This election is baked. Dems can nominate a kangaroo

[FredZim]

Nothing is changing America's opinions on Trump and this election is only about Trump.
Trump says he could shoot somebody on 5th avenue and his support would not drop (he's right).
But Dems can nominate a kangaroo and the outcome also will not change.
Trump's favorable/unfavorable is about 41% to 54%
The 5% undecideds are LYING, they mostly support Trump but are too embarrassed to admit to pollsters.
GOP voters, as always, will show up to vote.
Fortunately for Dems, voter turnout and GOTV will be easy. We just must to the work!!!!
We can run a fairly liberal platform with no risk. So we can nominate who we want.

54% with high GOTV is a winner for Dems.

Your homework. Talk to coworkers, friends and acquaintances and ask if they are registered to vote. Register them to vote and then follow up with them.

The only REAL variable will be urban/suburban voter turnout. Will it be high, super high or insanely high. That's what will make the difference between a close race and a blowout.

[rzemanfl]

1. I need to wash socks. n/t

[cwydro]

18. Ditto.

Geez

[Hekate]

34. Gotta rearrange my sock drawer to find matching pairs

Very important housekeeping task, wouldn't you say?

[rzemanfl]

35. Absolutely. n/t

[redqueen]

2. Wow I really could not disagree more strongly.

Swing voters will decide. They are not easy to pin down ideologically. Most aren't super interested in politics and that's just how it is.

[Kurt V.]

9. true swing voters are about 8% of the electorate. left and right leaning indies will decide this.

[redqueen]

12. Good point

I should have said swing voters ans independents. 👍

[Dagstead Bumwood]

3. Would this be a write-in kangaroo or has one declared?

Guess I really need to pay more attention to the news.

[crazytown]

4. CK 2020

[Dagstead Bumwood]

6. Nah, getting ping pong balls dropped on you by Mr. Moose

is just plain bad optics. Besides, everyone knows Mr. Green Jeans should be at the top of the ticket.

[JustAnotherGen]

5. This actually suppresses the vote

When I'm knocking on doors in my precinct? It's going to be - Trump is winning so you have to vote. This is doomsday - you have to vote.

And as far as I'm concerned - our Republic has fallen. This election is our ONLY chance to get it back or it's gone for the rest of my life.

Also - when we look at KY and LA - you know how they won?

A black population moved to the polls because we get - our lives fucking depend upon it.

Suburban White Educated Women are swing voters - we need folks whose votes were suppressed in Michigan, PA, Ohio.

[cwydro]

19. This.

No one thought he would win in 2016.

But he did.

[YOHABLO]

26. Especially Trump!

[MrsCoffee]

28. He didn't win. It was treason.

The American people elected Hillary Clinton.

[JustAnotherGen]

32. We all agree

But 45 is still the President.

We win in 2020 by believing 45 is inevitable, voting like our lives depend on it, and voting in such huge numbers in KEY STATES that they can't fucking steal it this time.

[ritapria]

7. Very True

It's all about GOTV ….We didn't show up in 2016 - and still won the popular vote by 3 million ...There are more of us than there are of them … There are tens of millions of people who need to be inspired to get off their couches and vote for a Democrat they believe will fight for change that dramatically improves the quality of their lives ……… We need inspiration as well as the perspiration required to activate our base ………..

[msongs]

8. yep, president hillary got 3 mil more votes so she won nt

[StevieM]

11. Forget about the popular vote. She would have destroyed Trump in the electoral college had it not

been for James Comey and his antics.

Comey dominated that election from start to finish.

[Pobeka]

17. AND Russian interference.

[Gothmog]

22. Comey is a scum bucket

Comey helped elect trump

[MrsCoffee]

29. And treason.

[Gothmog]

10. trump will have over a billion dollars to use to smear a weak candidate

trump has already spend well over $10 million attacking Joe Biden. We cannot nominate a weak or far left candidate and hope to win against trump's money, Russia and other efforts.

[Thekaspervote]

13. This!! This election is probably the most important of this century, and yet to come

It’s troubling that people think this is a cakewalk... it’s not!!

[Gothmog]

14. I disagree-we need to nominate a strong candidate

Link to tweet

[peggysue2]

24. Hate to say it but I agree with Deutsch

Trump regardless of how odious he is will have the power of the Office behind him, not to mention gargantuan money reserves to blow his propaganda and lie machine everywhere. His foreign 'friends' are still in place and have already started their own campaign to discredit and smear.

This election will be a slog not a cakewalk. Which is why we need our nominee to have the widest reach and appeal, a nominee with the greatest ability to snatch the necessary votes in the electoral college to carry us to a win. The bigger the win the better because we know the GOP will do everything in their power to curve the edges in a close election.

That's why my money is on Joe Biden. For the win. For our survival.

[Rainbow Droid]

15. If it's insanely high it literally does not matter who the candidate is.

And it will be all about Democratic turnout. One way, or the other way.

[nancy1942]

16. Don't forget Russian tampering.

I don't see anything being done to prevent it. Do you?

[Thekaspervote]

20. Just my opinion ...it matters very much as not everyone can win

[boomer_wv]

21. Wow.

What a terrible take. If there is only thing we should have learned from flipping R seats the past couple years is that candidates matter.

Moderate candidates went into deep R districts and beat incumbents....progressive candidates competed in close states and lost. The only pace there progressives are able to win is in deeply blue districts.

If Trump is going to lose, he's going to do so to a moderate. That's clear.

[The Valley Below]

23. The ONLY part I agree with is that there is a portion of the electorate who--when polled--will lie

about supporting Trump.

That makes me very cautious when I see our side up less than 5% in any poll.

That makes who we chose as our nominee a critically important decision.

[obamanut2012]

25. lulz

[Demsrule86]

27. Not true. We still have a vulnerability in the Rust Belt. Trump could win in the EC...sure we take

the popular vote but that is meaningless. Believe this at your own peril...removing Trump is the only concern any of us should have.

[Hoyt]

30. A Kangaroo should beat trump, but no guarantee. What happens if trump doesn't run?

I want our best candidate to beat GOPers, no matter what happens.

[customerserviceguy]

31. And in the fall of 2016

Hillary was a lock for the election.

There's an old saying, there are only two ways to run for elective office, unopposed, and scared.

[Gothmog]

33. Trump Leads Top Democrats In Wisconsin

Meanwhile in the real world trump can easily win re-election if we nominate a weak candidate https://politicalwire.com/2019/11/20/trump-leads-top-democrats-in-wisconsin/

A new Marquette Law poll in Wisconsin finds President Trump leading Joe Biden in the important swing state, 47% to 44%.

Trump leads Bernie Sanders, 48% to 45%, beats Elizabeth Warren 48% to 43%, and tops Pete Buttigieg 47% to 39%.

Harry Enten: “Across the board the sample is far more friendly to Trump than Marquette’s last poll (so caution needed), but combine this with the NYT/Siena polling… and you get the feeling Trump is far, far from a goner in 2020.”

[Raine]

36. I don't agree at all

it's really dangerous to think that way.