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Undecided 43%
Elizabeth Warren19%
Joe Biden14%
Bernie Sanders12%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:24 AM

 

Sanders holds 4-point lead on Biden in new California poll

BY JULIA MANCHESTER - 01/22/20 05:00 AM EST

Excerpt:

Sen. Bernie Sanders is leading the crowded Democratic primary field in California, according to a new poll from the University of Southern California's Rossier School of Education/PACE.

The survey showed Sanders with a 28 percent lead among California voters who said they planned to vote in the Democratic primary. Former Vice President Joe Biden follows in second place at 24 percent support.

California is one of several states to hold their nominating contest on Super Tuesday, which takes place on March 3. The delegate-rich state is set to allocate 495 delegates based on the primary's outcome, making the state a must-win state for presidential hopefuls.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/479188-sanders-leads-in-california-poll
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Reply Sanders holds 4-point lead on Biden in new California poll (Original post)
Donkees Jan 22 OP
George II Jan 22 #1
boomer_wv Jan 22 #2
getagrip_already Jan 22 #4
getagrip_already Jan 22 #3
TexasTowelie Jan 22 #5
Aaron Pereira Jan 22 #6
apnu Jan 22 #7

Response to Donkees (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:28 AM

1. Biden is still on top of both RCP's and 538's California averages. This poll is rated B/C.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Donkees (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:34 AM

2. I'm not sure

 

California polls from now are worth much.

A lot is going to happen to change the dynamics of that race before we get there.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to boomer_wv (Reply #2)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:41 AM

4. not the least of which is ratf'ery from gop crossover voters....

 

Trump isn't running and there really aren't any primary battles. A lot of gop voters may just jump over and cause mischief.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Donkees (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:40 AM

3. where is this poll posted (besides thehill)?

 

The only reference I can find for this poll is on the hills website. I checked rossier, and they have nothing.

538 only points back to the thehill article.

It doesn't seem to exist outside of that one web story (which is not a poll, just an article).

Anyone have a link?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Donkees (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 12:27 PM

5. 415 delegates for the first round.

 

An additional 80 delegates are superdelegates.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Donkees (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 01:08 PM

6. Conventional wisdom claimed Sanders had a ceiling of 20% support.

 

Now, all at once he seems to have broken out of that tranche nationally and across several key states. Big development.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to Donkees (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 01:11 PM

7. We have a long way to go to the CA primary.

 

By the time we get to Cali, the Dem field will be much narrower than it is now. After Iowa, a bunch will drop out. The question is who?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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