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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Midwestocrat

(74 posts)
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 12:59 AM Jun 2019

Of the main 3-5 candidates, only Biden can win the swing states.

Just a reminder, however you felt about the debate, that doesn't change the main goal: Wisconsin, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Ohio, Florida = Biden can win those states. Others will struggle.

I thought 6/10 did great tonight (I'll leave you guessing!), but of the debate styles of Biden and Harris... I think Biden matches better against Agent Orange. Tough, forceful, intelligent, AND almost a near physical manifestation of slapping down a bully (via word emphasis, posture, mannerisms, subtle cues, hand gestures) will beat Trump. Harris has tough, forceful, and intelligent. That strange fourth factor she lacks, and that may not be enough.

But I liked them all, hated the mudslinging, and pray to the deities that (respectfully) Bullock replaces Williamson.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Of the main 3-5 candidates, only Biden can win the swing states. (Original Post) Midwestocrat Jun 2019 OP
I don't know if that's true. dawg day Jun 2019 #1
More pragmatism and less emotion. I second this post. nt UniteFightBack Jun 2019 #2
Well said... RHMerriman Jun 2019 #5
Here we go again ... crazytown Jun 2019 #3
disagree MFM008 Jun 2019 #4
Unlike most here on DU the debates do not swing polls that much... maybe some Thekaspervote Jun 2019 #6
Polls say others can win swing states as well. thesquanderer Jun 2019 #7
Thank you! Kind of Blue Jun 2019 #10
You have no evidence for that. pnwmom Jun 2019 #8
Yawn Ace Rothstein Jun 2019 #9
Lol, ok. Keep on believing that. Quackers Jun 2019 #11
I disagree. Blue_true Jun 2019 #12
 

dawg day

(7,947 posts)
1. I don't know if that's true.
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:02 AM
Jun 2019

It's 16 months till the election. Biden's not magical. He's actually never done well in primaries.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

UniteFightBack

(8,231 posts)
2. More pragmatism and less emotion. I second this post. nt
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:03 AM
Jun 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

crazytown

(7,277 posts)
3. Here we go again ...
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:03 AM
Jun 2019

And what will the DJI be in Nov 2020?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

MFM008

(19,803 posts)
4. disagree
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:03 AM
Jun 2019

there will be a woman on the ticket somewhere.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Thekaspervote

(32,715 posts)
6. Unlike most here on DU the debates do not swing polls that much... maybe some
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:07 AM
Jun 2019

Yes, I’m sure the viewship was high, but all the same the facts are the facts as the OP has stated. We need someone who will easily deliver the swing states and have an overwhelming victory nationwide ...no recount crap. Especially considering today’s scotus ruling

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

thesquanderer

(11,972 posts)
7. Polls say others can win swing states as well.
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:10 AM
Jun 2019

Michigan (June): Biden and Sanders both lead Trump by 12. Buttigieg by 6, Warren by 4, Harris by 3.
Florida (June): Biden by 9, Sanders by 6, Warren by 4, Buttigieg by 1, Harris by 1.
Pennsylvania (May): Biden by 11, Sanders by 7, Warren by 3, Buttigieg by 1, Harris even.
Wisconsin (March): Biden by 8, Sanders and Warren by 4, Harris even (Buttigieg not polled)

These numbers are all before the debates... I suspect Warren, Buttigieg, and Harris will go up from those numbers since these polls also reflect weaker name recognition compared to the Biden and Sanders.

Poll references below.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2019/06/05/biden-sanders-democrats-lead-trump-michigan-poll/1330277001/

https://poll.qu.edu/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2620

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/wisconsin-2020-bernie-sanders-leads-democratic-field-trump-competitive-in-general-election

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2629
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

pnwmom

(108,959 posts)
8. You have no evidence for that.
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:12 AM
Jun 2019

The biggest problem last time would be faced by any Dem this time: hundreds of thousands of votes in those states were lost due to new Voter ID requirements and other forms of voter suppression. This was because, after Obama's re-election, the Supreme Court in 2013 dismantled the 1965 Voting Rights Act.

Even so, Hillary came within 80K of Trump in those three states. You have no evidence -- no one has -- that Biden or Sanders or anyone else would have carried them all, despite the voter suppression.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Quackers

(2,256 posts)
11. Lol, ok. Keep on believing that.
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:17 AM
Jun 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
12. I disagree.
Fri Jun 28, 2019, 01:52 AM
Jun 2019

Warren for one has the energy and smarts to swamp Trump in those states. Harris showed tonight that she has steel in her spine.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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