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Sun Feb 28, 2016, 09:49 PM

Bernie will win big in California. In June. 781 delegates. Watch here:

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Reply Bernie will win big in California. In June. 781 delegates. Watch here: (Original post)
Mira Feb 2016 OP
onecaliberal Feb 2016 #1
retrowire Feb 2016 #2
winter is coming Feb 2016 #3
jeff47 Feb 2016 #5
JDPriestly Feb 2016 #18
jeff47 Feb 2016 #19
JDPriestly Feb 2016 #15
Mira Feb 2016 #7
JDPriestly Feb 2016 #16
JDPriestly Feb 2016 #14
jeff47 Feb 2016 #20
jeff47 Feb 2016 #4
retrowire Feb 2016 #6
jeff47 Feb 2016 #9
JDPriestly Feb 2016 #17
jeff47 Feb 2016 #21
jalan48 Feb 2016 #8
NV Whino Feb 2016 #10
INdemo Feb 2016 #11
Duckfan Feb 2016 #12
JDPriestly Feb 2016 #13

Response to Mira (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 09:51 PM

1. I think he's going to win here too!

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Response to Mira (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:02 PM

2. wait california has 781delegates???? nt

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Response to retrowire (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:05 PM

3. I thought it had 500-something. n/t

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Response to winter is coming (Reply #3)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:10 PM

5. 475 (nt)

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Response to jeff47 (Reply #5)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:28 AM

18. 546 -- http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

Bernie is very, very popular in California, and we have not yet started to campaign here. Not really.

Bernie is going to win big in California.

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Response to JDPriestly (Reply #18)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:38 AM

19. You're counting superdelegates. I'm only counting pledged delegates. (nt)

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Response to winter is coming (Reply #3)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:21 AM

15. 546 ==http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

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Response to retrowire (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:13 PM

7. No, 475 I think

it's 781 in other states at issue in June. Must listen again. i got excited and hurried to post this so we all have this info.

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Response to Mira (Reply #7)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:21 AM

16. California has 546 delegates according to this.

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Response to retrowire (Reply #2)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:20 AM

14. California has 546 delegates.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

Superdelegates are pledged but can change their minds and probably will if Bernie wins big.

The DNC is not going to go against the democratic vote of grass-roots Democrats. That would be stupid. Offensive.

Hillary will win delegates on Super Tuesday. But Bernie can win California, and win it big.

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Response to JDPriestly (Reply #14)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:39 AM

20. Superdelegates are not "pledged".

Pledged delegates are required to vote for a particular candidate in the first convention votes. Superdelegates are not. You should not conflate the two.

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Response to Mira (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:08 PM

4. CA has 475 pledged delegates.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016

(Scroll down to "Schedule and results of primaries and caucuses"

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Response to jeff47 (Reply #4)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:11 PM

6. holy shit nt

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Response to retrowire (Reply #6)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:18 PM

9. For scale, that is about half the number of delegates that are "up for grabs" on Tuesday.

The formula used by the DNC to allocate delegates is based on past general election votes. A lot of the states on Tuesday have reliably voted Republican, so they get far fewer delegates-per-person.

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Response to jeff47 (Reply #9)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:26 AM

17. California gets 546 delegates.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CA-D

There are only 865 delegates at stake for Democrats on Super Tuesday.

https://www.romper.com/p/how-many-delegates-are-at-stake-on-super-tuesday-its-definitely-a-major-moment-in-the-2016-campaign-6335

Bernie will win big in California. Plus he will win a few delegates on Super Tuesday.

Super Tuesday is not that big a deal. It's got several Southern states that will not vote for Hillary or any other Democrat in November.

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Response to JDPriestly (Reply #17)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:41 AM

21. You're adding in superdelegates. You shouldn't do that, since they won't be decided by the primary.

Superdelegates will mostly vote for the candidate with the most pledged delegates. Because that's the only defensible position that keeps those superdelegates in their elected position.

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Response to Mira (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:17 PM

8. I agree

Probably Oregon too. Don't listen to the media. They want to make it seem like it's over now. Hillary will do well in conservative states with conservative Democrats like herself. Once the more liberal states start their primaries it's time for Bernie to come from the back of the race and over take her.

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Response to Mira (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:23 PM

10. You betcha!

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Response to Mira (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 10:46 PM

11. Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic Primary in the Red State

 

of Indiana. Obama won the state in 2008 in the primary and the National

Hillary not like very well here

92 Delegates....

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Response to Mira (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:28 AM

12. But the Central Valley and Orange County will likely go the other way

I agree he'll win Calif. but from living in Sacramento for a few years, you kinda learn the demographics of the state.

He should win big in Bay Area and L.A. Humbolt County for sure.

But if Bernie is able to get a big chunk of the Latino vote in Fresno, Bakersfield, and Modesto, it will really show some strength.

Better yet, it would be YUUUUGGGGGEE.

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Response to Mira (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:17 AM

13. Very true.

Super Tuesday should not get us down. It's mostly very conservative states. Lots of Southern states that never vote Democratic anyway in presidential contests.

Let's make California into Bernie country.

California = Bernie country.

I understand there was a march in Pasadena Saturday. Let's do marches every week.

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