Im so over Iowa and NH

[evertonfc]

They are tiny states that are so unrepresentative of the demographics of our party. Looking forward to NV, SC and Super Tuesday.

[Control-Z]

1. Yes, I agree.

I too am looking forward to NV, SC and Super Tuesday.

[Kurt V.]

2. is NH over?

[emulatorloo]

4. No, but it is still a tiny white state. Which is the point of the OP

[George II]

3. They represent a minuscule % off the minority population of this country.

[Kurt V.]

5. is the white vote now the minority? i know its been receding

[Celerity]

9. 59% as of 2017, and dropping, by far the fastest rising group is Hispanics, they will pass up A-A's

eventually in our Party, although it takes longer for just the Democratic Party's % of Hispanics to pass up A'A's, as they are more split between the 2 parties than black voters are.






here is a very large, detailed article


States of Change

How Demographic Change Is Transforming the Republican and Democratic Parties

https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/democracy/reports/2019/06/27/471487/states-of-change-3/

snip

Black voters are, far and away, the most stable coalitional element in our study. Due to relatively low immigration and modest birth rates, black eligible voters have only grown at about the same pace as all voters. As a result, the rough size of this group has not changed significantly over time. Black voters have grown just slightly as a share of all voters (12 percent), Democratic voters (22 percent), and Republican voters (2 percent).

Current demographic trends suggest that this group will only grow marginally going into the future. Absent any shifts in turnout, black voters should make up an identical portion of voters, Democratic voters, and Republican voters in 2020. However, by 2036, black voters will make up 13 percent of all voters, 23 percent of Democratic voters, and 3 percent of Republican voters.

[Retrograde]

10. It's getting that way in some Western states (n/t)

[FreeState]

6. But they have a really good track record:

https://ibb.co/YjchTxK

[TwilightZone]

7. NH isn't that good a predictor.

Clinton and Obama essentially ran uncontested for their second terms.

NH was wrong in 4 of the other 9.

[jcmaine72]

11. Even if that were true (which it isn't)

When did we stop being the party of minority Americans?

[krissey]

8. They tell a story, but yes.

[Kentonio]

12. Undecided but lean Biden by any chance?