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Wed Sep 18, 2019, 02:08 PM

Elizabeth Warren seen as just as likely as Joe Biden to beat Donald Trump

Interesting article about "electability" in YouGov.

https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/09/18/warren-biden-beat-trump-poll

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren has participated in three Democratic debates – and has been seen as the winner in all three. In last Thursday’s debate, the first one where she shared the stage with Vice President Joe Biden, Democratic primary voters gave her the edge over Biden in the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, with no other debate participant named as the best in the debate by more than 8 percent of Democratic voters.

Democratic voters had expected Warren to do best in this debate. Warren continues to be the most popular of the current Democratic candidates among Democratic voters. She receives the highest favorable rating (76%) overall, and the lowest unfavorable rating (16%) of the 10 candidates who participated in the debate.

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Biden have favorable ratings of 70 percent and 69 percent, respectively, with those same Democratic voters, but more than one in four have unfavorable ratings of each of them. In addition, fewer than one in 10 Democratic voters say they would be disappointed if Warren became the nominee. The nomination of all the other debate participants would disappoint between 12 percent and 22 percent of potential Democratic voters.

More importantly, perhaps, in an election where Democratic voters prioritize electability over issue agreement (65% to 35%), as many Democratic voters now see Warren as just as likely to defeat President Donald Trump as Biden. That’s the first time that’s happened. [emphasis mine]
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Reply Elizabeth Warren seen as just as likely as Joe Biden to beat Donald Trump (Original post)
BlueMTexpat Sep 18 OP
virgogal Sep 18 #1
jcgoldie Sep 18 #2
IronLionZion Sep 19 #3

Response to BlueMTexpat (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 02:38 PM

1. More likely IMHO.

.

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Response to BlueMTexpat (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 03:22 PM

2. Well...

If Biden turns in more debate performances like the one he had last week, then its going to become evident at some point that his perceived elect-ability advantages in MI, WI, and PA are more than cancelled out by the better prepared and sharper candidate.

They can limit his media availability to minimize exposure but there are NINE more debates.

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Response to BlueMTexpat (Original post)

Thu Sep 19, 2019, 02:34 PM

3. High turnout from liberals is more likely than flipping Trump voters

Warren would really inspire folks on the left who also want to make history with the first woman president but weren't excited about Hillary last time

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