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Undecided 40%
Joe Biden14%
Kamala Harris11%
Elizabeth Warren11%
Pete Buttigieg8%

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 08:30 PM

 

Who Might Make The Democratic Debate Stage?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-might-make-the-democratic-debate-stage/

Presidential primary debates are a major media spectacle in American politics, so candidates, naturally, want to participate lest they become irrelevant. And with a historically large Democratic field in the 2020 cycle, the race is on to qualify for the first two debates, which are taking place this summer.1

Democratic hopefuls have two ways of getting onto the debate stage, according to a February news release from the Democratic National Committee. They can earn at least 1 percent of the vote in three different national or early-state polls conducted by qualifying pollsters, or they can receive donations from at least 65,000 unique donors, with at least 200 individual donors in at least 20 different states. And as you can see in the table below, of the 16 major candidates FiveThirtyEight is tracking — plus former Vice President Joe Biden, who hasn’t yet entered the race but is widely expected to — 15 have already met at least one of those two criteria, according to our research.

According to the chart at the link the candidates below are the only ones who have qualified via both methods (poling and number of donors) as of 4/19/19

Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Beto O’Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Andrew Yang

8 replies, 357 views

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Reply Who Might Make The Democratic Debate Stage? (Original post)
Sherman A1 Apr 20 OP
GemDigger Apr 20 #1
Sherman A1 Apr 20 #2
left-of-center2012 Apr 20 #3
TwilightZone Apr 20 #5
mcar Apr 20 #4
Kahuna7 Apr 20 #6
Indygram Apr 20 #7
Agschmid Apr 20 #8

Response to Sherman A1 (Original post)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 08:33 PM

1. I was wondering about this earlier, thanks for the link.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to GemDigger (Reply #1)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 08:34 PM

2. My pleasure

 

Just tripped over it on Facebook.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Andrew Yang

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Response to Sherman A1 (Original post)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 08:37 PM

3. It'll be a crowded stage

 

As stated ...
“... of the 16 major candidates FiveThirtyEight is tracking ... 15 have already met at least one of those two criteria, according to our research.”
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to left-of-center2012 (Reply #3)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 09:20 PM

5. Some debates will split them up.

 

The Miami debate, for example, is scheduled for two nights, 6/26 and 6/27, with up to 10 candidates each night.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/nbc-news-first-democratic-debate-set-miami-june-26-27-n988481
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Sherman A1 (Original post)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 08:50 PM

4. I donated to Julian Castro for this very reason

 

He deserves to be on the stage.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to Sherman A1 (Original post)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 09:25 PM

6. I saw on twitter that Tulsi qualified. nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Sherman A1 (Original post)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 09:33 PM

7. Klobuchar and Booker haven't qualified yet but Yang and Gabbard did?

 

That seems kinda off.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Beto O'Rourke

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Response to Indygram (Reply #7)

Sat Apr 20, 2019, 09:54 PM

8. It says "via both"

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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