunday) on MSNBC. Weekend schmeekend.

85.1%! - Nate Silver Update 1 a.m. Nov. 4: Trend Continues UP for Obama

Final Sunday Before Election.

86.1% Chance of Winning on the Nov. 4 Forecast


...86.3% Chance of Winning on the Now-Cast.


ELECTORAL VOTE DISTRIBUTION (The probability that President Obama receives a given number of Electoral College votes):


Daylight Saving Time 2012: Turn Your Clocks Back and Gain An Extra Hour Tonight

Source: ABC News

Daylight Saving Time 2012: Time to Set Clocks Back This Weekend

Nov. 3, 2012

You'll lose an extra hour of light but gain an hour back this weekend as daylight saving time officially ends.

As standard time resumes at 2 a.m. Sunday, it's time to "fall back," so set your clocks back one hour when you go to bed tonight.

Hawaii and most of Arizona do not observe daylight saving time.

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Previously, daylight saving time was observed in the United States from April until mid-October.

Read more: http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/daylight-savings-time-2012-time-set-clocks-back/story?id=17632283#.UJX4VrRKsyk
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