HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » Do you believe the person...
Undecided 44%
Elizabeth Warren20%
Joe Biden16%
Bernie Sanders10%
Pete Buttigieg5%

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 01:27 PM

 

Do you believe the person who has the most pledged delegates after super tuesday will be the nominee

Just curious. I for one will be supporting that person regardless of who they are until they fall behind in pledged delegates.
23 votes, 3 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Yes
22 (96%)
No.
1 (4%)
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

11 replies, 489 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 11 replies Author Time Post
Reply Do you believe the person who has the most pledged delegates after super tuesday will be the nominee (Original post)
Tiggeroshii Dec 8 OP
TexasTowelie Dec 8 #1
RandySF Dec 8 #2
Garrett78 Dec 8 #3
OldRed2450 Dec 8 #5
Garrett78 Dec 8 #7
karynnj Dec 8 #4
loyalsister Dec 8 #6
brooklynite Dec 8 #8
Tiggeroshii Dec 8 #9
brooklynite Dec 8 #10
Tiggeroshii Dec 8 #11

Response to Tiggeroshii (Original post)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 01:46 PM

1. Yes.

 

There are only two other dates after Super Tuesday where a large number of delegates will be determined. The first one is two weeks after Super Tuesday and the second is at the end of April when several mid-Atlantic and New England states have primaries. If one of the candidates has a 200 delegate lead or more, then it is virtually impossible that other candidates will be able to catch up because of the proportional allocation rules.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Original post)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 01:55 PM

2. History would indicate.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Original post)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 01:55 PM

3. It depends on how large the lead is. The biggest thing to look for is...

 

...who, if anyone, is winning a clear majority of the Black vote. That's how we knew in 2016 that the race was over after the first Super Tuesday. To this day, there seem to be Sanders supporters who don't accept that reality, that the race was effectively over in early March.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Garrett78 (Reply #3)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 02:41 PM

5. The reason why the supporters did not accept it is...

 

the candidate was telling them there was still a chance. First arguing superdelgates could go to him and 2nd.. awaiting the FBI findings on Hillary. It's true, this happened
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to OldRed2450 (Reply #5)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 03:48 PM

7. To this day, though, many don't seem to acknowledge that reality. Instead...

 

...some will suggest that it was a really close race until the end. It wasn't. It was effectively over after the first Super Tuesday. It should have been obvious at the time, but with the advantage of hindsight regarding superdelegates and the nonsense about Clinton being investigated, it boggles the mind that there could still be people who don't accept that Clinton had the nomination wrapped up in early March.

But, I suppose, if people accepted that reality, they would also have to accept the reality that Sanders has no chance at winning the nomination in 2020 unless he does much, much, MUCH better than last time among POC, particularly Black voters. And there's no reason to believe that he will, so it's better to stick one's head in the sand.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Original post)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 02:00 PM

4. It depends on by how much

 

At the extreme, consider that the top two could be within 1 delegate of each other. In that case, neither would be the de facto nominee and it is entirely possible that the number two might be better positioned to end all the primaries with more if the remaining states are better for him.

Remember 2008. Obama was better prepared for the next set of states after SuperTuesday ended with Obama very slightly ahead in pledged delegates even as HRC won the big states. Had Clinton been the one ahead in the next set of states, she could have won.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Original post)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 03:22 PM

6. I think it's way too early for me to speculate

 

This primary is very different from those I have followed previously. I have no expectations yet and am waiting it out.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Original post)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 08:09 PM

8. Chairman Perez does...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Pete Buttigieg

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to brooklynite (Reply #8)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 11:01 PM

9. Why do you say that?

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #9)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 11:30 PM

10. He mentioned it at a DNC lunch I was at...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Pete Buttigieg

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to brooklynite (Reply #10)

Sun Dec 8, 2019, 11:38 PM

11. It is a more than reasonable assumption. But there are plenty of scenarios where it definitely canno

 

Or should not happen.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread