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Undecided 49%
Kamala Harris16%
Joe Biden8%
Bernie Sanders8%
Elizabeth Warren6%

Fri Mar 15, 2019, 04:02 PM


What The Potential 2020 Candidates Are Doing And Saying, Vol. 10

Welcome to a weekly collaboration between FiveThirtyEight and ABC News. With 5,000 people seemingly thinking about challenging President Trump in 2020 — Democrats and even some Republicans — we’re keeping tabs on the field as it develops. Each week, we’ll run through what the potential candidates are up to — who’s getting closer to officially jumping in the ring and who’s getting further away.

Former Texas congressman and Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke officially entered the presidential race on Thursday. But with every big-name Democrat to get in the race — the field is now more than a dozen Democrats strong — the prospect of a contested convention gets all the more real.

That’s because the Democratic Party changed its nominating rules over the controversial role superdelegates played in Hillary Clinton’s nomination in 2016. Now, only pledged delegates will vote on the first ballot at the national convention in Milwaukee next July — not superdelegates. The Democratic National Committee’s rule change was meant to prevent superdelegates from casting the deciding vote in the first round of voting, but with so many candidates in the race, superdelegates could still play an outsized role. If the results of the primaries and caucuses spread pledged delegates too thin and no one candidate has a majority, it means superdelegates could still swing the nomination when they cast their preference in a second ballot vote. So in this case, O’Rourke’s relatively late entry into the field, and perhaps that of former Vice President Joe Biden soon, may not be good for the party unless some Democratic challengers drop out or a clear front-runner emerges long before next July.


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Jay Inslee

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Reply What The Potential 2020 Candidates Are Doing And Saying, Vol. 10 (Original post)
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Friday OP
LuvNewcastle Friday #1

Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Fri Mar 15, 2019, 04:44 PM

1. We probably have so many people running because of what happened


in the Republican primaries in 2016. They had a large number of candidates who were gradually eliminated in a process that looked like that Bachelor show. An unlikely candidate emerged as the winner, and even some of the losers walked away with millions of dollars in contributions. You can't blame these people for giving it a shot.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:

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