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Undecided 38%
Elizabeth Warren22%
Joe Biden14%
Bernie Sanders8%
Kamala Harris7%

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:02 PM

 

A whole bunch of state primary polls from NYT/Sienna

North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary--- Biden 29, Warren 15, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 1, Harris 1, Yang 0, O'Rourke 2, Klobuchar 0, Booker 1, Castro, Gabbard 1--- Biden +14

Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary--- Biden 30, Sanders 17, Warren 21, Buttigieg 3, Harris 0, Booker 0, Yang 1, Gabbard 1, Klobuchar 1--- Biden +9

Arizona Democratic Primary--- Biden 24, Sanders 16, Warren 15, Buttigieg 5, Harris 3, Yang 1, Klobuchar 1, Gabbard 0, O'Rourke 0--- Biden +8

Florida Democratic Presidential Primary--- Biden 27, Warren 19, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 5, Harris 1, Messam, Klobuchar 2, O'Rourke 0, Gabbard 1--- Biden +8

Wisconsin Democratic Primary--- Biden 23, Warren 25, Sanders 20, Buttigieg 5, Harris 1, Yang 2, Klobuchar 0, Gabbard 1, Booker 1, O'Rourke 1--- Warren +2

Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary --- Biden 28, Warren 16, Sanders 14, Buttigieg 4, Bennet, Klobuchar 1, Gabbard 0, Harris 1, Yang 2, Booker 0--- Biden +12



What jumped out at me was Sanders below 15% in North Carolina, Florida and Pennsylvania.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:09 PM

1. These polls were delayed so Warren could have a she's leading Wisconsin moment...by two points

 

within the margin of error too. NYT in the tank for Warren...but they couldn't hide the truth forever.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:16 PM

2. Bernie has had about a 3% bounce in national polls since these polls were taken

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to ritapria (Reply #2)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:21 PM

4. Indeed

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:20 PM

3. 13%, 14% well with MOE 4.5%

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to crazytown (Reply #3)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:43 PM

8. That's good news for Biden

 

Outside Wisconsin, where he is within MOE of the leader, his numbers are well above MOE
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Reply #8)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:47 PM

9. Agreed

 

"The polls are what the polls are"
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:35 PM

5. Thx for posting!! Biden is either retaking leads or adding to existing leads...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #5)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 10:08 PM

14. Or both things are true...K&R

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:37 PM

6. Good thing Biden didn't drop out like many were clamoring for last weekend. Whew!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to George II (Reply #6)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:48 PM

10. ?

 

The only one wanting Biden to drop out is trump.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to crazytown (Reply #10)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 10:21 PM

16. We saw a pack of BS supporters here claiming his cAmPaIgN wAs OvEr, He ShOuLd DrOp OuT.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to George II (Reply #6)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 10:18 PM

15. lol.. like the stupid The Nation's plea?

 

The Nation: Joe Biden: An Anti-Endorsement

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=338527

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 12:41 PM

7. This is Why Polls at the National Level Are Misleading On the Candidates' Position in Race

 

Once voting starts in SC the only candidates picking up any substantial earned delegates may be Biden, Warren and Sanders because of the 15% vote threshold rule. Based on this polling even Bernie is at risk in some states. I'm surprised Sienna didn't poll SC since it's the first contest with a decent amount of delegates and also the first contest that mirrors the diversity of the Dem party.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Indykatie (Reply #7)


Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 07:54 PM

12. "What jumped out at me was Sanders below 15% in North Carolina, Florida and Pennsylvania."

 

Doesn't surprise me in the least. Sanders did not do well in the Southeast last time, and that hasn't changed. It's purely anecdotal, but I don't know anyone personally who supports Sanders.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 08:04 PM

13. Still to many

 

That this is not much more then noise. The field remains to fluid yet.
I'll really start to pay attention the week after Thanksgiving. We may be able to glean something then.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Amy Klobuchar

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 10:22 PM

17. We need to win the swing states and Joe is our best shot I believe and Dumps smear campaign

 

against him MUST NOT WORK. Everybody should be RALLYING around Joe.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to beastie boy (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 11:13 PM

18. I wonder whether these polls should include Trump

 

How well each is doing against Trump
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Amy Klobuchar

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