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Undecided 44%
Elizabeth Warren20%
Joe Biden16%
Bernie Sanders10%
Pete Buttigieg5%

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 11:48 PM

 

Hard Floors and Hard Ceilings


Donald Trump has a hard floor of 35% of the voting population.

But he also has a hard ceiling of 45%.

He can't win a fair and free election. 2016 was a one-off "black swan" event. It won't be duplicated.



Similarly... I believe Bernie Sanders has a hard floor of about 15% of the Democratic party and a hard ceiling of about 25%. He won't win the nomination, he'll never get enough delegates under any scenario... but he'll get enough to be a "kingmaker", possibly, in a brokered convention.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Amy Klobuchar

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