
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:20 PM
bluewater (5,376 posts)
Sanders leads in NH, Biden & Harris tie for 4th place
New Hampshire
Jun 29-Jul 4, 2019 C+ Change Research Sanders... 26% Warren.... 24% Buttigieg.. 14% Harris...…. 13% Biden...….. 13% https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/new-hampshire/ My Disclaimer: This is an early poll. No single poll result should be over emphasized, especially this early.
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
17 replies, 917 views
![]() |
Author | Time | Post |
![]() |
bluewater | Jul 2019 | OP |
mobeau69 | Jul 2019 | #1 | |
thesquanderer | Jul 2019 | #15 | |
Tarheel_Dem | Jul 2019 | #2 | |
bluewater | Jul 2019 | #3 | |
Tarheel_Dem | Jul 2019 | #4 | |
bluewater | Jul 2019 | #6 | |
Tarheel_Dem | Jul 2019 | #7 | |
thesquanderer | Jul 2019 | #17 | |
TheCowsCameHome | Jul 2019 | #5 | |
HerbChestnut | Jul 2019 | #9 | |
calguy | Jul 2019 | #8 | |
Sneederbunk | Jul 2019 | #10 | |
Thekaspervote | Jul 2019 | #11 | |
Agschmid | Jul 2019 | #14 | |
Thekaspervote | Jul 2019 | #12 | |
bluewater | Jul 2019 | #13 | |
thesquanderer | Jul 2019 | #16 |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:26 PM
mobeau69 (8,591 posts)
1. Biden's problem is that he's getting too much exposure.
And there's another debate coming right up. Yikes!
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Undecided |
Response to mobeau69 (Reply #1)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 07:16 PM
thesquanderer (11,226 posts)
15. It's a problem if the more you're seen, the more your numbers drop (n/t)
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:31 PM
Tarheel_Dem (30,987 posts)
2. Change Research "Online Poll".
![]() ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #2)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:35 PM
bluewater (5,376 posts)
3. 538 has it on their site, take it up with them.
OP has the link to 538 where the poll is from.
Here it is again: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/new-hampshire/ ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Reply #3)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:37 PM
Tarheel_Dem (30,987 posts)
4. They include a lot of bad polls on their site, hence the rating. Aren't you least bit skeptical of a
poll with a C+ rating, when there are so many others that aren't subject to manipulation by one's supporters?
![]() ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #4)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:43 PM
bluewater (5,376 posts)
6. The polls are what the polls are.
The OP gave 538's C+ rating.
Trying to spin that into a "junk" "click-bait" poll is just unseemly, I trust 538, not cutesy gifs of monkeys. ![]() Attempting to minimize poll results that reflect badly on one's candidate is understandable, but ultimately pointless. More polls are coming, I am sure that trends in the standings will become very clear. ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Reply #6)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:45 PM
Tarheel_Dem (30,987 posts)
7. I wouldn't be surprised to see that Mike Gravel has taken the lead in the next "Change Research" ...
poll.
![]() ![]() ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #4)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 07:27 PM
thesquanderer (11,226 posts)
17. They weed out the worst polls, the ones with F ratings. C+ is more like average.
And they're not manipulatable, or they would be getting F if they were mentioned at all. Go ahead, try to manipulate the next Change Research poll if you think you can, try to find a way for you and your friends to get included.
A C+ poll may not be as presumed accurate as an A+ poll, but with these numbers, it would have to be way, way, way off for the basic message of Biden substantially trailing Sanders and Warren to not be true, off by an amount very unlikely for even a C+ poll. ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:42 PM
TheCowsCameHome (39,975 posts)
5. This was totally expected.
![]() Another worthless poll. Come back in a year or so, when it might mean something. ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Undecided |
Response to TheCowsCameHome (Reply #5)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:00 PM
HerbChestnut (3,649 posts)
9. In a year?
When the primary is over?
![]() ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Undecided |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 04:52 PM
calguy (3,602 posts)
8. I'll start taking polls seriously after the Christmas holiday season.
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:03 PM
Sneederbunk (10,805 posts)
10. Since the New Hampshire Primary is Feb 11, I would agree this is an early poll.
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:12 PM
Thekaspervote (25,278 posts)
11. NH is mr sanders turf. He won the 2016 primary and will probably win the 2020 as well
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #11)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 06:24 PM
Agschmid (28,742 posts)
14. I don't love the poll, C+ rating and all but if Biden lost NH...
He’s in a tough spot.
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 05:15 PM
Thekaspervote (25,278 posts)
12. Here's a new ntl' poll just out. You probably already saw this one, but in your
Previous posts you said you were anxiously awaiting new polls
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287198430#post1 ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #12)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 06:20 PM
bluewater (5,376 posts)
13. Posted an OP on it!
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287198468
It's a great A rated national poll that shows the FRONT RUNNER only at 26%, that's below his national polling average of 27 % Warren had a strong showing in second place with 19%, ~5% higher than her national polling average. Thanks for bringing it up! ![]() ![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |
Response to bluewater (Original post)
Thu Jul 11, 2019, 07:19 PM
thesquanderer (11,226 posts)
16. Biden at below 15% would mean no delegates.
Unexpected. Yeah it's just one poll, and it's early... but I'm still surprised to see it.
![]() primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden |