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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » Internal #s from SC poll:...
Undecided 36%
Elizabeth Warren18%
Joe Biden13%
Kamala Harris10%
Bernie Sanders8%

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 10:04 AM

 

Internal #s from SC poll: Biden leads w/all age groups but youngest, with black voters by 30 points

Skya Rhen has already posted a thread about the top numbers from the poll

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287239014

showing Biden with 36% and his two closest rivals, Warren and Sanders, nearly tied with less than half of Biden's support in the state.

I wanted to check the poll's internal numbers.

https://www.changeresearch.com/south-carolina-poll-aug-9-12-2019

Despite attacks on Biden made in attempt to lower his support among black voters, he still leads with them 45% to 15% each for Sanders and Harris. (That page about the poll doesn't provide the exact percentage for the other candidates, just a graph, but judging by the graph, Warren's support among black voters in SC might be in single digits, with other candidates doing worse. Looks like Booker probably is getting only about 5% support there.)

Among white voters, Warren has a narrow lead over Biden, 26% to 24%. Sanders is third with 16%.

Biden leads among all age groups in South Carolina except 18-34 year-old voters; Sanders leads this group with 30%, followed by Warren (26%). Biden has a 39-point lead among voters 65 and older with 53%; Warren follows with 14%.


Again, the poll data available on that page doesn't give a percentage for Biden's support among the youngest group of voters, but it looks like it's about half the support Sanders has, so probably around 15%. I'm not surprised that Sanders and Warren are leading with that group, given their plans for free college and forgiving college debt.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply Internal #s from SC poll: Biden leads w/all age groups but youngest, with black voters by 30 points (Original post)
highplainsdem Wednesday OP
George II Wednesday #1
Demsrule86 Wednesday #3
jcgoldie Wednesday #4
Scurrilous Wednesday #2

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 10:07 AM

1. Young voters are historically the demographic with the lowest turnout.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to George II (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 12:56 PM

3. That is true...I believe Biden will be our nominee...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to George II (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 01:00 PM

4. Yes and ...

 

...the fact that they are unlikely voters who vote overwhelmingly Democratic when they do turn out only serves to emphasize the importance of nominating an inspirational candidate.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 12:55 PM

2. ...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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