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Gender: Male
Hometown: Louisville, KY
Current location: Central FL
Member since: Thu Sep 16, 2004, 02:03 PM
Number of posts: 53,230

Journal Archives

Keep this in mind

Tonight’s protests are in trump’s America

Head of Pennsylvania GOP ADMITS he's spoken to trump campaign about appointing state electors!!

Report: Trump Campaign Actively Discussing Radical Measures To Bypass Election Results
A jarring new report from The Atlantic claims that the Trump campaign is discussing potential strategies to circumvent the results of the 2020 election, should Joe Biden defeat Donald Trump, by first alleging the existence of rampant fraud and then appointing electors in battleground states where Republicans maintain a legislative majority, whom Trump would ask to bypass the state’s popular vote and instead to choose electors loyal to the GOP and the sitting president.

The Atlantic report claims that sources in the Republican Party at the local and national levels confirm “the Trump campaign is discussing contingency plans to bypass election results and appoint loyal electors” in red battleground states.

“The push to appoint electors would be framed in terms of protecting the people’s will,” an unnamed Trump-campaign legal adviser tells The Atlantic, adding, “The state legislatures will say, ‘All right, we’ve been given this constitutional power. We don’t think the results of our own state are accurate, so here’s our slate of electors that we think properly reflect the results of our state.’”

The chairman of the Pennsylvania Republican Party says, on the record, that he has discussed appointing loyal electors with the Trump campaign: "It is one of the available legal options set forth in the Constitution.”

Unconscionable! Absolutely beyond the realm of sanity!

These cretins DO NOT CARE about democracy!

Lousville Protest - Live feed

I'm for my hometown.

If Electoral Votes Were Weighted by State Population Alone

Donald Trump would have received 303 electoral votes, a reduction of just three from the 306+ he actually won. That might seem surprising since Hillary Clinton won the popular vote. There's a second factor at work here, which is the margin of victory in each state. If we look at the states gaining the most using population, the ones Clinton won were by a much larger margin than those won by Trump. California gained 10 electoral votes, New York 5. Clinton won these by 30% and 23%, respectively. On the other hand, Trump won Texas, which gained 6, by 9%, and Florida, which gained 4, by just 1%.

In terms of electoral votes, winning a state by a huge margin is no better than winning by a very small one, and so, in a sense, all those extra actual votes cast for Clinton are not helpful in this framework. For those that favor a national popular vote, the methodology described on this page would likely not be a satisfactory alternative.

Background: Each state receives electoral votes equal to the size of its congressional delegation. That delegation is comprised of two Senators and one Representative for each congressional district in the state. The number of congressional districts is fixed at 435, with the districts reapportioned* across the 50 states, based on population, after each Census. Each state must have at least one congressional district, leaving 385 districts to be allocated by a mathematical formula. (The next Census will take place in 2020, with any changes in electoral votes being effective with the 2024 presidential election.

The above rules mean no state can have fewer than three electoral votes or, put another way, 385 electoral votes are allocated based on population, with 153 (including three for the District of Columbia) essentially fixed. The net effect of this is that smaller population states are overrepresented in the Electoral College, while larger states are underrepresented.

Not to mention the disparity in representation in the House:

How to Fix the House of Representatives in One Easy, Radical Step

Marc Elias - Hero of Democracy (new breaking news from NC)

Police cars revolving lightBREAKING: North Carolina agrees via guidance/ consent decree:

White heavy check markCount ballots postmarked by E-Day/received by 11/12.
White heavy check markAdopt a cure process for rejected absentees
White heavy check markEstablish VBM drop-off stations

Victory for @MajorityFwd, @RedistrictFdn and NC voters.


Marc has been a stalwart for democracy and voting rights

He’s everywhere!

trump's Healthcare Plan coming in "two weeks"

FIRST OFF: the highlights of the Biden/Harris healthcare plan is here:

Now...here are the details of the trump plan:

trump's Health Care plan coming in "two weeks"
Feb 9, 2016 - "We will immediately repeal and replace ObamaCare - and nobody can do that like me. We will save $'s and have much better healthcare!"

Jan 15, 2017 - “It’s very much formulated down to the final strokes. We haven’t put it in quite yet but we’re going to be doing it soon,”

Mar 9, 2017 - "Despite what you hear in the press, healthcare is coming along great. We are talking to many groups and it will end in a beautiful picture!"

"And I never said — I guess I’m here, what, 64 days? I never said repeal and replace Obamacare. You’ve all heard my speeches. I never said repeal it and replace it within 64 days. I have a long time."


Oct 29, 2017 - "As usual, the ObamaCare premiums will be up (the Dems own it), but we will Repeal & Replace and have great Healthcare soon after Tax Cuts!"

Mar 26, 2018 - "Well, we’re working on a plan now. There’s no very great rush from the standpoint."

Jun 26, 2019 - "If we win the House back, keep the Senate and keep the presidency, we’ll have a plan that blows away ObamaCare"

July 19, 2020 - "We're signing a health care plan within two weeks"

Aug 3, 2020 - health care plan would be introduced “hopefully, prior to the end of the month.”

Aug 7, 2020 - "Over the next two weeks, I’ll be pursuing a major executive order requiring health insurance companies to cover all pre-existing conditions for all customers."

(NOTE: The ACA, signed into law on Mar 23, 2010, already included coverage for all pre-existing conditions)

a final...death toll...in the range of 100,000 to 200,000

a final...death toll...in the range of 100,000 to 200,000...would indicate...his administration has “done a very good job.”

A job done better than anyone has ever seen before.

Trump said that a final...death toll...in the range of 100,000 to 200,000...would indicate...his administration has “done a very good job.”


Does that chart look like it's anywhere near a **final** death toll???

FL - last week's Monmouth Poll has lots of positive info (but one frightening prediction)

Biden currently holds a significant advantage in 7 counties where the vote margins were closest in the 2016 presidential election. The Democrat has a 60% to 33% lead among registered voters in these swing counties* where Clinton won the aggregate vote by a single point. Biden also racks up a sizable 63% to 34% margin in counties that went solidly for Clinton by a similar 27 points in 2016. Trump leads in the counties he won handily (60% to 33%), also by a similar 26 points four years ago.

Looking at regional strength another way, Biden currently has a 29-point lead (63% to 34%) in the 3-county southeast coastal portion of the state. He also has a small 6-point edge (50% to 44%) in central Florida. Trump leads in the rest of the state by 9 points (51% to 42%). In 2016, Clinton won the southeast by 28 points, but Trump won central Florida by less than a percentage point. He also won the remainder of the state by 19 points.

Central FL may be the key (along with increase turnout in the SE)

BUT, this is a scary move for FL primaries as I will NOT be surprised to see republicans run candidates as Dems in the primaries to siphon off votes.

Also, 63% of voters plan to vote for changing the state’s primary system for state and local offices to an open “jungle” format where the top two vote-getters advance to the general election regardless of party affiliation. Just 21% oppose this.

Pollster that predicted trump MI win in 2016 and accurate in 2018 shows Biden up 2.4% in PA

Trafalgar Group, rated C by 538, managed to be the closest pollster to trump's win in MI in 2016 and was one of the most accurate in the 2018 elections.

They show tighter races in key states but still showing a Biden lead

PA (Biden +2.4 with 2.3% undecided):

NC (trump +1.7 with 2.5% undecided)

NC-Sen (Cunningham +0.8 with 5.3% undecided)

This is NOT an endorsement of them. Cahaly is certainly conservative and probably a trump supporter but their numbers have been pretty accurate (he claims that his 'how do you think your neighbors will vote' questions pull trump supporters out of the woodwork who are probably embarrassed or even ashamed of their support of him but support him regardless)

Oh...note: a key Senate seat we need to keep (Peters in MI) shows a repuke lead:

Archaeologists unearth 27 ancient coffins, unopened since they were buried more than 2,500 years ago

Archaeologists unearth 27 ancient coffins — unopened since they were buried more than 2,500 years ago
CAIRO — Egyptian archaeologists have unearthed more than two dozen ancient coffins in a vast necropolis south of Cairo, an official said Monday.

The sarcophagi have remained unopened since they were buried more than 2,500 years ago near the famed Step Pyramid of Djoser in Saqqara, said Neveine el-Arif, a spokeswomen for the Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities. She said 13 coffins were found earlier this month in a newly discovered, 36 feet well, and that 14 more were found last week in another well.

Footage shared by the ministry showed colorful sarcophagi decorated with ancient Egyptian hieroglyphics, as well as other artifacts the ministry said were found in the two wells.


Archaeologists were still working to determine the origins of the coffins, el-Arif said, adding that more details and “secrets” would likely be announced next month.

Why does this seem like the exact WRONG thing to do in 2020?
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