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Undecided 40%
Joe Biden14%
Kamala Harris11%
Elizabeth Warren11%
Pete Buttigieg8%

Thu May 16, 2019, 04:28 PM

 

Jennifer Rubin, WaPo: Pennsylvania counts most of all

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/05/16/pennsylvania-counts-most-all/


Republicans and Democrats alike recognize how crucial Pennsylvania will be in determining the 2020 presidential election. Looking at the electoral map, if Pennsylvania returns to the Democratic column (where it was, twice each, for President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama), President Trump could not lose Florida, for example, and retain the presidency. Without Pennsylvania, he couldnít win unless he won two out of three among Michigan, Wisconsin and North Carolina (all other states going as they did in 2016). In short, if Democrats can win Pennsylvania, their chances of booting out Trump improve substantially.

Thatís good news, at this stage, for former vice president Joe Biden, born in Scranton, Pa., and decades-long resident of and U.S. senator from Pennsylvaniaís next-door neighbor Delaware. They love him there, they really do. There is a reason Biden is holding his official kickoff in Philadelphia on Saturday.

-snip-

Bidenís base of support is similar to his base in other states. Biden leads the pack by substantial margins among somewhat liberal and conservative Democrats, women and Democrats over 50. These fit the description of ďdependable voters.Ē

Bidenís pitch in other statesí primaries that Democrats won during the Obama era but Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 (e.g., Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Iowa and Florida) is likely to be the same: I can win these states because whites, blacks, women, seniors, et al. know and trust me. Heíll be able to say heís already gotten under Trumpís skin and will drive him around the bend (well, farther around the bend in the general election). And for those Democrats craving normalcy, getting on track on progressive priorities (e.g., equality for the LGBTQ community, fighting climate change, reducing income inequality) Biden can say, You guys know me. I know how to deliver.

Itís not radical or scintillating, but then, as we have been writing for months now, the rest of the mainstream media have figured out the party doesnít resemble the Twitter universe and has a bunch of older and middle-of-the-road voters. When you understand that, you can see why Biden is doing as well as he is. He certainly can falter, and we reiterate that no voting takes place until February 2020. That said, Biden might be doing especially well in his birth state, but heís pretty much dominating everywhere.



I snipped out the sections on yesterday's stunning Quinnipiac poll of PA, since there are already a number of threads about it here, including this one I posted

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287120076

and this one, which crazytown posted, which got into a discussion of just how much Biden's poll numbers showed him doing better with voters than HRC did in 2016 (see the replies in this thread):

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287120610
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply Jennifer Rubin, WaPo: Pennsylvania counts most of all (Original post)
highplainsdem Thursday OP
DownriverDem Thursday #1
BannonsLiver Thursday #2
highplainsdem Thursday #4
Cha Thursday #3
Scurrilous Thursday #5

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu May 16, 2019, 04:44 PM

1. Yep

 

They are supporting their native son. trump is not supported in Michigan either. He's in deep trouble. It's all about the numbers folks.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu May 16, 2019, 04:53 PM

2. I'm starting a Chris Matthews "Philadelphia suburbs" drinking game.

 

See you guys on the other side.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to BannonsLiver (Reply #2)

Thu May 16, 2019, 07:01 PM

4. LOL! We'll all have liver problems...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu May 16, 2019, 06:56 PM

3. And, Biden knows this!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu May 16, 2019, 08:26 PM

5. K&R

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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