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Undecided 45%
Elizabeth Warren20%
Joe Biden15%
Bernie Sanders9%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 08:55 PM

 

Morning Consult/Politico GE poll vs Trump: Biden +5, Sanders +2, Warren -1, Harris -5,

Buttigieg -6


https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/191058_crosstabs_POLITICO_RVs_v2_JB.pdf


Their poll shows Biden beating Trump 41-36 (23% were Don't Know/No Opinion)

Sanders beats Trump 39 - 37 (25% undecided)

Warren loses to Trump 35-36 (28% undecided)


Lots of internal numbers with their polling, but the first thing that struck me looking at the results for the top 3 candidates was that while all 3 beat Trump decisively among female voters, Biden virtually tied Trump among male voters, losing 40-41, while Sanders lost male voters by 7 points and Warren lost male voters by 13 points. Biden beat Trump among female voters by the same 11-point margin as Warren, a point better than Sanders.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply Morning Consult/Politico GE poll vs Trump: Biden +5, Sanders +2, Warren -1, Harris -5, (Original post)
highplainsdem Oct 30 OP
Dawson Leery Oct 30 #1
redqueen Oct 30 #12
ritapria Oct 30 #2
oldsoftie Oct 30 #5
highplainsdem Oct 30 #6
LanternWaste Oct 31 #18
dawg day Oct 30 #3
Thekaspervote Oct 30 #4
Cha Oct 30 #7
Post removed Oct 30 #8
Green Line Oct 30 #13
Joe941 Oct 30 #9
Cha Oct 31 #15
emmaverybo Oct 31 #26
Cha Oct 31 #27
LanternWaste Oct 31 #19
democratisphere Oct 30 #10
LuvLoogie Oct 30 #11
Tarheel_Dem Oct 31 #14
SunSeeker Oct 31 #16
Tarheel_Dem Oct 31 #17
UncleNoel Oct 31 #21
SunSeeker Oct 31 #22
UncleNoel Oct 31 #24
highplainsdem Oct 31 #25
Sloumeau Oct 31 #20
Scurrilous Oct 31 #23

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:02 PM

1. Too many undecideds for this to be accurate.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Dawson Leery (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 11:06 PM

12. Couldn't that be said about pretty much every poll at this point? nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Andrew Yang

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:05 PM

2. Misogyny is rearing it's ugly head

 

in some of these polls .We saw it in 2016 and we'll see it again in 2020 ..It can be overcome by a strong Dem base turnout ...It is not an excuse to not nominate a woman for President ..Bu it is a reality that should not be ignored
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to ritapria (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:09 PM

5. When all else fails........

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to ritapria (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:11 PM

6. Democrats usually do better with female voters. What's unusual is that this poll and some others

 

indicate that Biden, while still doing just as well with female voters as other Democratic candidates do, does better with male voters than the other candidates do.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to ritapria (Reply #2)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 07:31 AM

18. So this is the new Weekly Excuse?

 

Blaming the media for Sander's poor performance among Democrats wasn't getting quite the traction you'd hoped, so you're trying out a new one?

Good luck!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:08 PM

3. If this country re-elects that vicious criminal idiot, we deserve what we get.

 

Unfortunately, we'll take the rest of the planet down with us.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:09 PM

4. Thx for posting highplainsdem!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:11 PM

7. I'll +5 for the Win!

 

Steady as you Go Joe!

Thank you, hp
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)


Response to Post removed (Reply #8)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 11:40 PM

13. She won't win the general

 

Shes my Senator, Ive voted for her twice, but this is Massachusetts, not the Midwest, unfortunately this country isnt ready for a female President, or a far left President, it just isnt going to happen.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:29 PM

9. Too early for polls to mean much.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #9)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 01:32 AM

15. Unless of course if your

 

candidate is in the lead and then it would mean something.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Cha (Reply #15)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 07:05 PM

26. Well said. Bravo, Cha, and so true.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to emmaverybo (Reply #26)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 07:09 PM

27. Aloha, emmaverybo!

 

Mahalo!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Joe941 (Reply #9)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 07:32 AM

19. And there's the back of the t-shirt...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 09:35 PM

10. Glad to see the majority of Democrats GET IT!

 

Onward!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2019, 10:44 PM

11. Fuck is wrong with people? I got Kamala at +20 over that fucking grifter bigot

 

There are some really fuck awful people in this country.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 12:52 AM

14. Is this poll an outlier? Other polls have shown the top 3 beating tRump "like a drum". nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #14)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 02:18 AM

16. I was just about to post that. This is not in line with other polls.

 

Either that or Trump is surging in popularity...which I doubt.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to SunSeeker (Reply #16)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 02:25 AM

17. I'm with you. This poll seems unlikely to me. I'll need to see if other polls fall in line. nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #14)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 09:39 AM

21. Here are some recent GE polls. Kinda all over the jplace.

 

CNN/SSRS A- 10/22 A-
Biden-Trump 53-43 (Biden +10)
Warren-Trump 52-44 (Warren +8)
Sanders-Trump 52-43 (Sanders +9)

SurveyUSA A 10/18-21 A
Biden-Trump 51-49 (Biden +1)
Warren-Trump 50-42 (Sanders +8)
Sanders-Trump 48-44 (Sanders +4)

Ipsos B+ 10/17-18 RV
Biden-Trump 47-38 (Biden +9)
Warren-Trump 43-40 (Sanders +3)
Sanders-Trump 44-39 (Sanders +5)
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to UncleNoel (Reply #21)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 11:17 AM

22. You might check some of your numbers, and you're calling Warren "Sanders."

 

But yes, that CNN poll is what I recall.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to SunSeeker (Reply #22)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 06:48 PM

24. my bad...had to leave suddenly without checking--Will fix later,,,

 

Sorry bout that..shouldn't post on the run.
😁😁
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #14)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 07:00 PM

25. I've seen polls ranging from the top several Democratic candidates all beating Trump easily to every

 

Democratic candidate losing to Trump, so no, this isn't an outlier.

Most of the polls show Biden and usually Sanders beating Trump, almost always with Biden beating Trump by a wider margin. Quite a few polls show Warren beating Trump as well, but usually by a narrower margin than Biden and Sanders would beat him.

This is why, whenever I see someone here post that ANY of our candidates can beat Trump easily (so it doesn't matter that Biden beats him by the widest margin in almost every GE poll), I mention that the GE polls vary and we can't assume all of our candidates, or even all of our top 3 candidates, could beat him.

The only really consistent thing about the GE polls is that in almost every single one, Biden does better against Trump than our other candidates do.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 08:35 AM

20. highplainsdem, Thanks for the posting. This is awesome!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2019, 03:43 PM

23. ...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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