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Bernardo de La Paz
Bernardo de La Paz's Journal
Bernardo de La Paz's Journal
June 29, 2023
RFKJr based his anti-vax campaign on fraudulent research that gave false hope to many parents. But since it has been discredited and dropped, RFKJr has not changed his position on the issue.
The really stupid thing is that he doesn't even have to admit he was wrong. If he REALLY CARED about people, he'd say "Okay science corrects itself, we need to find the solution to autism elsewhere than vax shots". Then he'd move on to advocating for other ways to help parents of autists.
But there you have the proof that RFKJr is more ego than help. He is convinced that changing his positions to meet reality and the facts would make him look weak as a politician. He may not even be conscious of such a decision, but his actions are a big "tell".
In this way he is like tRump and many RepubliConners, conning sheeple. I don't often apply the word "evil", and there are gradations of evil. But ego over people's needs is at least some evil.
Real leaders read reality and lead the public to real solutions, even if they were initially against one, that help people and society more than their own egos and political mythos.
Not totally, but he's stupid like tRump. They never ever revisit basic assumptions; example RFKJr
RFKJr based his anti-vax campaign on fraudulent research that gave false hope to many parents. But since it has been discredited and dropped, RFKJr has not changed his position on the issue.
The really stupid thing is that he doesn't even have to admit he was wrong. If he REALLY CARED about people, he'd say "Okay science corrects itself, we need to find the solution to autism elsewhere than vax shots". Then he'd move on to advocating for other ways to help parents of autists.
But there you have the proof that RFKJr is more ego than help. He is convinced that changing his positions to meet reality and the facts would make him look weak as a politician. He may not even be conscious of such a decision, but his actions are a big "tell".
In this way he is like tRump and many RepubliConners, conning sheeple. I don't often apply the word "evil", and there are gradations of evil. But ego over people's needs is at least some evil.
Real leaders read reality and lead the public to real solutions, even if they were initially against one, that help people and society more than their own egos and political mythos.
June 25, 2023
Putin's rule is at the 3,000 metre depth, maybe like the Titan submersible. He's heard the first crack when Wagner began racing toward Moscow and local guardia did not resist.
He may release weights (fire a few people) and he may dig up the scuba tanks under the floorboards (attempt a full mobilization), but ....
Implosions are impossible until they happen. Then they are over in milliseconds.
Putin's rule is going to die some day of the unexpectedlies. Putin himself may die of the suddenlies.
3,000 metres deep, Putin heard first crack of impending implosion
Putin's rule is at the 3,000 metre depth, maybe like the Titan submersible. He's heard the first crack when Wagner began racing toward Moscow and local guardia did not resist.
He may release weights (fire a few people) and he may dig up the scuba tanks under the floorboards (attempt a full mobilization), but ....
Implosions are impossible until they happen. Then they are over in milliseconds.
Putin's rule is going to die some day of the unexpectedlies. Putin himself may die of the suddenlies.
June 25, 2023
That's powerful sleepiness.
The rejoinder magats propose is that Obama is in his third term pulling puppet strings.
Knock that down and then the rebuttal from magats is that WEF and Soros are controlling Obama who is controlling Biden who is controlling everything.
Sleepy Joe beats McCarthy on debt & supposedly runs coups in Europe while controlling massive crime
That's powerful sleepiness.
The rejoinder magats propose is that Obama is in his third term pulling puppet strings.
Knock that down and then the rebuttal from magats is that WEF and Soros are controlling Obama who is controlling Biden who is controlling everything.
June 23, 2023
The way, I think, is to hit the other 3 hard: get the rebuttal out Fast, Clear, and True. If it is gotten out, even if only initially to favorable audiences (thinking social media and who follows media outlets and popular podcasters) those people will spread it as rebuttals to target audiences on social media.
The quicker the true facts of a fuss are made known, the quicker the propaganda dies in its cradle.
The clearer it is, the more favorable audiences spread it.
The truer it is, the more persistent it is.
Getting it to the audience inside of the bubble is the toughest of the 4 to crack, but there is a wa
The way, I think, is to hit the other 3 hard: get the rebuttal out Fast, Clear, and True. If it is gotten out, even if only initially to favorable audiences (thinking social media and who follows media outlets and popular podcasters) those people will spread it as rebuttals to target audiences on social media.
The quicker the true facts of a fuss are made known, the quicker the propaganda dies in its cradle.
The clearer it is, the more favorable audiences spread it.
The truer it is, the more persistent it is.
June 23, 2023
If he is convicted and especially if he gets a reasonable (harsh) sentence which would include prison time, then it sends a clear signal to wanna-be Autocrats and Totalitarians: DON'T even think it.
But if he dies before trial or before conviction, then totalitarians will tend to think "ooh! He got away with it! It's worth trying!". That would cost the US huge amounts of economic turmoil and huge costs suppressing it all, yet again. Not suppressing it is not an option.
It would cost US many times over MORE taxes if he died before being convicted
If he is convicted and especially if he gets a reasonable (harsh) sentence which would include prison time, then it sends a clear signal to wanna-be Autocrats and Totalitarians: DON'T even think it.
But if he dies before trial or before conviction, then totalitarians will tend to think "ooh! He got away with it! It's worth trying!". That would cost the US huge amounts of economic turmoil and huge costs suppressing it all, yet again. Not suppressing it is not an option.
June 19, 2023
Three bundles of points to avoid opinion poll freakouts
Some recent polls suggest tRump might be tied with or even lead Biden regarding the Presidential election in November 2024.
1: Over a year to election
2: tRump might even be convicted by Nov 2024
3: Modern polls have higher bogosity indices.
1: I think there is a better than 50% chance tRump will not be the Republicon party nominee. I might be prone to lapses of wishful thinking in this scenario, but I think that indictments and pre-trial motions will be in the news and weighing on voters minds as Jan 2024 approaches and arrives with the primaries. Already on the calendar: a March court date for trial for tRump in NYC.
A real possibility is that as the primaries approach or begin or develop, tRump might be in so much trouble that Republicons reject him and the party big wigs might even move to block his nomination, especially if there is any felony conviction by that point, whatever the exact time.
Such developments might lead to tRump doing a third-party run, splitting the RepubliQon party.
In the run-up to that point (first primaries/caucuses) there will be lots of leaks from outside the tRump inner defense team (lawyers, Nauta, Beavis and Butthead). tRump is likely to continue adding minor admissions of criminality to his heap by his social media postings.
Some action by SEC on the funding of the (un)TruthSocial fiasco would be unexpected but certainly possible, and would shine light on tRump's business incompetence and malfeasance and grifting.
The LIV/PGA golf capitulation and whitewash of bone saw Saudis is attracting possible investigation.
Kushner's magic $2,000,000,000 may also leak and might even explode.
Bedminster might suddenly erupt.
And there is Willis, NYC state civil investigation, further E. Jean Carroll litigation, ....
2: Even if tRump is not convicted or has not started trial by Nov 2024, he will be under multiple indictments and cronies will have been indicted.
The indictments have a corrosive acid drip effect. Initially and perhaps long term they consolidate his base, the Always Trump or Only Trump basket of deplorables. But slowly they work their effect on more moderate Republicans and independents. It won't win him new converts other than a few easily swayed low-info types who are impressed by the "America is now a banana republic" memes. Even they will swing back as it becomes clearer just how criminal tRump has been.
3: Often not stated in OPs is whether a poll is online, includes cell phones, or is landline only (for example, YouGov does a lot of online polls I think). There is a lot of spoofing in polls, goes both ways. Response rates are abysmally low, like 3% ? Greater variability and less predictive power since 2000.
June 17, 2023
Because of the seriousness you identify, such charges need to stick. Especially when the target is the king or, rather the king of the wannabes, der Hair Fuehrer. The old adage about "you get only one shot at the king" applies. If tRump defeats Espionage or Treason charges, he would become very strong as many independents and wavering Republicans would be attracted back.
There are many thorny issues which surround the tRump Crime Clusterfuck. Many are ridiculously posed by fawning cult members, like he declassified them in his mind or they are automatically declassified if he took documents before the Inauguration of Biden. But other issues are less clear to me, and there are undoubtedly important issues I can't imagine, which is why we have professionals like Jack Smith. But Smith has reason to tread at least a little cautiously, since he lost a case 9-0 at the Supreme Court. Regardless, I place my confidence in Smith.
Yes, there is an urgent need to convict tRump of serious crimes including possibly Treason and Espionage, but there are times when doing something right has priority over doing it fast, and I think this may be one of them. We need to get to the bottom of the missing documents and deal with whatever repercussions flow from their disposition.
Lots of tactical & strategic reasons BECAUSE of the seriousness
Because of the seriousness you identify, such charges need to stick. Especially when the target is the king or, rather the king of the wannabes, der Hair Fuehrer. The old adage about "you get only one shot at the king" applies. If tRump defeats Espionage or Treason charges, he would become very strong as many independents and wavering Republicans would be attracted back.
There are many thorny issues which surround the tRump Crime Clusterfuck. Many are ridiculously posed by fawning cult members, like he declassified them in his mind or they are automatically declassified if he took documents before the Inauguration of Biden. But other issues are less clear to me, and there are undoubtedly important issues I can't imagine, which is why we have professionals like Jack Smith. But Smith has reason to tread at least a little cautiously, since he lost a case 9-0 at the Supreme Court. Regardless, I place my confidence in Smith.
Yes, there is an urgent need to convict tRump of serious crimes including possibly Treason and Espionage, but there are times when doing something right has priority over doing it fast, and I think this may be one of them. We need to get to the bottom of the missing documents and deal with whatever repercussions flow from their disposition.
June 17, 2023
For Cons it is more important to block meals to undeserved people than give free meals to those needing them. The idea is that taxpayers demand fairness and don't want (and shouldn't have to, the story goes) pay for people who don't need it.
But that is a cover for the actual operation because they know that helping disadvantaged children levels the playing field. It is a convenient (for the Cons) case of "the perfect is the enemy of the good". By demanding perfect distribution they get to deny basic distribution.
Despite all protestations about wanting level playing fields, all attempts at levelling opportunities are blocked in order to protect rich families from having to compete on a level playing field.
In particular, Cons know that hurting young children imposes a lifetime of disadvantage to them and advantage to the Cons families.
Why? Because many whites can't compete. End of story.
Cons use "fairness" as their cover for denial and destruction
For Cons it is more important to block meals to undeserved people than give free meals to those needing them. The idea is that taxpayers demand fairness and don't want (and shouldn't have to, the story goes) pay for people who don't need it.
But that is a cover for the actual operation because they know that helping disadvantaged children levels the playing field. It is a convenient (for the Cons) case of "the perfect is the enemy of the good". By demanding perfect distribution they get to deny basic distribution.
Despite all protestations about wanting level playing fields, all attempts at levelling opportunities are blocked in order to protect rich families from having to compete on a level playing field.
In particular, Cons know that hurting young children imposes a lifetime of disadvantage to them and advantage to the Cons families.
Why? Because many whites can't compete. End of story.
June 16, 2023
We see it's important because we see you posting it often.
You tell me that my count is not correct when you don't know what it is counting. But you don't hold double standards, despite the appearance. That would be unethical and you have good ethics.
You are posting frequently your secret count on a public forum as if you believe it is important to the public forum. Why else post on a public discussion forum? You aren't posting for your own ego. That would be selfish and you are mindful of community.
You don't expect us to guess what your private count is. You are intelligent so you don't expect us to be able to guess. Because you are knowledgeable and know that there are many variations of counts surrounding different public events.
For example, it is 876 days since Biden was inaugurated. 28 months, 26 days. Which is really 29 months. But somebody could call it 28 months, if they were rounding it off by truncation.
But that would be a celebration. And being a cheerful sort, you would gladly state that celebration on a public forum.
A Republican would say the 28 months represents the time the usurper Biden is occupying the Oval Office that is rightly Trump's. But you are not a Republican. You might be a republian or a mushroom, whatever those are. But you are not a Republican.
It is 891 days since the attempted insurrection. 29 months, 10 days. That's 29 months and so that's not it.
It is 862 days since Biden stopped some arms sales to Saudi Arabia. 28 months 12 days. Perhaps you have family that was killed by Houti rebels.
It's something negative that happened between January 16th, and Feb. 16th 2021. But not personal to you, because you are not selfish.
So it's not ego.
It's not stupidity.
It's not selfishness.
It's not double standards.
It's not celebrating Joe Biden.
It's not a Republican complaint.
It's not lack of awareness of public events.
It's not marking the attempted insurrection.
It's not a republican or republian code signalling to mushrooms.
It could be arms sales ban.
Do you have any idea of why you are using a public forum? I believe you do because you are intelligent. Care to share in the space you've been using?
---
January 15
The Lao People's Revolutionary Party elects Thongloun Sisoulith as its new General Secretary, replacing retiring chief Bounnhang Vorachith. Sisoulith is elected for a five-year term as top leader in Laos.[12]
COVID-19 pandemic: The global death toll from COVID-19 passes 2 million.[13]
January 20 – Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are inaugurated as the 46th and 49th President and Vice President of the United States. Harris becomes the first Black, South Asian and female Vice President.
January 22 – The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, the first legally binding international agreement comprehensively to prohibit nuclear weapons, comes into effect.[14]
January 24 – 2021 Portuguese presidential election: Incumbent president Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa is reelected.[15]
January 26 – COVID-19 pandemic: The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases exceeds 100 million worldwide.[16]
January 27 – A near-total ban on abortion comes into effect in Poland.[17]
January 29 – COVID-19 pandemic: The European Union invokes Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol following a row over COVID-19 vaccine supplies before reversing the decision.[18]
January 31 – Nguyễn Phú Trọng is re-elected for a third five-year term as the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam.[19]
February
February 1
A coup d'état in Myanmar removes Aung San Suu Kyi from power and restores military rule leading to widespread demonstrations across the country.[20][21][22]
Kosovo officially establishes diplomatic ties with Israel and announces plans to open an embassy in Jerusalem.[23]
COVID-19 pandemic: The number of vaccinations administered worldwide exceeds 100 million.[24][25]
February 4 – US President Joe Biden announces that the United States will cease providing weapons to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) for use in the Yemeni Civil War.[26]
February 9
COVID-19 pandemic: A joint WHO–China investigation into the source of the outbreak concludes. Investigators deem a Wuhan laboratory leak to be "extremely unlikely", with a "natural reservoir" in bats being a more likely origin.[27]
The UAE's uncrewed Hope spacecraft becomes the first Arabian mission successfully to enter orbit around Mars.[28]
February 13–17 – A major winter storm kills at least 136 people and causes over 9.9 million power outages in the U.S.[29]
Of course we don't. You are posting on a public discussion forum
We see it's important because we see you posting it often.
You tell me that my count is not correct when you don't know what it is counting. But you don't hold double standards, despite the appearance. That would be unethical and you have good ethics.
You are posting frequently your secret count on a public forum as if you believe it is important to the public forum. Why else post on a public discussion forum? You aren't posting for your own ego. That would be selfish and you are mindful of community.
You don't expect us to guess what your private count is. You are intelligent so you don't expect us to be able to guess. Because you are knowledgeable and know that there are many variations of counts surrounding different public events.
For example, it is 876 days since Biden was inaugurated. 28 months, 26 days. Which is really 29 months. But somebody could call it 28 months, if they were rounding it off by truncation.
But that would be a celebration. And being a cheerful sort, you would gladly state that celebration on a public forum.
A Republican would say the 28 months represents the time the usurper Biden is occupying the Oval Office that is rightly Trump's. But you are not a Republican. You might be a republian or a mushroom, whatever those are. But you are not a Republican.
It is 891 days since the attempted insurrection. 29 months, 10 days. That's 29 months and so that's not it.
It is 862 days since Biden stopped some arms sales to Saudi Arabia. 28 months 12 days. Perhaps you have family that was killed by Houti rebels.
It's something negative that happened between January 16th, and Feb. 16th 2021. But not personal to you, because you are not selfish.
So it's not ego.
It's not stupidity.
It's not selfishness.
It's not double standards.
It's not celebrating Joe Biden.
It's not a Republican complaint.
It's not lack of awareness of public events.
It's not marking the attempted insurrection.
It's not a republican or republian code signalling to mushrooms.
It could be arms sales ban.
Do you have any idea of why you are using a public forum? I believe you do because you are intelligent. Care to share in the space you've been using?
---
January 15
The Lao People's Revolutionary Party elects Thongloun Sisoulith as its new General Secretary, replacing retiring chief Bounnhang Vorachith. Sisoulith is elected for a five-year term as top leader in Laos.[12]
COVID-19 pandemic: The global death toll from COVID-19 passes 2 million.[13]
January 20 – Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are inaugurated as the 46th and 49th President and Vice President of the United States. Harris becomes the first Black, South Asian and female Vice President.
January 22 – The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, the first legally binding international agreement comprehensively to prohibit nuclear weapons, comes into effect.[14]
January 24 – 2021 Portuguese presidential election: Incumbent president Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa is reelected.[15]
January 26 – COVID-19 pandemic: The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases exceeds 100 million worldwide.[16]
January 27 – A near-total ban on abortion comes into effect in Poland.[17]
January 29 – COVID-19 pandemic: The European Union invokes Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol following a row over COVID-19 vaccine supplies before reversing the decision.[18]
January 31 – Nguyễn Phú Trọng is re-elected for a third five-year term as the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam.[19]
February
February 1
A coup d'état in Myanmar removes Aung San Suu Kyi from power and restores military rule leading to widespread demonstrations across the country.[20][21][22]
Kosovo officially establishes diplomatic ties with Israel and announces plans to open an embassy in Jerusalem.[23]
COVID-19 pandemic: The number of vaccinations administered worldwide exceeds 100 million.[24][25]
February 4 – US President Joe Biden announces that the United States will cease providing weapons to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) for use in the Yemeni Civil War.[26]
February 9
COVID-19 pandemic: A joint WHO–China investigation into the source of the outbreak concludes. Investigators deem a Wuhan laboratory leak to be "extremely unlikely", with a "natural reservoir" in bats being a more likely origin.[27]
The UAE's uncrewed Hope spacecraft becomes the first Arabian mission successfully to enter orbit around Mars.[28]
February 13–17 – A major winter storm kills at least 136 people and causes over 9.9 million power outages in the U.S.[29]
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Gender: Do not displayMember since: Fri Jul 16, 2004, 11:36 PM
Number of posts: 48,988
