HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » Michigan Poll - Epic MRA ...
Undecided 45%
Elizabeth Warren20%
Joe Biden15%
Bernie Sanders9%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 06:41 AM

 

Michigan Poll - Epic MRA find SANDERS/BIDEN both leading

SANDERS Beating Trump by more than 5 points
Sanders 50%, Trump 45%

BIDEN in a statistical deat heat
Biden 50%, Trump 44%

, and even Michael BLOOMBERG beating Trump in Michigan by 7 points!
Bloomberg 49%, Trump 42%

More to the poll results here:

https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/15/mike-bloomberg-other-democrats-lead-donald-trump-michigan-poll/4469175002/
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

12 replies, 527 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
Reply Michigan Poll - Epic MRA find SANDERS/BIDEN both leading (Original post)
James48 Wednesday OP
sweetloukillbot Wednesday #1
Kahuna7 Wednesday #2
crazytown Wednesday #4
OilemFirchen Wednesday #10
crazytown Wednesday #3
bearsfootball516 Wednesday #5
Loki Liesmith Wednesday #6
DrToast Wednesday #9
Loki Liesmith Wednesday #11
DrToast Wednesday #12
LongtimeAZDem Wednesday #7
Name removed Wednesday #8

Response to James48 (Original post)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 06:48 AM

1. So Sanders is leading by less than Biden...

 

But Biden is in a dead heat?
OK.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Amy Klobuchar

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to sweetloukillbot (Reply #1)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 07:02 AM

2. LOL! Woo boy!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to sweetloukillbot (Reply #1)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 07:04 AM

4. MoE 4%, 'statistical dead heat'? Yes.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to crazytown (Reply #4)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 01:18 PM

10. By that "metric"...

 

Senator Sanders is losing to Trump by 3%.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to James48 (Original post)


Response to James48 (Original post)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 07:14 AM

5. So Sanders leads by 5, Biden leads by 6...

 

And Sanders is "beating Trump" while Biden is in a "statistical dead heat"?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to James48 (Original post)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 07:27 AM

6. There is no such thing as a statistical dead heat.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Loki Liesmith (Reply #6)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 12:49 PM

9. Thank you!

 

I donít know where it came from but I wish people would stop saying it.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Amy Klobuchar

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to DrToast (Reply #9)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 01:28 PM

11. People need to understand probabilities of results

 

As a function of the confidence interval...
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Loki Liesmith (Reply #11)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 02:18 PM

12. Yes, a result outside MOE may mean less certainty

 

But it does not mean a tie. The person ahead is still likely leading.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Amy Klobuchar

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to James48 (Original post)

Wed Jan 15, 2020, 09:16 AM

7. Favorability results from the same poll:

 

Biden is the only one with a net favorable

Candidate Favorable Unfavorable Net Undecided
Joe Biden 44% 41% +3% 14%
Bernie Sanders 44% 45% -1% 11%
Elizabeth Warren 32% 39% -7% 15%
Pete Buttigieg 27% 27% 0% 16%
Mike Bloomberg 26% 34% -8% 24%
Donald Trump 41% 54% -13% 5%
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to James48 (Original post)

Reply to this thread