HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » YouGov Poll: Disappointe...
Undecided 37%
Elizabeth Warren19%
Joe Biden14%
Kamala Harris9%
Bernie Sanders8%

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 04:27 PM

 

YouGov Poll: Disappointed if Democratic Nominee

The Economist/YouGov Poll
August 10 - 13, 2019 - 1500 US Adult citizens

Number of respondents 1500
1127 (Registered voters)
Margin of error ± 2.6% (adjusted for weighting)
± 3% (Registered voters)


21. Disappointed if Democratic nominee
Are there any presidential candidates that you would be disappointed if they became the Democratic nominee?

Joe Biden 22%

Bernie Sanders 20%

Tulsi Gabbard 20%

Tom Steyer 18%

Amy Klobuchar 14%

Kamala Harris 14%

Andrew Yang 13%

Cory Booker 13%

Beto O’Rourke 12%

Julian Castro 12%

Pete Buttigieg 11%

Elizabeth Warren 9%


Out of the 12 candidates likely to qualify for the September 12th Debate:

Biden disappointed the MOST respondents if he is the eventual nominee, 22%

Warren disappointed the LEAST respondents if she is the eventual nominee, 9%


https://today.yougov.com/topics/economist/survey-results

The usual disclaimer: This poll is more than 6 months from the start of actual voting. The results of any single poll should not be overemphasized.

Actually, Warren would disappoint the LEAST respondents out of ALL the 24 Democratic candidates in the poll.


That's starting to sound like she might just be the consensus candidate that can bring all factions of the Democratic base together.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

18 replies, 1519 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread

Response to bluewater (Original post)


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 04:39 PM

2. "Consensus Candidate" - I like the sound of that. She seems to have....

 

....some momentum lately and few detractors.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 04:42 PM

3. Ok, some of y'all are gonna be mad at me for this.

 

But, if we end up with 12 people qualifying for the September debates, I would like them to make a change.
No more drawing for spots on the stage.
Have these 6 people together on night one: Biden, Warren, Sanders, Harris, Pete, Beto.
Put the other 6 on the second night.

Why? Because realistically, (come on now, be real here) our nominee will come from group one.
Those are the people that the public really want to see on stage together.
And, because of their polling, fund raising, etc, they all deserve to be in the head group.
I know that means the second group will be called “the kids table”. That’s dumb but it is what it is.
They still have the opportunity for a breakout moment against the others polling 2-3%.

Ok, I’m now going to duck 🦆 and cover from your incoming blasts. Lol.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #3)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 06:17 PM

8. I don't mind hearing from the less popular candidates

 

They may bring up points or have less to loose so make things interesting. Though 20 is just to distracting, we definatly need to loose 8 - 10 of them.

I'm looking forward to finally seeing Biden and Warren on the same stage.

12 candidates on two nights is perfect.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Kamala Harris

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Funtatlaguy (Reply #3)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 12:16 AM

14. There is the potential for someone else to surge once the field is winnowed.

 

The size of the field is greatly benefiting Biden. With a couple dozen candidates, a lot of people (if they're even paying any attention at this point) really can't distinguish between candidates. Name recognition is still the driving force at this juncture.

Booker and Castro, for instance, would likely benefit from there being a much smaller field. There are more than a dozen candidates who really ought to drop out, but boosting one's public profile tends to take precedence.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Kamala Harris

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 04:44 PM

4. You do know YouGov

 

Goes out to republicans as well, not only dems. I do YouGov polls once a week.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Butterflylady (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 04:56 PM

5. Did you miss this?

 

"21. Disappointed if Democratic nominee
Are there any presidential candidates that you would be disappointed if they became the Democratic nominee? (Select all that apply)
Asked of those who say they will vote in the Democratic Presidential primary or caucus in 2020"

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Butterflylady (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 05:02 PM

6. That question was only asked of Democratic primary/caucus voters. (n/t)

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 05:05 PM

7. Revealing

 

Thanks, bluewater.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 06:23 PM

9. Completely meaningless

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Beto O'Rourke

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to NYMinute (Reply #9)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 12:21 AM

15. It's probably more meaningful than most of the polls we've seen. But still not terribly meaningful.

 

This poll says something about Warren's likability, and it says something about the enthusiasm gap when it comes to Biden. There's a softness to Biden's support. Not everyone is convinced that an old white male is the key to defeating an old white male.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Kamala Harris

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Garrett78 (Reply #15)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 10:33 AM

16. "Which entree did you consider"

 

when asked of a restaurant menu ... is just as meaningless.

To give another example -- probably far more republicans "considered" Jeb Bush or Chris Christie -- but ended up with Trump who was "chosen" by more.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Beto O'Rourke

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 07:24 PM

10. I had to read that twice, but I like the stat

 

even if meaningless.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 08:19 PM

11. Electability question was there too

 

bluewater: Biden disappointed the MOST respondents if he is the eventual nominee, 22%
Warren disappointed the LEAST respondents if she is the eventual nominee, 9%


Actually Bill de Blasio had 30% respondents being 'disappointed' & Marianne Williamson at 28%, so Joe wasn't the 'most', but third, and plurality voting results.
Conversely, if 22% of respondents are disappointed in joe, 78% will either not be disappointed, happy, or have no opinion. As will 91% ditto for elizabeth.

In the very yougov poll you cite, this question, including republican respondents:
The Economist/YouGov Poll August 10 - 13, 2019 - 1500 US Adult citizens

26J. Electability — Elizabeth Warren If the candidate listed below were to become the Democratic nominee, do you think they would beat or lose to Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election?
(adults) Probably beat Trump 29% ...... Probably lose to Trump 44% ... not sure 27%
(reg'd voters*) ..... " ...."......33% ................" .............." ..... 49% ... not sure 19

26A. Electability — Joe Biden If the candidate listed below were to become the Democratic nominee, do you think they would beat or lose to Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election?
adults Probably beat Trump 35% ... Probably lose to Trump 39% ... not sure 26%
(reg'd voters) .... " ........... 38% ..........." ......... " ........... 43% ...not sure 19%

Biden's spread is negative 4 or 5, Warren's spread is neg 15 or 16 - I think I'd be more disappointed with the latter results.
Among Independents Biden's spread is neg 10 (27 beat, 37 lose), Warren's spread neg 22 (20, 42)

Since these (not yours) include republicans & indies it's main value is comparatively amongst ourselves, dunno if republican sample size percentage might be off, et al, et cetera. This seems to be an outright 2020 election poll as well, the first one I've seen having trump defeating biden - or is something going over my head.
I wouldn't give any of the poll questions providing any great insight as to what will be, a couple months time it will become a shoulder shrug in the annals of campaign 2020, eh?

Democrat (only) primary voters:
Biden: probably Beat Trump 65%, probably lose to trump 19% .. unsure 16. sprd 46
Warren: ........... " ............. 59% ..............." ............... 19% ...unsure 22, sprd 40

I could not find the poll on the link you provided, but tracked it down, Q's 21 & 26; ici:
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/mujbtdyiti/econTabReport.pdf

PS: I do like & admire Elizabeth Warren, almost all the other dem candidates should consider another avenue to devote their lives to for the next 12 months.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 08:56 PM

12. Huh. It sure seemed like it took the first time...

 

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287225718#post30

YouGov specialises in market research through online methods. The company's methodology involves obtaining responses from an invited group of Internet users, and then weighting these responses in line with demographic information.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 09:36 PM

13. Two very different reasons why people would be "disappointed" if a candidate became the nominee.

 

One is that they don't think the candidate would be a good nominee, whether because they don't think the candidate has a chance of winning the GE or because they don't think that candidate would be a good president.

The other one -- and the one that applies ONLY to the current front-runner -- is that the candidate is currently blocking that voter's favorite from becoming the nominee.

If Warren was the front-runner, her "disappointed if the nominee" number would be much higher.

Right now, supporters of every other candidate see Biden as an obstacle between their candidate and the nomination.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 01:37 PM

17. I can hear the ad now: "I'm Elizabeth Warren and I'll disappoint the least people,

 

and I have a plan for that. Please vote for me."
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 02:38 PM

18. Get over it... we can't afford to be disappointed

 

unless you want 4 more years of Trump...
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread