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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:20 PM

 

Sanders leads in NH, Biden & Harris tie for 4th place

New Hampshire
Jun 29-Jul 4, 2019
C+ Change Research

Sanders... 26%
Warren.... 24%
Buttigieg.. 14%
Harris.... 13%
Biden..... 13%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/new-hampshire/

My Disclaimer: This is an early poll. No single poll result should be over emphasized, especially this early.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply Sanders leads in NH, Biden & Harris tie for 4th place (Original post)
bluewater Jul 2019 OP
mobeau69 Jul 2019 #1
thesquanderer Jul 2019 #15
Tarheel_Dem Jul 2019 #2
bluewater Jul 2019 #3
Tarheel_Dem Jul 2019 #4
bluewater Jul 2019 #6
Tarheel_Dem Jul 2019 #7
thesquanderer Jul 2019 #17
TheCowsCameHome Jul 2019 #5
HerbChestnut Jul 2019 #9
calguy Jul 2019 #8
Sneederbunk Jul 2019 #10
Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #11
Agschmid Jul 2019 #14
Thekaspervote Jul 2019 #12
bluewater Jul 2019 #13
thesquanderer Jul 2019 #16

Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:26 PM

1. Biden's problem is that he's getting too much exposure.

 

And there's another debate coming right up. Yikes!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to mobeau69 (Reply #1)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 07:16 PM

15. It's a problem if the more you're seen, the more your numbers drop (n/t)

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:31 PM

2. Change Research "Online Poll".

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:35 PM

3. 538 has it on their site, take it up with them.

 

OP has the link to 538 where the poll is from.

Here it is again:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/new-hampshire/
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Reply #3)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:37 PM

4. They include a lot of bad polls on their site, hence the rating. Aren't you least bit skeptical of a

 

poll with a C+ rating, when there are so many others that aren't subject to manipulation by one's supporters?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #4)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:43 PM

6. The polls are what the polls are.

 

The OP gave 538's C+ rating.

Trying to spin that into a "junk" "click-bait" poll is just unseemly, I trust 538, not cutesy gifs of monkeys.

Attempting to minimize poll results that reflect badly on one's candidate is understandable, but ultimately pointless.

More polls are coming, I am sure that trends in the standings will become very clear.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Reply #6)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:45 PM

7. I wouldn't be surprised to see that Mike Gravel has taken the lead in the next "Change Research" ...

 

poll.



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #4)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 07:27 PM

17. They weed out the worst polls, the ones with F ratings. C+ is more like average.

 

And they're not manipulatable, or they would be getting F if they were mentioned at all. Go ahead, try to manipulate the next Change Research poll if you think you can, try to find a way for you and your friends to get included.

A C+ poll may not be as presumed accurate as an A+ poll, but with these numbers, it would have to be way, way, way off for the basic message of Biden substantially trailing Sanders and Warren to not be true, off by an amount very unlikely for even a C+ poll.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:42 PM

5. This was totally expected.

 



Another worthless poll.

Come back in a year or so, when it might mean something.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to TheCowsCameHome (Reply #5)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:00 PM

9. In a year?

 

When the primary is over?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:52 PM

8. I'll start taking polls seriously after the Christmas holiday season.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:03 PM

10. Since the New Hampshire Primary is Feb 11, I would agree this is an early poll.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:12 PM

11. NH is mr sanders turf. He won the 2016 primary and will probably win the 2020 as well

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #11)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 06:24 PM

14. I don't love the poll, C+ rating and all but if Biden lost NH...

 

Hes in a tough spot.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:15 PM

12. Here's a new ntl' poll just out. You probably already saw this one, but in your

 

Previous posts you said you were anxiously awaiting new polls

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287198430#post1
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #12)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 06:20 PM

13. Posted an OP on it!

 

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287198468

It's a great A rated national poll that shows the FRONT RUNNER only at 26%, that's below his national polling average of 27 %

Warren had a strong showing in second place with 19%, ~5% higher than her national polling average.

Thanks for bringing it up!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to bluewater (Original post)

Thu Jul 11, 2019, 07:19 PM

16. Biden at below 15% would mean no delegates.

 

Unexpected. Yeah it's just one poll, and it's early... but I'm still surprised to see it.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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