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Undecided 36%
Elizabeth Warren18%
Joe Biden13%
Kamala Harris10%
Bernie Sanders8%

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 07:58 PM

 

Sanders overtakes Biden in New Hampshire poll

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) leads the Democratic presidential field in New Hampshire with 21 percent in a Gravis Marketing poll released Tuesday.

Sanders is followed by former Vice President Joe Biden with 15 percent and by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 12 percent.

The poll stands in contrast from the most recent polls in New Hampshire compiled by RealClearPolitics, which have showed Biden leading in the critical primary state, followed by Sanders.

Gravis Marketing polled 250 Democratic primary voters on Aug. 2-6 using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The primary question had a margin of error of 6.2 percentage points.


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/457235-sanders-overtakes-biden-in-new-hampshire-poll?fbclid=IwAR3RLZ9wVrzuzqHFi62Jec2-QDaB4Yg-YIVoQKeu9qKr3FavfJKqNtciNcU
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Tom Steyer

14 replies, 502 views

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Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
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Reply Sanders overtakes Biden in New Hampshire poll (Original post)
Autumn Tuesday OP
Uncle Joe Tuesday #1
Autumn Tuesday #2
cwydro Tuesday #3
highplainsdem Tuesday #6
Skya Rhen Tuesday #4
zentrum Tuesday #5
Fiendish Thingy Tuesday #7
TwilightZone Tuesday #8
honest.abe Tuesday #9
TexasTowelie Tuesday #10
Skya Rhen Tuesday #11
NurseJackie Tuesday #12
stonecutter357 Tuesday #13
wasupaloopa Tuesday #14

Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 07:59 PM

1. Kicked and recommended.

 

Thanks for the thread Autumn.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to Uncle Joe (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:02 PM

2. You're welcome Uncle Joe.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Tom Steyer

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:03 PM

3. Go Joe!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to cwydro (Reply #3)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:15 PM

6. Sanders' margin over Biden is within the poll's MOE. The same pollster also did more reliable

 

polling on head-to-head match-ups against Trump in NH, with that part of the poll they released today having a smaller MOE, and that showed Biden doing better than Sanders against Trump:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287238605
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:09 PM

4. Margin of error of 6.2 points? OK...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:10 PM

5. Glad to know.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:17 PM

7. *sigh* once again, MOE of 6.2 means all three are statistically tied nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:20 PM

8. Pretty clearly an outlier, as the article notes.

 

Biden is +5 in the average of the other three recent polls. The MOE puts it in line with the others, however, if the entire 6% is a swing away from Sanders and to Biden.

It also has Warren about 5% below the average of the other three. Looks a bit shaky.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:27 PM

9. Trash poll. MOE 6.2%

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Kamala Harris

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:34 PM

10. Isn't it adorable

 

that some people are excited by the polling results from a marketing firm which is rated C+ by 538.com?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Beto O'Rourke

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Response to TexasTowelie (Reply #10)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:37 PM

11. Awww...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to TexasTowelie (Reply #10)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:48 PM

12. Desperate times. Any port in a storm.

 

Or something.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Pete Buttigieg

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 09:19 PM

13. let's go Joe !

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 09:42 PM

14. A margin of error of 6.2 and a population size of 250 isn't even statistically relevant.

 

So much Bernie good news is really no news.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Kamala Harris

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