Washington Post-Analysis: The election-defining Biden-can-win narrative just got a big boost

[Gothmog]

This is further proof that Joe Biden is the most electable candidate that the Democrats have

Link to tweet

In February, we looked at Gallup’s approval rating polling for 2018, picking out an interesting detail. Of all of the states that Trump won in 2016, nowhere was he viewed less favorably than in Texas. His approval in the state was 39 percent over the course of the year, the sort of number that doesn’t slot easily into sentences like “Trump coasted to victory given his ___ percent approval rating in the state.” Perhaps something more like: “Trump’s ___ percent approval rating in the state was just too much to overcome.”

I mean, it’s not as though 2016 and 2018 were blowouts in the state, either. Clinton lost by nine points, though that was closer than the margin in Iowa, which in 2012 voted for Barack Obama. It was the closest the state had been since 1976, excluding 1992 and 1996 when Texan Ross Perot played spoiler. Last year, O’Rourke lost by less than three points.

Then there’s this new poll of Texans by Quinnipiac University. It has Trump struggling against a number of the Democrats running for the party’s 2020 nomination. He’s up only four points on Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.) — and that’s the race in which he’s doing the best. Despite his relative success last year, O’Rourke loses to Trump by three points. Against Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Trump’s only up one.

Against former vice president Joe Biden? Trump is losing by four points.

We need to win in 2020. The country cannot stand four more years of trump.

[hlthe2b]

1. For those who can't see the full article (paywall) here's the important graph

[Cha]

3. Mahalo, hlthe2b! 'Cause that's all

I see is a paywall.

[hlthe2b]

7. Happy to do so!

[Cha]

2. Call me crazy.. That's ALL I care

about is Winning in 2020 and booting that freaking Asshole OUT of our WH.. and back into his shithole.

[still_one]

4. Absolutely!!!

[LakeArenal]

6. I'm in!!

[BannonsLiver]

10. It is the ONLY THING THAT MATTERS.

Here’s to the hope whoever the nominee is we all get that very important point. Right now, I’m not optimistic. The big picture isn’t being seen by too many people, I’m afraid.

[Cha]

11. I know.. as usual.

[peggysue2]

12. Not crazy at all, Cha

Unless we're both nutters, that is

We have an illegitimate asshole squatting in the WH doing his level best to tear the country apart while spitting on our allies and embracing every strongman in the world. We'll be lucky if we don't end up in some catastrophic war.

Winning in 2020 is everything; it's the only thing.

Losing simply isn't an option. Not if we want a recognizable country to live in.

[Cha]

13. Exacty, Peggysue.. Winning Is EVERYTHING..

the Only Thing!

We See That!

[Gothmog]

5. After more than four decades, could a Democrat take Texas in a general election?

I voted for Jimmy Carter back in 1976 which was the last time Texas went blue

Link to tweet

[Funtatlaguy]

8. This poll isn't really great news for Beto, is it.

[hlthe2b]

9. If the trend holds, it likely cuts off all paths for him.

[peggysue2]

14. Which surprises me

O'Rourke is getting much more polished, succinct and focused on the campaign trail. He might be one to watch for a breakout moment during the debates.

Might be what he's counting on.

I've always said if O'Rourke could recapture that lightening in a bottle moment, he'd take-off in the polls. Hasn't happened yet but there's still time.

[Scurrilous]

15. K&R

[Tarheel_Dem]

16. K&R

[Gothmog]

17. Texas is a battleground state

Link to tweet

[Cha]

18. Thank You, Goth!

[Gothmog]

22. This makes me smile

Link to tweet

[Hekate]

19. Thanks, Goth. Joe looks and moves 25 years younger than Trump. Quick, nimble, sharp...

Intelligent, experienced, in command of all the facts.

Before he entered the race I was concerned about the attacks to come from left and right. No longer. And that announcement video of his hit it out of the ballpark, afaiac.

[Cha]

20. Mahalo for that, Hekate..

Refreshing! :party

[oasis]

21. K and R