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Quixote1818

(28,929 posts)
Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:09 AM Feb 2020

What Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada mean for SC's Democratic presidential primary



Democrats in Iowa will caucus on Monday in the official opener to the Democratic presidential nominating contest.

The race will quickly move on to New Hampshire, then Nevada before landing in South Carolina on Feb. 29.

What do the first three early states mean for South Carolina’s contest?

Snip: WHAT NEVADA MIGHT TELL SC
Nevada, more than Iowa and New Hampshire, may offer more of a preview of what’s to come in South Carolina — but with one important distinction.

The southwestern state will be the first real test for candidates among a diverse electorate, more specifically among Hispanic and Latino voters — who make up a fast-growing demographic.

Though in South Carolina that demographic is estimated at 5.5%, much smaller than Nevada’s, the Nevada contest is “probably more of a harbinger for South Carolina than ... Iowa or New Hampshire,” said J. Miles Coleman, associate editor at Sabato’s Crystal Ball at University of Virginia Center for Politics. “A big part of the Democratic coalition in Nevada is the Hispanic vote.”

“If Bernie (Sanders) does well out there, he could do well in parts of South Carolina with big (Hispanic) populations,” Coleman continued. “But it’s not really in itself enough to carry the state.”

Theodore Johnson, a senior fellow at the Brennan Center for Justice at New York University Law School, added Nevada “will either continue or interrupt candidate momentum.”

“Momentum is huge in February,” Johnson said. “Whoever has momentum rolling (out of South Carolina and) into Super Tuesday, especially coming out of Super Tuesday, is in a good spot.”

More: https://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/election/article239842498.html
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada mean for SC's Democratic presidential primary (Original Post) Quixote1818 Feb 2020 OP
not very much at all..... getagrip_already Feb 2020 #1
Did you read the article? It flat out says South Carolina is an opportunity Quixote1818 Feb 2020 #2
The article makes a prediction. Nothing more. Nothing less. LanternWaste Feb 2020 #3
Here's another point, in 1992, Clinton lost the first FOUR states. Zolorp Feb 2020 #4
 

getagrip_already

(14,721 posts)
1. not very much at all.....
Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:22 AM
Feb 2020

..

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/iowa-new-hampshire-40-years-nominee/24869/

2016: Ted Cruz won the Iowa caucus, but lost the Republican nomination to Donald Trump.

2016: Bernie Sanders won the New Hampshire primary, but lost the Democratic nomination to Hillary Clinton.

2012: Rick Santorum won the Iowa caucus, but lost the Republican nomination to Mitt Romney.

2008: Hillary Clinton won the New Hampshire primary, but lost the Democratic nomination to Barack Obama.

2008: Mike Huckabee won the Iowa caucus, but lost the Republican nomination to John McCain.

2000: John McCain won the New Hampshire primary, but lost the Republican nomination to George W. Bush.

1992: Tom Harkin won the Iowa caucus, but lost the Democratic nomination to Bill Clinton.

1988: Dick Gephardt won the Iowa caucus, but lost the Democratic nomination to Michael Dukakis.


1988: Bob Dole won the Iowa caucus, but lost the Republican nomination to George H.W. Bush.


1984: Gary Hart won the New Hampshire primary, but lost the Democratic nomination to Walter Mondale.


1980: George H.W. Bush won the Iowa caucus, but lost the Republican nomination to Ronald Reagan.


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Quixote1818

(28,929 posts)
2. Did you read the article? It flat out says South Carolina is an opportunity
Mon Feb 3, 2020, 11:27 AM
Feb 2020

to give a different candidate momentum going into Super Tuesday. The article is one Biden folks should agree with.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
3. The article makes a prediction. Nothing more. Nothing less.
Mon Feb 3, 2020, 04:20 PM
Feb 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Zolorp

(1,115 posts)
4. Here's another point, in 1992, Clinton lost the first FOUR states.
Mon Feb 3, 2020, 04:22 PM
Feb 2020

He went on to win the nomination in a landslide of huge proportions.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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