New IBD/TIPP national poll (A/B rated)

Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:18 AM

ritapria (1,812 posts)

1. IBD/TIPP

registers support for Bernie that is most often around 5% less than his RCP national average ...Which indicates Bernie's actual national support is around 24% … If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:24 AM

LanternWaste (36,771 posts)

2. Every-time we pretend our unsupported allegations are fact, science cries a little more.

(Nice effort with the ellipses-usage. Your hard work is paying off!!!) If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:24 AM

beastie boy (2,789 posts)

3. For some reason, this doesn't prevent them from getting the A/B rating from 538

Can't wait to hear how 538 is part of the conspiracy to undermine Bernie... which, I guess, makes their actual ratings about 5% lower than what they report. If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:31 AM

bluewater (4,169 posts)

4. An "A/B" rating is provisional rating because of the Pollster not having an established record.

538 states that when they don't assign a definitive rating it's because the pollster does not have an established track record with them. So they assign provisional ratings in the form "A/B" or "B/C', as examples. If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Reply #4)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:41 AM

beastie boy (2,789 posts)

6. Beats an established C rating, doesn't it?

To mangle Mark Twain, it is better to be provisional and be thought a hack than establish an inferior record and remove all doubt. If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Reply #6)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:46 AM

bluewater (4,169 posts)

7. Jury is still out, according to 538.

Time will tell. That pollster could be right, or it could crash and burn. 538 was not confident to assign a definitive rating, and for good reasons, I am sure. If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Reply #7)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:29 PM

beastie boy (2,789 posts)

10. They assigned an A/B provisional rating for good reason too, I am sure!

But I appreciate the info. I never bothered to look up the meaning of the dual rating with a slash. Live and learn! If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:32 AM

DanTex (20,699 posts)

5. Good to know, thanks.

If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:07 PM

Sloumeau (2,635 posts)

8. I don't think that you understand poll averaging as well as you may think that you do. :) nt

If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 05:28 PM

Cha (268,186 posts)

11. awww.. you don't like the polling with Biden ahead?

If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

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