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Fri Nov 8, 2019, 02:21 AM

 

Bloomberg seriously thought about running as an independent in 2016

After a lot of analysis he determined that it was impossible for a third party/independent to win the electoral college. Bloomberg is not a man who would run unless he had a realistic chance of winning. Bloomberg is a smart and experienced politician with unlimited money. if Biden should stumble and there is no other choice other then Warren or Sanders then Bloomberg has a chance.

In a side note; I have always thought If Bloomberg had run as an independent in 2016 it's possible that he might have won a slight plurality of the popular vote [eg.: Bloomberg - 35%, HRC - 34%, trump - 31%.] But the result would be no one wins the electoral college, so the Repub controlled House of Representatives chooses the prez. Then we would have a president who finished third in the popular vote.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Reply Bloomberg seriously thought about running as an independent in 2016 (Original post)
jg10003 Friday OP
rampartc Friday #1
jg10003 Friday #3
vsrazdem Friday #2

Response to jg10003 (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 04:23 AM

1. reality check 1992

 

perot got about 18% of the popular vote and 0 electors. perot was known for opposing nafta and for a rescue operation in iran. he qualified to participate in the debates where he made several memorable points ("giant sucking sound of jobs leaving ." on bush and Clinton. (the current debate process was formed to prevent any 3rd party participation. it won't happen again.)

outside of new York city Bloomberg is known for exactly 2 issues :
gun control and the ban on large soda drinks. one is a loser, the other a laughing stock. Bloomberg will take that r c cola from their "cold dead hands."

inside new York city Bloomberg was mayor for 12 years. during that time trump did a lot of business with the city. if the business was not corrupt, trump will still day it was.

as a dem Bloomberg will be soundly thrashed. as a 3rd party/indy Bloomberg might run 5th in the popular vote.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to rampartc (Reply #1)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 04:48 PM

3. If Perot could get 19% in 1992, then Bloomberg could have gotten 35% in 2016

 

Perot was an amateur who didn't know what he was doing. Perot was actually leading in the polls in the spring of 1992. then he quit the race in July and then re-entered in October.

Unlike Perot, Bloomberg is a smart and experienced politician. In 2016 both trump and HRC were very unpopular. If Bloomberg had run as an independent, spending 2 billion dollars of his own money, it is very possible he could have won a slight pluarality of the vote. this would have split the electoral college and sent the election to the house.

Fortunately, this time we will have a better candidate, whoever he/she is, running against trump.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to jg10003 (Original post)

Fri Nov 8, 2019, 04:23 AM

2. I'm not sure people are going to vote for another billionaire.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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