HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » New IBD/TIPP national pol...
Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:12 AM

 

New IBD/TIPP national poll (A/B rated)

Joe Biden leads with 26% support in the February IBD/TIPP Poll, followed by Bernie Sanders at 19% and Elizabeth Warren at 13%. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, with 8% support, has pulled into fourth place, ahead of South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, backed by 7%.
Andrew Yang (4%), Amy Klobuchar (3%) and Tom Steyer (2%) are the only other candidates polling above 1%.

https://www.investors.com/politics/joe-biden-leads-bernie-sanders-but-trump-pulls-even-ibd-tipp/
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

11 replies, 682 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread

Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:18 AM

1. IBD/TIPP

 

registers support for Bernie that is most often around 5% less than his RCP national average ...Which indicates Bernie's actual national support is around 24%
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:24 AM

2. Every-time we pretend our unsupported allegations are fact, science cries a little more.

 

(Nice effort with the ellipses-usage. Your hard work is paying off!!!)
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:24 AM

3. For some reason, this doesn't prevent them from getting the A/B rating from 538

 

Can't wait to hear how 538 is part of the conspiracy to undermine Bernie... which, I guess, makes their actual ratings about 5% lower than what they report.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beastie boy (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:31 AM

4. An "A/B" rating is provisional rating because of the Pollster not having an established record.

 

538 states that when they don't assign a definitive rating it's because the pollster does not have an established track record with them. So they assign provisional ratings in the form "A/B" or "B/C', as examples.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Reply #4)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:41 AM

6. Beats an established C rating, doesn't it?

 

To mangle Mark Twain, it is better to be provisional and be thought a hack than establish an inferior record and remove all doubt.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beastie boy (Reply #6)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:46 AM

7. Jury is still out, according to 538.

 

Time will tell.

That pollster could be right, or it could crash and burn.

538 was not confident to assign a definitive rating, and for good reasons, I am sure.


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Reply #7)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:29 PM

10. They assigned an A/B provisional rating for good reason too, I am sure!

 

But I appreciate the info. I never bothered to look up the meaning of the dual rating with a slash.

Live and learn!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 11:32 AM

5. Good to know, thanks.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 12:07 PM

8. I don't think that you understand poll averaging as well as you may think that you do. :) nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ritapria (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 05:28 PM

11. awww.. you don't like the polling with Biden ahead?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Reply to this thread