YouGov Poll: Democratic Candidates Considered

[bluewater]

The Economist/YouGov Poll
August 10 - 13, 2019 - 1500 US Adult citizens

Number of respondents 1500
1127 (Registered voters)
Margin of error ± 2.6% (adjusted for weighting)
± 3% (Registered voters)

19. Democratic candidates considered
Which candidate or candidates are you considering voting for in the Democratic Presidential primary or caucus in your state in 2020? (Select all that apply)
Asked of those who say they will vote in the Democratic Presidential primary or caucus in 2020


Elizabeth Warren 50%

Joe Biden 47%

Kamala Harris 39%

Bernie Sanders 38%

Pete Buttigieg 31%

Cory Booker 23%

Beto O’Rourke 21%

Julian Castro 14%

Amy Klobuchar 12%

Andrew Yang 12%

Kirsten Gillibrand 9%

Tulsi Gabbard 8%

Tom Steyer 5%

Steve Bullock 4%

Marianne Williamson 4%

Steve Bullock 4%

Jay Inslee 4%

https://today.yougov.com/topics/economist/survey-results

The usual disclaimer: This poll is more than 6 months from the start of actual voting. The results of any single poll should not be overemphasized.

Warren was THE candidate that the most respondents considered voting for.

Another indication of her growing support across the Democratic base.

Cory Booker and Beto O'Rourke came in a very strong 6th and 7th, respectively. Perhaps out performing the conventional wisdom?

Lot's of food for thought for potential General Election ticket pairings in these results, perhaps?

[JoeOtterbein]

1. WOW!

That's big!

[highplainsdem]

2. Biden & Warren have been polling only a few points apart on this for a couple of months now,

and this isn't the first time Warren's been ahead or tied when people are asked about all the candidates they're considering, while sometimes Biden's been ahead.

The one consistent difference between them is that Warren's advantage typically comes from independents, as does her advantage in the overall polling in this latest poll (Biden's 3 points ahead, not just 1 point ahead, when only Dems are considered). So that won't help her in states with closed primaries.

[Thekaspervote]

5. Thx for pointing that out

[radical noodle]

3. I am part of the YouGov polls

They send me questions all the time. I'm surprised by the difference in % of those considered to be outside the top four.

[Thekaspervote]

4. In all fairness here's another page in that same poll that asked

If the caucus or primary were held in your state today, who would you vote for. Has an entirely different look.

I understand your candidate of choice is Warren and the numbers have changed but cherry picking parts of a poll...

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/mujbtdyiti/econTabReport.pdf#page132

RCP average thru 8/13

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls

Just sayin’

[bluewater]

8. THIS part? New poll shows Biden and Warren in statistical tie ;)

A new Economist/You Gov weekly tracking poll shows Former Vice President Joe Biden at 21%, with Senator Elizabeth Warren in second at 20%.

https://www.msnbc.com/hardball/watch/new-poll-shows-biden-and-warren-in-statistical-tie-66117189560

Maybe someone didn't actually LOOK at the results that show BIDEN (21%) and WARREN(20%) in a statitistical TIE in the "If the caucus or primary were held in your state today, who would you vote for" part? Margin of Error is +/- 2.6%

lol Just sayin', but I dont think it "Has an entirely different look" at all. They both show Warren gaining great support.

So much for "cherry picking", eh?



Thanks for pointing out THIS part of the poll for everyone again, another person had posted about it previously so I refrained from reposting it. So, thanks for allowing me the opportunity to mention it in this thread!

[Thekaspervote]

10. Why such a hateful sarcastic reply? With bold letters that says I'm now shouting at you

I acknowledged that warren has indeed come up in the polls, and understand she is your candidate of choice. And in your bold shouting letters you repeated what I put a link to about the statistical tie. So no need for shouting!!

[bluewater]

12. "but cherry picking parts of a poll... "

"In all fairness here's another page in that same poll that asked If the caucus or primary were held in your state today, who would you vote for. Has an entirely different look."

"I understand your candidate of choice is Warren and the numbers have changed but cherry picking parts of a poll..."


"Just sayin’"

And now you say:

"Why such a hateful sarcastic reply?"



Perhaps the "but cherry picking parts of a poll... " was a typo? It comes across, well, accusatory.

And the bit about this part of the poll having "an entirely different look." was also a typo? The poll actually show Warren and Biden in a statistical tie.

[Thekaspervote]

14. And I linked to the page that shows they are tied.. what more do you want?

And I get back another sarcastic reply. Oh well. ... you win??

[bluewater]

15. An apology for accusing me of "cherry picking parts of a poll" perhaps?

[NYMinute]

6. aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahahahahahahahahahahaha

[highplainsdem]

7. Btw, bluewater, the link you have in your OP isn't the one you want for that poll. The link

you posted just goes to a page listing different surveys, the most recent ones through Aug. 12.

The new Economist/YouGov primary poll went through August 13, and this is the link:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/mujbtdyiti/econTabReport.pdf

[bluewater]

9. Thanks but people complained about the cloudfront link in the past...

So I post the Economist/YouGov one that leads to the cloudfront one. Thanks for pointing out that YouGov wasn't current. Perhaps YouGov will update it by tomorrow, I will check.

[highplainsdem]

13. Okay, the primary poll is in the secod link there. Even though the poll goes through 8/13, it's

under Economist Tables August 12.

No idea why the name would use an earlier date, but it is there after all. And that link goes to cloudfront.